H.O. Clemmons Arena · at AR-Pine Bluff · Conference game
Closing line
ALST -1.5✓ UAPB covered by 12.5
ALST -1.5✓ UAPB covered by 12.5Closing total159.5Over by 9.5
| ALST | This season | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| 3-10 | Record | 2-10 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 6-6 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALST 83–80 UAPB · ✗ ALST (58%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALST | 32 | 47 | 79 |
| UAPB | 42 | 48 | 90 |
1st half: ALST 32, UAPB 42 (UAPB by 10). The model had ALST by 1.6 and a total of 76.3 (actual 74).
Team stats
| ALST | UAPB | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-61 44% | Field goals | 23-51 45% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 10-19 53% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 34-41 83% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 10 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 26 | Fouls | 22 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| ALST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson G | 37 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5-17 | 2-8 |
| Cameron Palesse G | 37 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 8-11 | 1-1 |
| Asjon Anderson G | 33 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 7-16 | 3-8 |
| Jerquarius Stanback F | 25 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| R'Chaun King F | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damarien Yates F | 27 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Kevin Alabi F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Mason F | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Mario Andrews C | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordon Marshall G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Mack, Damarion Bonds, Tyler Byrd, Damion Cox Jr., Trey Miller, JaSteven Walker
| UAPB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quion Williams G | 39 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 4-10 | 1-1 |
| Trevon Payton G | 37 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Alex Mirhosseini G | 36 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 6-16 | 4-10 |
| Milhan Charles G | 29 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Jaquan Scott F | 16 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ramel Lloyd Jr. G | 29 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Ahmad Johnson G | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Anthony Sellars G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dennis Asoro F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Travis Pourciau, Kyle Brown, Jai'chaunn Hayes, Jahmari Hamilton-Brown, Harrison Pickett, Trejon Ware
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketALST -1.5
ModelALST -2.4
Model edgeALST +0.9
L UAPB covered
Total
Market159.5
Model162.9
Model edgeOver 3.4
W Over
Projected score
ALST 82.7 · UAPB 80.2
ALST 79 · UAPB 90
Win probability
ALST 58%
1st half
Spread
ALST -1.6
UAPB -10.0
Total
76.3
74 points
Projected score
ALST 38.9 · UAPB 37.3
ALST 32 · UAPB 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALST -2.5
1 → UAPB
CloseALST -1.5
1 pt toward UAPB
Total
Open162.5
▼ 3
Close159.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
ALST -108 · UAPB -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALST -2.5 · closed ALST -1.5 · moved 1 toward UAPBmodel ALST -2.5
model ALST -2.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 3 downmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALST | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| UAPB | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
ALST 5–3 UAPBALST leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · ALST has won the last 2 meetings · ALST 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | ALST 75 @ UAPB 63 | UAPB +7.5 | ALST W |
| Jan 6, 2024-25 | UAPB 91 @ ALST 93 | ALST -13.5 | UAPB W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | UAPB 80 @ ALST 74 | ALST -6.5 | UAPB W |
| Jan 8, 2023-24 | ALST 83 @ UAPB 72 | UAPB +1.5 | ALST W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | ALST 74 @ UAPB 71 | UAPB -4.5 | ALST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama St
13 games played
Straight up
3-10
23% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ FSU | L 64-101 | +24.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ UAB | W 77-74 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 17 | @ COLO | L 66-94 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ AF | L 64-66 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs IUIN | W 101-80 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 181.5 | U 181 |
| Nov 23 | vs SIUE | L 68-83 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ UNM | L 87-93 | +19.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 7 | @ UTM | L 64-74 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 11 | @ MIZ | L 77-85 | +26.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ CIN | L 51-88 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 22 | @ MEM | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 29 | @ MSST | L 56-94 | +17.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 3 | @ MVSU | W 89-69 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−12.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
+22.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
−5.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
+0.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
+23.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
−13.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+13.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−3.5
11
@MIZ
MIZL 77-85
+18.5
17
@CIN
CINL 51-88
−15.5
22
@MEM
MEML 67-88
−0.5
29
@MSST
MSSTL 56-94
−20.5
3
@MVSU
MVSUW 89-69
+6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−1.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
−13.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
+3.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
−8.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
−0.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
+8.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+31.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−6.5
11
@MIZ
MIZL 77-85
+6.5
17
@CIN
CINL 51-88
−6.5
22
@MEM
MEML 67-88
+3.5
29
@MSST
MSSTL 56-94
−4.5
3
@MVSU
MVSUW 89-69
+13.5
over 6under 7avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
AR-Pine Bluff
12 games played
Straight up
2-10
17% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WASH | L 50-94 | +34.5 | L −9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | @ PORT | L 74-83 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 8 | @ LMU | L 72-94 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ OU | L 69-95 | +36.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 15 | @ VAN | L 75-104 | +41.5 | W +12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ SMU | L 60-106 | +35.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 20 | @ MRSH | L 70-98 | +20.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ M-OH | L 84-111 | +21.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 3 | @ UIC | W 63-62 | +16.5 | W +17.5 | 163.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 6 | @ DEP | L 72-76 | +23.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 10 | @ TLSA | L 84-117 | +25.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 3 | vs AAMU | W 95-83 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WASH
WASHL 50-94
−9.5
6
@PORT
PORTL 74-83
+3.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 72-94
−2.5
11
@OU
OUL 69-95
+10.5
15
@VAN
VANL 75-104
+12.5
18
@SMU
SMUL 60-106
−10.5
20
@MRSH
MRSHL 70-98
−7.5
23
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-111
−5.5
3
@UIC
UICW 63-62
+17.5
6
@DEP
DEPL 72-76
+19.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAL 84-117
−7.5
3
vsAAMU
AAMUW 95-83
+13.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WASH
WASHL 50-94
−16.5
6
@PORT
PORTL 74-83
−7.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 72-94
+8.5
11
@OU
OUL 69-95
−4.5
15
@VAN
VANL 75-104
+6.5
18
@SMU
SMUL 60-106
−2.5
20
@MRSH
MRSHL 70-98
+3.5
23
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-111
+34.5
3
@UIC
UICW 63-62
−38.5
6
@DEP
DEPL 72-76
−8.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAL 84-117
+45.5
3
vsAAMU
AAMUW 95-83
+28.5
over 6under 6avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama St
3-10 overall · 1-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Miss Valley St89–69
- L@ Mississippi St56–94
- L@ Memphis67–88
- L@ Cincinnati51–88
- L@ Missouri77–85
2 days since their last game.
AR-Pine Bluff
2-10 overall · 1-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alabama A&M95–83
- L@ Tulsa84–117
- L@ DePaul72–76
- W@ UIC63–62
- L@ Miami OH84–111
2 days since their last game.