William J. Nicks Building · at Prairie View · Conference game
Closing line
ALST -1.5✓ ALST covered by 13.5
ALST -1.5✓ ALST covered by 13.5Closing total158.5Over by 16.5
| ALST | This season | PV |
|---|---|---|
| 4-13 | Record | 4-11 |
| 7-10 | ATS | 9-6 |
| 7-10 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALST 79–80 PV · ✗ PV (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALST | 52 | 43 | 95 |
| PV | 45 | 35 | 80 |
1st half: ALST 52, PV 45 (ALST by 7). The model had PV by 0.4 and a total of 74.0 (actual 97).
Team stats
| ALST | PV | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-66 52% | Field goals | 23-54 43% |
| 12-24 50% | 3-pointers | 4-15 27% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 30-34 88% |
| 28 8 off | Rebounds | 32 8 off |
| 10 | Assists | 9 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 23 |
| 26 | Fouls | 19 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| ALST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson G | 31 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 7-12 | 5-7 |
| Asjon Anderson G | 31 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 6-13 | 5-9 |
| JaSteven Walker F | 26 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Jerquarius Stanback F | 22 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Palesse G | 21 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Byrd G | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Mack G | 17 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Damarien Yates F | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| R'Chaun King F | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Mario Andrews C | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordon Marshall, Kevin Alabi, Damion Cox Jr., Tyler Mason, Damarion Bonds, Trey Miller
| PV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontae Horne G | 37 | 30 | 8 | 5 | 6-15 | 2-5 |
| Lance Williams G | 32 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-8 | 1-4 |
| Tai'Reon Joseph G | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Cory Wells F | 22 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Keeshawn Mason F | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Corey Dunning F | 19 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jannoy Thomas G | 19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Joey Madimba G | 18 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Mitchell G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Bolton Jr. C | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hassane Diallo, Seryee Lewis, Isaiah Foster, Doug Young, Marcel Bryant
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketALST -1.5
ModelPV -0.9
Model edgePV +2.4
L ALST covered
Total
Market158.5
Model158.1
Model edgeUnder 0.4
L Over
Projected score
ALST 78.6 · PV 79.5
ALST 95 · PV 80
Win probability
PV 53%
1st half
Spread
PV -0.4
ALST -7.0
Total
74.0
97 points
Projected score
ALST 36.8 · PV 37.2
ALST 52 · PV 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPV -1.5
3 → ALST
CloseALST -1.5
3 pts toward ALST
Total
Open155.5
▲ 3
Close158.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
ALST -112 · PV -108
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PV -1.5 · closed ALST -1.5 · moved 3 toward ALSTmodel PV -1
model PV -1
Opened 155.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 3 upmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALST | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| PV | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ALST 3–1 PVALST leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · ALST has won the last 3 meetings · ALST 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | PV 63 @ ALST 66 | ALST -7.5 | PV W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | ALST 74 @ PV 67 | PV -3.5 | ALST W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | PV 55 @ ALST 56 | ALST +3.5 | ALST W |
| Jan 22, 2021-22 | ALST 67 @ PV 70 | PV -5.5 | ALST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama St
17 games played
Straight up
4-13
24% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ FSU | L 64-101 | +24.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ UAB | W 77-74 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 17 | @ COLO | L 66-94 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ AF | L 64-66 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs IUIN | W 101-80 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 181.5 | U 181 |
