Fertitta Center · at Houston · Conference game
Closing line
HOU -6.5✓ ARIZ covered by 13.5
HOU -6.5✓ ARIZ covered by 13.5Closing total142.5Under by 3.5
 ARIZ | This season | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 24-2 | Record | 23-3 |
| 14-12 | ATS | 14-12 |
| 13-13 | O/U | 11-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARIZ 71–73 HOU · ✗ HOU (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 36 | 37 | 73 |
| HOU | 31 | 35 | 66 |
1st half: ARIZ 36, HOU 31 (ARIZ by 5). The model had HOU by 0.6 and a total of 67.5 (actual 67).
Team stats
| ARIZ | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-56 45% | Field goals | 20-56 36% |
| 3-12 25% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 20-31 65% | Free throws | 18-22 82% |
| 37 12 off | Rebounds | 39 13 off |
| 10 | Assists | 12 |
| 9 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 24 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 39 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 37 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 6-17 | 0-3 |
| Brayden Burries G | 31 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 25 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Tobe Awaka F | 17 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 34 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 8-14 | 2-5 |
| Evan Nelson G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sidi Gueye C | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Francois, Bryce James, Koa Peat, Addison Arnold, Jackson Cook, Dwayne Aristode, Sven Djopmo, Mabil Mawut
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Uzan G | 38 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 34 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2-11 | 2-8 |
| Kingston Flemings G | 33 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 6-17 | 1-4 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 33 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-5 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 18 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kalifa Sakho F | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isiah Harwell G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Chase McCarty F | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Mercy Miller G | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cedric Lath C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ramon Walker Jr., Jacob McFarland, Kordel Jefferson, Bryce Jackson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOU -6.5
ModelHOU -1.2
Model edgeARIZ +5.3
W ARIZ covered
Total
Market142.5
Model144.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
L Under
Projected score
ARIZ 71.4 · HOU 72.6
ARIZ 73 · HOU 66
Win probability
HOU 54%
1st half
Spread
HOU -0.6
ARIZ -5.0
Total
67.5
67 points
Projected score
ARIZ 33.4 · HOU 34
ARIZ 36 · HOU 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -3.5
3 → HOU
CloseHOU -6.5
3 pts toward HOU
Total
Open139.5
▲ 3
Close142.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
ARIZ +230 · HOU -285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -3.5 · closed HOU -6.5 · moved 3 toward HOUmodel HOU -1
model HOU -1
Opened 139.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 3 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| HOU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ARIZ 0–3 HOUHOU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · HOU has won the last 3 meetings · ARIZ 0-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | ARIZ 64 vs HOU 72 | HOU -5.5 | HOU W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | HOU 62 @ ARIZ 58 | ARIZ +2.5 | HOU W |
| Mar 24, 2021-22 | HOU 72 vs ARIZ 60 | ARIZ -1.5 | HOU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona
26 games played
Straight up
24-2
92% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FLA | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTU | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAU | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCLA | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ CONN | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs DEN | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs NORF | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs AUB | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs ALA | W 96-75 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs ACU | W 96-62 | -34.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDSU | W 68-45 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 22 | vs BCU | W 107-71 | -39.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | vs SDST | W 99-71 | -31.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 3 | @ UTAH | W 97-78 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | vs KSU | W 101-76 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ TCU | W 86-73 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | vs ASU | W 89-82 | -21.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ UCF | W 84-77 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 21 | vs CIN | W 77-51 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | vs WVU | W 88-53 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 26 | @ BYU | W 86-83 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 31 | @ASU | W 87-74 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 7 | vs OKST | W 84-47 | -20.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 9 | @ KU | L 78-82 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | vs TTU | L 75-78 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 18 | vsBYU | W 75-68 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
−2.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+1.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+17.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
+18.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
−0.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
+9.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
−3.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
−3.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+1.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+7.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+5.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
−14.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−2.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 77-51
+12.5
24
vsWVU
WVUW 88-53
+17.5
26
@BYU
BYUW 86-83
+1.5
31
@ASU
ASUW 87-74
−1.5
7
vsOKST
OKSTW 84-47
+16.5
9
@KU
KUL 78-82
−9.5
14
vsTTU
TTUL 75-78
−11.5
18
vsBYU
BYUW 75-68
−4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
+21.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+12.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+2.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
−7.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
+12.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
−40.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
+23.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
+10.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+12.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+5.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+1.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
+3.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−4.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 77-51
−24.5
24
vsWVU
WVUW 88-53
−2.5
26
@BYU
BYUW 86-83
+2.5
31
@ASU
ASUW 87-74
−2.5
7
vsOKST
OKSTW 84-47
−37.5
9
@KU
KUL 78-82
+7.5
14
vsTTU
TTUL 75-78
−3.5
18
vsBYU
BYUW 75-68
−22.5
over 13under 13avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Houston
26 games played
Straight up
23-3
88% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-15
42% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LEH | W 75-57 | -36.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs TOW | W 65-48 | -26.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 12 | vs OAK | W 78-45 | -30.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 16 | vsAUB | W 73-72 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs RID | W 91-45 | -40.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs SYR | W 78-74 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TENN | L 73-76 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs ND | W 66-56 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs FSU | W 82-67 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs JKST | W 80-38 | -40.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 13 | vs NOLA | W 99-57 | -32.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARK | W 94-85 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs MTSU | W 69-60 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 3 | @CIN | W 67-60 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | vsTTU | W 69-65 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @ BAY | W 77-55 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vsWVU | W 77-48 | -13.5 | W +15.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 18 | vsASU | W 103-73 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 24 | @TTU | L 86-90 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 28 | @TCU | W 79-70 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vsCIN | W 76-54 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | vsUCF | W 79-55 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 7 | @BYU | W 77-66 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 10 | @UTAH | W 66-52 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 14 | vsKSU | W 78-64 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 16 | @ ISU | L 67-70 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−9.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
+2.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
−6.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+5.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
−10.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
−5.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−1.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+2.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
+1.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+9.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+3.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−16.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
+2.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−3.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
+19.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
+15.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+11.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
−5.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+0.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
+8.5
4
vsUCF
UCFW 79-55
+8.5
7
@BYU
BYUW 77-66
+9.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 66-52
−2.5
14
vsKSU
KSUW 78-64
−8.5
16
@ISU
ISUL 67-70
−0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−17.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
−15.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
+4.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+1.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
+11.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
+12.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−10.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+0.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
−19.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+17.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+32.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−9.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
−8.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−8.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
−10.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
−2.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+33.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
+34.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+9.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
−5.5
4
vsUCF
UCFW 79-55
−12.5
7
@BYU
BYUW 77-66
−8.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 66-52
−24.5
14
vsKSU
KSUW 78-64
−2.5
16
@ISU
ISUL 67-70
+2.5
over 11under 15avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona
24-2 overall · 11-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs BYU75–68
- Lvs Texas Tech75–78
- L@ Kansas78–82
- Wvs Oklahoma St84–47
- W@ Arizona St87–74
3 days since their last game.
Houston
23-3 overall · 11-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa State67–70
- Wvs Kansas St78–64
- W@ Utah66–52
- W@ BYU77–66
- Wvs UCF79–55
5 days since their last game.