College Basketball Games Mon, Feb 16, 2026

Day in numbers24 finalFavorites 13-11 ATS7 upsetsO/U 15-9Model Favorite 16-8OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games2424 final · 0 to play

Lines moved151+ pt since the open · 24 with a line

Totals moved221+ pt since the open

Favorites ATS13-1154% covered

Upsets7outright

Over / Under15-963% over

Model Favorite16-867% won

Game	Spread, open → close	Moved	Total	Moved
MORG @ NCCU	NCCU -5.5 → NCCU -5.5	no move	154.5 → 146.5	▼ 8
ACU @ TAR	TAR -1.5 → ACU -1.5	3 → ACU	136.5 → 134.5	▼ 2
NICH @ HCU	HCU -1.5 → HCU -1.5	no move	142.5 → 136.5	▼ 6
COPP @ SCST	SCST -4.5 → SCST -4.5	no move	143.5 → 138.5	▼ 5
USA @ MRSH	MRSH -4.5 → MRSH -6.5	2 → MRSH	148.5 → 150.5	▲ 2
MCN @ NWST	MCN -12.5 → MCN -14.5	2 → MCN	137.5 → 138.5	▲ 1
SOU @ TXSO	SOU -2.5 → SOU -4.5	2 → SOU	153.5 → 151.5	▼ 2
SFA @ AMCC	SFA -4.5 → SFA -5.5	1 → SFA	139.5 → 135.5	▼ 4
COLG @ BU	COLG -1.5 → COLG -2.5	1 → COLG	142.5 → 145.5	▲ 3
WAG @ LIU	LIU -9.5 → LIU -10.5	1 → LIU	135.5 → 138.5	▲ 3

Top 10 of 23; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.

Line moved	Covered	Cover rate
1+ pts	5579-5698-5	49%
2+ pts	2172-2236-2	49%
3+ pts	880-908	49%
5+ pts	139-149	48%

Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.

