Dunn-Oliver Acadome · at Alabama St · Conference game
Closing line
ALST -16.5✓ ALST covered by 20.5
Closing total142.5Over by 4.5
| This season | ALST | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-24 | Record | 7-17 |
| 12-12 | ATS | 11-13 |
| 11-13 | O/U | 10-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MVSU 64–81 ALST · ✓ ALST (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MVSU | 25 | 30 | 55 |
| ALST | 42 | 50 | 92 |
1st half: MVSU 25, ALST 42 (ALST by 17). The model had ALST by 9.7 and a total of 67.7 (actual 67).
Team stats
| MVSU | ALST | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-55 33% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 31-36 86% |
| 24 6 off | Rebounds | 54 18 off |
| 7 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 28 | Fouls | 20 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| MVSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike James G | 40 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 9-24 | 4-12 |
| X'Zaevion Barnett G | 38 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Mussa Mzein C | 26 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Mayfield F | 23 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5-13 | 1-2 |
| Patrick Punch G | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Xzayvion Childress G | 32 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Chance Sutton F | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jonathan Pace C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyrone Iroghama G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: George Ivory III, Derrick Singleton, Samuel Murray, Delkedric Holmes, Antonio Sisk, Lamont Sams
| ALST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerquarius Stanback F | 25 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-1 |
| Micah Simpson G | 24 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Tyler Byrd G | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Palesse G | 21 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| JaSteven Walker F | 19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Mack G | 28 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Asjon Anderson G | 21 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Damarien Yates F | 14 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| R'Chaun King F | 13 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Mario Andrews C | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordon Marshall G | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kevin Alabi F | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Mason, Trey Miller, Damarion Bonds, Damion Cox Jr.
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALST -15.5
1 → ALST
CloseALST -16.5
1 pt toward ALST
Total
Open140.5
▲ 2
Close142.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MVSU +1100 · ALST -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALST -15.5 · closed ALST -16.5 · moved 1 toward ALSTmodel ALST -16.5 matches the line
model ALST -16.5 = line ✓
Opened 140.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 upmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ALST -16.5 | ALST -16.4 | MVSU +0.1 | L ALST covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 144.7 | Over 2.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MVSU 64.1 · ALST 80.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ALST -9.7 | ALST -17.0 |
| 1H total | 67.7 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | MVSU 29 · ALST 38.7 | MVSU 25 · ALST 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-10 0% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | |
| 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MVSU 2–7 ALSTALST leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ALST has won the last 5 meetings · MVSU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | ALST 89 @ MVSU 69 | MVSU +13.5 | ALST W |
| Feb 17, 2024-25 | ALST 79 @ MVSU 56 | MVSU +18.5 | ALST W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | MVSU 55 @ ALST 84 | ALST -21.5 | ALST W |
| Feb 19, 2023-24 | MVSU 46 @ ALST 61 | ALST -15.5 | MVSU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | ALST 54 @ MVSU 51 | MVSU +10.5 | MVSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miss Valley St
24 games played
Straight up
0-24
0% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-13
46% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 55-106 | +34.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 60-108 | +38.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 56-88 | +41.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs | L 75-81 | +26.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 73-80 | +20.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 22 | @ | L 70-86 | +21.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ | L 84-120 | +42.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 52-66 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 8 | @ | L 49-108 | +38.5 | L −20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 16 | vs | L 64-88 | +17.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 19 | @ | L 49-96 | +40.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 51-86 | +42.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 69-93 | +44.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 69-89 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 5 | vs | L 51-71 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 69-70 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | @ | L 51-84 | +12.5 | L −20.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 63-79 | +16.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 19 | vs | L 48-62 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 69-80 | +20.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 70-78 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 81-97 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 9 | vs | L 66-74 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 65-72 | +15.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UAB
