Fifth Third Arena · at Cincinnati
Closing line
CIN -21.5✓ CIN covered by 15.5
CIN -21.5✓ CIN covered by 15.5Closing total145.5Under by 6.5
 ALST | This season | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 6-4 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 2-8 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 3-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALST 63–82 CIN · ✓ CIN (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALST | 25 | 26 | 51 |
| CIN | 50 | 38 | 88 |
1st half: ALST 25, CIN 50 (CIN by 25). The model had CIN by 11.1 and a total of 67.8 (actual 75).
Team stats
| ALST | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-69 29% | Field goals | 33-67 49% |
| 4-20 20% | 3-pointers | 8-35 23% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 40 17 off | Rebounds | 45 13 off |
| 7 | Assists | 25 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 7 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| ALST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson G | 36 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5-21 | 2-8 |
| Cameron Palesse G | 33 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Jerquarius Stanback F | 26 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Asjon Anderson G | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| R'Chaun King F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Byrd G | 29 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Damarien Yates F | 20 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Tyler Mason F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kevin Alabi F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mario Andrews C | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JaSteven Walker, Jordon Marshall, Tyler Mack, Damion Cox Jr., Damarion Bonds, Trey Miller
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller F | 27 | 26 | 14 | 1 | 11-12 | 1-2 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 24 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Shon Abaev F | 23 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 3-11 | 1-7 |
| Kerr Kriisa G | 22 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1-9 | 1-9 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 20 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Celestine G | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jizzle James G | 20 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Sencire Harris G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Grant Darbyshire G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler McKinley, Jalen Haynes, Bryson Buckingham, Lucas Atauri
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCIN -20.5
1 → CIN
CloseCIN -21.5
1 pt toward CIN
Total
Open143.5
▲ 2
Close145.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ALST +2000 · CIN -6500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CIN -20.5 · closed CIN -21.5 · moved 1 toward CINmodel CIN -18.5
model CIN -18.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 upmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -21.5 | CIN -18.6 | ALST +2.9 | L CIN covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 144.6 | Under 0.9 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | ALST 63 · CIN 81.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CIN -11.1 | CIN -25.0 |
| 1H total | 67.8 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | ALST 28.3 · CIN 39.4 | ALST 25 · CIN 50 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALSTlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
| CIN | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ALST 0–1 CINCIN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ALST 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024-25 | ALST 59 @ CIN 77 | CIN -28.5 | ALST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama St
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ FSU | L 64-101 | +24.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ UAB | W 77-74 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 17 | @ COLO | L 66-94 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ AF | L 64-66 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs IUIN | W 101-80 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 181.5 | U 181 |
| Nov 23 | vs SIUE | L 68-83 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ UNM | L 87-93 | +19.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 7 | @ UTM | L 64-74 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 11 | @ MIZ | L 77-85 | +26.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−12.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
+22.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
−5.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
+0.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
+23.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
−13.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+13.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−3.5
11
@MIZ
MIZL 77-85
+18.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−1.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
−13.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
+3.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
−8.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
−0.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
+8.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+31.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−6.5
11
@MIZ
MIZL 77-85
+6.5
over 4under 5avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cincinnati
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
2-8
20% covers · avg −7.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-7
30% overs · avg −7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs UGA | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−13.5
covered 2didn’t cover 8avg −7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−8.5
over 3under 7avg −7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama St
2-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Missouri77–85
- L@ UT Martin64–74
- L@ New Mexico87–93
- Lvs SIUE68–83
- Wvs IU Indy101–80
6 days since their last game.
Cincinnati
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Georgia65–84
- L@ Xavier74–79
- Wvs Tarleton St76–58
- Lvs E Michigan56–64
- Wvs NJIT94–67
4 days since their last game.