| Nov 23 | vs SIUE | L 68-83 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ UNM | L 87-93 | +19.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 7 | @ UTM | L 64-74 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 11 | @ MIZ | L 77-85 | +26.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ CIN | L 51-88 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 22 | @ MEM | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 29 | @ MSST | L 56-94 | +17.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 3 | @ MVSU | W 89-69 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 5 | @ UAPB | L 79-90 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs JKST | L 64-75 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | vs ALCN | W 81-66 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 19 | vs AAMU | L 69-73 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−12.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
+22.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
−5.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
+0.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
+23.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
−13.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+13.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−3.5
11
@MIZ
MIZL 77-85
+18.5
17
@CIN
CINL 51-88
−15.5
22
@MEM
MEML 67-88
−0.5
29
@MSST
MSSTL 56-94
−20.5
3
@MVSU
MVSUW 89-69
+6.5
5
@UAPB
UAPBL 79-90
−12.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTL 64-75
−18.5
12
vsALCN
ALCNW 81-66
+5.5
19
vsAAMU
AAMUL 69-73
−5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−1.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
−13.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
+3.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
−8.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
−0.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
+8.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+31.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−6.5
11
@MIZ
MIZL 77-85
+6.5
17
@CIN
CINL 51-88
−6.5
22
@MEM
MEML 67-88
+3.5
29
@MSST
MSSTL 56-94
−4.5
3
@MVSU
MVSUW 89-69
+13.5
5
@UAPB
UAPBL 79-90
+9.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTL 64-75
−14.5
12
vsALCN
ALCNW 81-66
−4.5
19
vsAAMU
AAMUL 69-73
−4.5
over 7under 10avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Prairie View
15 games played
Straight up
4-11
27% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ WICH | L 62-105 | +20.5 | L −22.5 | 156.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 12 | @ OKST | L 67-94 | +30.5 | W +3.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 17 | @MIZ | L 73-91 | +35.5 | W +17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 22 | vsUTM | L 68-69 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNF | W 85-82 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 30 | @ UNT | L 69-72 | +16.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 13 | @ SDAK | L 85-97 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 168.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 22 | @ LSU | L 90-104 | +29.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | @ TA&M | L 82-111 | +29.5 | W +0.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 3 | @ GRAM | L 72-76 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 5 | @ SOU | W 89-85 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | vsMVSU | W 70-69 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | vsUAPB | W 73-61 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 17 | @JKST | L 78-82 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 19 | @ALCN | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@WICH
WICHL 62-105
−22.5
12
@OKST
OKSTL 67-94
+3.5
17
@MIZ
MIZL 73-91
+17.5
22
vsUTM
UTML 68-69
+9.5
23
vsUNF
UNFW 85-82
−0.5
30
@UNT
UNTL 69-72
+13.5
13
@SDAK
SDAKL 85-97
−5.5
22
@LSU
LSUL 90-104
+15.5
29
@TA&M
TA&ML 82-111
+0.5
3
@GRAM
GRAML 72-76
+3.5
5
@SOU
SOUW 89-85
+11.5
10
vsMVSU
MVSUW 70-69
−17.5
12
vsUAPB
UAPBW 73-61
+8.5
17
@JKST
JKSTL 78-82
−2.5
19
@ALCN
ALCNL 75-76
−3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@WICH
WICHL 62-105
+10.5
12
@OKST
OKSTL 67-94
−7.5
17
@MIZ
MIZL 73-91
−2.5
22
vsUTM
UTML 68-69
−18.5
23
vsUNF
UNFW 85-82
+6.5
30
@UNT
UNTL 69-72
−0.5
13
@SDAK
SDAKL 85-97
+13.5
22
@LSU
LSUL 90-104
+32.5
29
@TA&M
TA&ML 82-111
+15.5
3
@GRAM
GRAML 72-76
−7.5
5
@SOU
SOUW 89-85
+13.5
10
vsMVSU
MVSUW 70-69
−13.5
12
vsUAPB
UAPBW 73-61
−30.5
17
@JKST
JKSTL 78-82
−0.5
19
@ALCN
ALCNL 75-76
−1.5
over 6under 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama St
4-13 overall · 2-3 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Alabama A&M69–73
- Wvs Alcorn St81–66
- Lvs Jackson St64–75
- L@ AR-Pine Bluff79–90
- W@ Miss Valley St89–69
5 days since their last game.
Prairie View
4-11 overall · 3-3 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Alcorn St75–76
- L@ Jackson St78–82
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff73–61
- Wvs Miss Valley St70–69
- W@ Southern89–85
5 days since their last game.