Hilton Coliseum · at Iowa State · Conference game
Closing line
ISU -2.5✓ ISU covered by 0.5
ISU -2.5✓ ISU covered by 0.5Closing total134.5Over by 2.5
 HOU | This season | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| 23-2 | Record | 22-3 |
| 14-11 | ATS | 14-11 |
| 10-15 | O/U | 10-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOU 68–69 ISU · ✓ ISU (53%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 40 | 27 | 67 |
| ISU | 43 | 27 | 70 |
1st half: HOU 40, ISU 43 (ISU by 3). The model had ISU by 0.5 and a total of 64.2 (actual 83).
Team stats
| HOU | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-57 42% | Field goals | 25-51 49% |
| 12-34 35% | 3-pointers | 9-22 41% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 11-22 50% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 31 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 2 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingston Flemings G | 37 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 9-15 | 4-6 |
| Milos Uzan G | 35 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 28 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 25 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 25 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 4-11 | 4-10 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isiah Harwell G | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Kalifa Sakho F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chase McCarty F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mercy Miller G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Cedric Lath C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryce Jackson, Jacob McFarland, Kordel Jefferson
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamin Lipsey G | 34 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Joshua Jefferson F | 33 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Milan Momcilovic F | 28 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 24 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Killyan Toure G | 23 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nate Heise G | 26 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-3 |
| Jamarion Batemon G | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Eric Mulder, Cade Kelderman, Mason Williams, Xzavion Mitchell, Dominick Nelson, Anthony Rise
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketISU -2.5
ModelISU -1.0
Model edgeHOU +1.5
L ISU covered
Total
Market134.5
Model137.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
HOU 68 · ISU 69
HOU 67 · ISU 70
Win probability
ISU 53%
1st half
Spread
ISU -0.5
ISU -3.0
Total
64.2
83 points
Projected score
HOU 31.9 · ISU 32.3
HOU 40 · ISU 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -1.5
1 → ISU
CloseISU -2.5
1 pt toward ISU
Total
Open133.5
▲ 1
Close134.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
HOU +124 · ISU -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -1.5 · closed ISU -2.5 · moved 1 toward ISUmodel ISU -1
model ISU -1
Opened 133.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 1 upmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| ISU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
HOU 2–2 ISUSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · HOU 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | ISU 59 @ HOU 68 | HOU -11.5 | ISU W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | ISU 69 vs HOU 41 | HOU -5.5 | ISU W |
| Feb 19, 2023-24 | ISU 65 @ HOU 73 | HOU -7.5 | HOU W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | HOU 53 @ ISU 57 | ISU +2.5 | ISU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Houston
25 games played
Straight up
23-2
92% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LEH | W 75-57 | -36.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs TOW | W 65-48 | -26.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 12 | vs OAK | W 78-45 | -30.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 16 | vs AUB | W 73-72 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs RID | W 91-45 | -40.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs SYR | W 78-74 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TENN | L 73-76 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs ND | W 66-56 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs FSU | W 82-67 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs JKST | W 80-38 | -40.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 13 | vs NOLA | W 99-57 | -32.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARK | W 94-85 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs MTSU | W 69-60 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 3 | @ CIN | W 67-60 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | vs TTU | W 69-65 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @ BAY | W 77-55 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vs WVU | W 77-48 | -13.5 | W +15.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 18 | vs ASU | W 103-73 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 24 | @TTU | L 86-90 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 28 | @ TCU | W 79-70 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vsCIN | W 76-54 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | vs UCF | W 79-55 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 7 | @ BYU | W 77-66 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 10 | @ UTAH | W 66-52 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 14 | vs KSU | W 78-64 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−9.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
+2.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
−6.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+5.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
−10.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
−5.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−1.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+2.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
+1.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+9.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+3.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−16.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
+2.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−3.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
+19.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
+15.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+11.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
−5.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+0.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
+8.5
4
vsUCF
UCFW 79-55
+8.5
7
@BYU
BYUW 77-66
+9.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 66-52
−2.5
14
vsKSU
KSUW 78-64
−8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−17.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
−15.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
+4.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+1.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
+11.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
+12.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−10.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+0.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
−19.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+17.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+32.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−9.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
−8.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−8.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
−10.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
−2.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+33.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
+34.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+9.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
−5.5
4
vsUCF
UCFW 79-55
−12.5
7
@BYU
BYUW 77-66
−8.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 66-52
−24.5
14
vsKSU
KSUW 78-64
−2.5
over 10under 15avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa State
25 games played
Straight up
22-3
88% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs SJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs CREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vsSYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs ALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ PUR | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs IOWA | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs EIU | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs LBSU | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs HCU | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vsWVU | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @BAY | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs OKST | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @ KU | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @CIN | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 20 | vsUCF | W 87-57 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @OKST | W 84-71 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 29 | vs COLO | W 97-67 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | @KSU | W 95-61 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | vsBAY | W 72-69 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 10 | @TCU | L 55-62 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 14 | vsKU | W 74-56 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
+27.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−18.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
−6.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
−7.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
+4.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
+6.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−7.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−24.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
−14.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
+15.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
+2.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+12.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 95-61
+21.5
7
vsBAY
BAYW 72-69
−11.5
10
@TCU
TCUL 55-62
−14.5
14
vsKU
KUW 74-56
+10.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
−15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−13.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−13.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
+1.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
+4.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
−3.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
−25.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−11.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−5.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
+7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
−12.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
−7.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+11.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 95-61
−0.5
7
vsBAY
BAYW 72-69
−10.5
10
@TCU
TCUL 55-62
−30.5
14
vsKU
KUW 74-56
−17.5
over 10under 15avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Houston
23-2 overall · 11-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas St78–64
- W@ Utah66–52
- W@ BYU77–66
- Wvs UCF79–55
- Wvs Cincinnati76–54
2 days since their last game.
Iowa State
22-3 overall · 9-3 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas74–56
- L@ TCU55–62
- Wvs Baylor72–69
- W@ Kansas St95–61
- Wvs Colorado97–67
2 days since their last game.