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FinalConference

SE Louisiana

7-18 · #252

East Texas A&M

8-17 · #342

Spread

ETAM -2.5

✓ ETAM W ATS

Total

136.5 ▲2

▼ Under 123

Projected

68–67

✗ SELA lost

Model: SELA by 3.4 ✗ Model: Under 1.0 ✓

FinalConference

Coppin St

4-21 · #352

SC State

4-17 · #353

Spread

SCST -4.5

✓ COPP W ATS

Total

138.5 ▼5

▼ Under 116

Projected

71–76

✗ SCST lost

Model: SCST by 0.6 ✗ Model: Over 8.1 ✗

FinalConference

Louisiana

9-17 · #221

Old Dominion

8-18 · #234

Spread

ODU -6.5

✓ ODU W ATS

Total

135.5 ▼1

▲ Over 155

Projected

65–71

✓ ODU won

Model: UL by 0.2 ✗ Model: Over 1.0 ✓

FinalConference

Colgate

14-11 · #211

Boston U

11-15 · #261

Spread

COLG -2.5

✓ BU W ATS

Total

145.5 ▲3

▼ Under 143

Projected

76–75

✗ COLG lost

Model: BU by 1.6 ✓ Model: Over 6.1 ✗

FinalConference

Syracuse

15-11 · #63

Duke

23-2 · #3 AP #3

101

Spread

DUKE -20.5

✓ DUKE W ATS

Total

144.5 ▲1

▲ Over 165

Projected

64–83

✓ DUKE won

Model: SYR by 1.4 ✗ Model: Over 3.1 ✓

FinalConference

Wagner

6-15 · #354

Long Island

17-9 · #324

Spread

LIU -10.5

✓ LIU W ATS

Total

138.5 ▲3

▲ Over 148

Projected

66–76

✓ LIU won

Model: WAG by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.3 ✓

FinalConference

Howard

12-10 · #197

Delaware St

3-17 · #351

Spread

HOW -11.5

✓ HOW W ATS

Total

131.5 ▼1

▲ Over 150

Projected

72–64

✓ HOW won

Model: DSU by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.7 ✓

FinalConference

Morgan St

7-13 · #345

NC Central

5-14 · #357

Spread

NCCU -5.5

✓ MORG W ATS

Total

146.5 ▼8

▲ Over 156

Projected

74–80

✓ NCCU won

Model: Over 7.1 ✓

FinalConference

Miss Valley St

0-24 · #366

Alabama St

7-17 · #302

Spread

ALST -16.5

✓ ALST W ATS

Total

142.5 ▲2

▲ Over 147

Projected

64–81

✓ ALST won

Model: MVSU by 0.1 ✗ Model: Over 2.2 ✓

FinalConference

Bethune

12-12 · #202

Jackson St

8-17 · #280

Spread

BCU -4.5

✓ JKST W ATS

Total

150.5 ▲2

▲ Over 177

Projected

80–75

✗ BCU lost

Model: BCU by 0.1 ✗ Model: Over 4.4 ✓

FinalConference

Grambling

9-13 · #338

Prairie View

5-16 · #343

Spread

GRAM -1.5

✓ PV W ATS

Total

151.5

▼ Under 131

Projected

76–75

✗ GRAM lost

Model: GRAM by 0.2 ✗ Model: Under 0.9 ✓

FinalConference

Norfolk St

8-14 · #319

MD Eastern

6-18 · #364

Spread

NORF -1.5

✓ NORF W ATS

Total

136.5

▼ Under 136

Projected

69–67

✓ NORF won

Model: UMES by 0.1 ✗ Model: Under 0.7 ✓

FinalConference

South Alabama

17-7 · #228

Marshall

15-10 · #231

Spread

MRSH -6.5

✓ USA W ATS

Total

150.5 ▲2

▲ Over 164

Projected

73–76

✓ MRSH won

Model: USA by 3.8 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗

FinalConference

Lamar

10-14 · #293

UT Rio Grande

12-12 · #287

Spread

RGV -6.5

✓ LAM W ATS

Total

141.5 ▼1

▼ Under 135

Projected

68–72

✓ RGV won

Model: LAM by 2.4 ✓ Model: Under 1.1 ✓

FinalConference

LSU N Orleans

11-15 · #276

Incarnate Word

7-16 · #289

Spread

UIW -2.5

✓ NOLA W ATS

Total

154.5 ▼2

▼ Under 142

Projected

78–79

✗ UIW lost

Model: NOLA by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.2 ✗

FinalConference

McNeese

19-5 · #127

N'Western St

6-18 · #318

Spread

MCN -14.5

✓ NWST W ATS

Total

138.5 ▲1

▲ Over 139

Projected

77–65

✓ MCN won

Model: NWST by 1.7 ✓ Model: Over 3.6 ✓

FinalConference

Abilene Chrstn

9-13 · #253

Tarleton St

8-13 · #185

Spread

ACU -1.5

✓ TAR W ATS

Total

134.5 ▼2

▼ Under 127

Projected

68–72

✓ TAR won

Model: TAR by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 5.4 ✗

FinalConference

Florida A&M

7-14 · #327

Alcorn St

6-18 · #360

Spread

FAMU -2.5

✓ FAMU W ATS

Total

137.5 ▼1

▲ Over 164

Projected

71–71

✗ ALCN lost

Model: ALCN by 3.4 ✗ Model: Over 4.3 ✓

FinalConference

AR-Pine Bluff

9-14 · #363

Alabama A&M

11-11 · #328

Spread

AAMU -3.5

✓ AAMU W ATS

Total

144.5 ▲1

▲ Over 152

Projected

73–77

✓ AAMU won

Model: AAMU by 1.3 ✓ Model: Over 5.6 ✓

FinalConference

Southern

9-13 · #309

Texas Southern

6-15 · #322

Spread

SOU -4.5

✓ TXSO W ATS

Total

151.5 ▼2

▼ Under 147

Projected

80–78

✗ SOU lost

Model: TXSO by 3.1 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✗