L 55-106
−16.5
7
@
MUR
L 60-108
−9.5
12
@
HAW
L 56-88
+9.5
14
vs
UTU
L 75-81
+20.5
15
vs
MAN
L 73-80
+13.5
22
@
CSUB
L 70-86
+5.5
25
@
TA&M
L 84-120
+6.5
3
@
ULM
L 52-66
−4.5
8
@
KSU
L 49-108
−20.5
16
vs
TAR
L 64-88
−6.5
19
@
FSU
L 49-96
−6.5
22
@
WVU
L 51-86
+7.5
29
@
OU
L 69-93
+20.5
3
vs
ALST
L 69-89
−6.5
5
vs
AAMU
L 51-71
−9.5
10
@
PV
L 69-70
+17.5
12
@
TXSO
L 51-84
−20.5
17
vs
BCU
L 63-79
+0.5
19
vs
FAMU
L 48-62
−2.5
28
@
SOU
L 69-80
+9.5
31
vs
UAPB
L 70-78
+2.5
7
vs
JKST
L 81-97
−7.5
9
vs
ALCN
L 66-74
−2.5
14
@
AAMU
L 65-72
+8.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
UAB
L 55-106
+15.5
7
@
MUR
L 60-108
+8.5
12
@
HAW
L 56-88
−7.5
14
vs
UTU
L 75-81
+10.5
15
vs
MAN
L 73-80
−1.5
22
@
CSUB
L 70-86
+17.5
25
@
TA&M
L 84-120
+49.5
3
@
ULM
L 52-66
−31.5
8
@
KSU
L 49-108
−3.5
16
vs
TAR
L 64-88
+9.5
19
@
FSU
L 49-96
−19.5
22
@
WVU
L 51-86
−0.5
29
@
OU
L 69-93
+8.5
3
vs
ALST
L 69-89
+13.5
5
vs
AAMU
L 51-71
−13.5
10
@
PV
L 69-70
−13.5
12
@
TXSO
L 51-84
−7.5
17
vs
BCU
L 63-79
−2.5
19
vs
FAMU
L 48-62
−29.5
28
@
SOU
L 69-80
+7.5
31
vs
UAPB
L 70-78
+4.5
7
vs
JKST
L 81-97
+34.5
9
vs
ALCN
L 66-74
−0.5
14
@
AAMU
L 65-72
−1.5
over 11under 13avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama St
24 games played
Straight up
7-17
29% wins
Against the spread
11-13
46% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 64-101 | +24.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 77-74 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 66-94 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 64-66 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 101-80 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 181.5 | U 181 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 68-83 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ | L 87-93 | +19.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 7 | @ | L 64-74 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 11 | @ | L 77-85 | +26.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 51-88 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 56-94 | +17.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 89-69 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 5 | @ | L 79-90 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 64-75 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | vs | W 81-66 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 19 | vs | L 69-73 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 95-80 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | @ | L 64-96 | +2.5 | L −29.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 54-69 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 2 | vs | W 79-66 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 47-57 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 9 | @ | L 68-69 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 79-61 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
FSU
L 64-101
−12.5
11
@
UAB
W 77-74
+22.5
17
@
COLO
L 66-94
−5.5
19
@
AF
L 64-66
+0.5
21
vs
IUIN
W 101-80
+23.5
23
vs
SIUE
L 68-83
−13.5
26
@
UNM
L 87-93
+13.5
7
@
UTM
L 64-74
−3.5
11
@
MIZ
L 77-85
+18.5
17
@
CIN
L 51-88
−15.5
22
@
MEM
L 67-88
−0.5
29
@
MSST
L 56-94
−20.5
3
@
MVSU
W 89-69
+6.5
5
@
UAPB
L 79-90
−12.5
10
vs
JKST
L 64-75
−18.5
12
vs
ALCN
W 81-66
+5.5
19
vs
AAMU
L 69-73
−5.5
24
@
PV
W 95-80
+13.5
27
@
TXSO
L 64-96
−29.5
31
vs
BCU
L 54-69
−13.5
2
vs
FAMU
W 79-66
+9.5
7
@
GRAM
L 47-57
−5.5
9
@
SOU
L 68-69
+5.5
14
vs
UAPB
W 79-61
+14.5
covered 11didn’t cover 13avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
FSU
L 64-101
−1.5
11
@
UAB
W 77-74
−13.5
17
@
COLO
L 66-94
+3.5
19
@
AF
L 64-66
−8.5
21
vs
IUIN
W 101-80
−0.5
23
vs
SIUE
L 68-83
+8.5
26
@
UNM
L 87-93
+31.5
7
@
UTM
L 64-74
−6.5
11
@
MIZ
L 77-85
+6.5
17
@
CIN
L 51-88
−6.5
22
@
MEM
L 67-88
+3.5
29
@
MSST
L 56-94
−4.5
3
@
MVSU
W 89-69
+13.5
5
@
UAPB
L 79-90
+9.5
10
vs
JKST
L 64-75
−14.5
12
vs
ALCN
W 81-66
−4.5
19
vs
AAMU
L 69-73
−4.5
24
@
PV
W 95-80
+16.5
27
@
TXSO
L 64-96
+4.5
31
vs
BCU
L 54-69
−29.5
2
vs
FAMU
W 79-66
+5.5
7
@
GRAM
L 47-57
−40.5
9
@
SOU
L 68-69
−12.5
14
vs
UAPB
W 79-61
−9.5
over 10under 14avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miss Valley St
0-24 overall · 0-11 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Alabama A&M65–72
- Lvs Alcorn St66–74
- Lvs Jackson St81–97
- Lvs AR-Pine Bluff70–78
- L@ Southern69–80
2 days since their last game.
Alabama St
7-17 overall · 5-7 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff79–61
- L@ Southern68–69
- L@ Grambling47–57
- Wvs Florida A&M79–66
- Lvs Bethune54–69
2 days since their last game.