FinalConference

Drexel

12-13 · #262

Stony Brook

13-11 · #191

Spread

STBK -2.5

✓ STBK W ATS

Total

135.5 ▲2

▲ Over 141

Projected

65–68

✓ STBK won

Model: STBK by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.6 ✗

FinalConference

SF Austin

21-3 · #193

Texas A&M-CC

10-12 · #238

Spread

SFA -5.5

✓ SFA W ATS

Total

135.5 ▼4

▲ Over 146

Projected

70–66

✓ SFA won

Model: AMCC by 2.3 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓

FinalConference

Nicholls

10-15 · #285

Hou Christian

7-17 · #300

Spread

HCU -1.5

✓ HCU W ATS

Total

136.5 ▼6

▲ Over 140

Projected

72–72

✓ HCU won

Model: NICH by 0.8 ✗ Model: Over 7.6 ✓

FinalConference

Houston

23-2 · #2 AP #2

Iowa State

22-3 · #13 AP #6

Spread

ISU -2.5

✓ ISU W ATS

Total

134.5 ▲1

▲ Over 137

Projected

68–69

✓ ISU won

Model: HOU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.6 ✓

Status	Matchup	Spread	Total	Model line	Spread edge	Model total	Total edge	Win prob	Model
Final	SE Louisiana 7-18 · #252 53 East Texas A&M 8-17 · #342 70	ETAM -2.5	136.5	SELA -0.9	SELA +3.4	135.5	Under 1.0	53% SELA	L W	›
Final	Coppin St 4-21 · #352 59 SC State 4-17 · #353 57	SCST -4.5	138.5	SCST -5.1	SCST +0.6	146.6	Over 8.1	67% SCST	L L	›
Final	Louisiana 9-17 · #221 72 Old Dominion 8-18 · #234 83	ODU -6.5	135.5	ODU -6.3	UL +0.2	136.5	Over 1.0	71% ODU	L W	›
Final	Colgate 14-11 · #211 58 Boston U 11-15 · #261 85	COLG -2.5	145.5	COLG -0.9	BU +1.6	151.6	Over 6.1	53% COLG	W L	›
Final	Syracuse 15-11 · #63 64 Duke 23-2 · #3 101	DUKE -20.5	144.5	DUKE -19.1	SYR +1.4	147.6	Over 3.1	95% DUKE	L W	›
Final	Wagner 6-15 · #354 65 Long Island 17-9 · #324 83	LIU -10.5	138.5	LIU -10.0	WAG +0.5	141.8	Over 3.3	81% LIU	L W	›
Final	Howard 12-10 · #197 91 Delaware St 3-17 · #351 59	HOW -11.5	131.5	HOW -8.0	DSU +3.5	135.2	Over 3.7	76% HOW	L W	›
Final	Morgan St 7-13 · #345 76 NC Central 5-14 · #357 80	NCCU -5.5	146.5	NCCU -5.5	—	153.6	Over 7.1	68% NCCU	W	›
Final	Miss Valley St 0-24 · #366 55 Alabama St 7-17 · #302 92	ALST -16.5	142.5	ALST -16.4	MVSU +0.1	144.7	Over 2.2	92% ALST	L W	›
Final	Bethune 12-12 · #202 86 Jackson St 8-17 · #280 91	BCU -4.5	150.5	BCU -4.6	BCU +0.1	154.9	Over 4.4	66% BCU	L W	›
Final	Grambling 9-13 · #338 63 Prairie View 5-16 · #343 68	GRAM -1.5	151.5	GRAM -1.7	GRAM +0.2	150.6	Under 0.9	56% GRAM	L W	›
Final	Norfolk St 8-14 · #319 70 MD Eastern 6-18 · #364 66	NORF -1.5	136.5	NORF -1.4	UMES +0.1	135.8	Under 0.7	55% NORF	L W	›
Final	South Alabama 17-7 · #228 80 Marshall 15-10 · #231 84	MRSH -6.5	150.5	MRSH -2.7	USA +3.8	149.0	Under 1.5	59% MRSH	W L	›
Final	Lamar 10-14 · #293 65 UT Rio Grande 12-12 · #287 70	RGV -6.5	141.5	RGV -4.1	LAM +2.4	140.4	Under 1.1	64% RGV	W W	›
Final	LSU N Orleans 11-15 · #276 78 Incarnate Word 7-16 · #289 64	UIW -2.5	154.5	UIW -1.0	NOLA +1.5	157.7	Over 3.2	53% UIW	W L	›
Final	McNeese 19-5 · #127 75 N'Western St 6-18 · #318 64	MCN -14.5	138.5	MCN -12.8	NWST +1.7	142.1	Over 3.6	87% MCN	W W	›
Final	Abilene Chrstn 9-13 · #253 62 Tarleton St 8-13 · #185 65	ACU -1.5	134.5	TAR -4.0	TAR +5.5	139.9	Over 5.4	64% TAR	W L	›
Final	Florida A&M 7-14 · #327 86 Alcorn St 6-18 · #360 78	FAMU -2.5	137.5	ALCN -0.9	ALCN +3.4	141.8	Over 4.3	53% ALCN	L W	›
Final	AR-Pine Bluff 9-14 · #363 70 Alabama A&M 11-11 · #328 82	AAMU -3.5	144.5	AAMU -4.8	AAMU +1.3	150.1	Over 5.6	66% AAMU	W W	›
Final	Southern 9-13 · #309 73 Texas Southern 6-15 · #322 74	SOU -4.5	151.5	SOU -1.4	TXSO +3.1	158.0	Over 6.5	55% SOU	W L	›
Final	Drexel 12-13 · #262 69 Stony Brook 13-11 · #191 72	STBK -2.5	135.5	STBK -3.0	STBK +0.5	132.9	Under 2.6	61% STBK	W L	›
Final	SF Austin 21-3 · #193 78 Texas A&M-CC 10-12 · #238 68	SFA -5.5	135.5	SFA -3.2	AMCC +2.3	136.0	Over 0.5	61% SFA	L W	›
Final	Nicholls 10-15 · #285 68 Hou Christian 7-17 · #300 72	HCU -1.5	136.5	HCU -0.7	NICH +0.8	144.1	Over 7.6	52% HCU	L W	›
Final	Houston 23-2 · #2 67 Iowa State 22-3 · #13 70	ISU -2.5	134.5	ISU -1.0	HOU +1.5	137.1	Over 2.6	53% ISU	L W	›

Day in numbers24 finalFavorites 13-11 ATS7 upsetsO/U 15-9Model Favorite 16-8OpenClose

The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record

NCAAB games · Monday, February 16, 2026

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