R.W. Harrison HPER Complex · at Miss Valley St · Conference game
Closing line
UAPB -10.5✓ MVSU covered by 2.5
UAPB -10.5✓ MVSU covered by 2.5Closing total143.5Over by 4.5
| UAPB | This season | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-13 | Record | 0-20 |
| 9-9 | ATS | 10-10 |
| 8-10 | O/U | 9-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UAPB 80–72 MVSU · ✓ UAPB (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAPB | 30 | 48 | 78 |
| MVSU | 24 | 46 | 70 |
1st half: UAPB 30, MVSU 24 (UAPB by 6). The model had UAPB by 5.1 and a total of 71.0 (actual 54).
Team stats
| UAPB | MVSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-53 45% | Field goals | 23-48 48% |
| 6-15 40% | 3-pointers | 2-10 20% |
| 24-34 71% | Free throws | 22-28 79% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 31 5 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 20 | Fouls | 25 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UAPB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevon Payton G | 36 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Milhan Charles G | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 7-10 | 0-1 |
| Quion Williams G | 34 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 7-15 | 1-2 |
| Alex Mirhosseini G | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Jaquan Scott F | 23 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ramel Lloyd Jr. G | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Dennis Asoro F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ahmad Johnson G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kyle Brown F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Harrison Pickett, Jahmari Hamilton-Brown, Jai'chaunn Hayes, Anthony Sellars, Travis Pourciau, Trejon Ware
| MVSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzayvion Childress G | 40 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Mike James G | 40 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 9-16 | 1-3 |
| X'Zaevion Barnett G | 36 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Mussa Mzein C | 25 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Mayfield F | 24 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chance Sutton F | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Tyrone Iroghama G | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jonathan Pace C | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Derrick Singleton, Patrick Punch, Antonio Sisk, George Ivory III, Lamont Sams, Delkedric Holmes, Samuel Murray
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUAPB -10.5
ModelUAPB -8.4
Model edgeMVSU +2.1
W MVSU covered
Total
Market143.5
Model151.6
Model edgeOver 8.1
W Over
Projected score
UAPB 80 · MVSU 71.6
UAPB 78 · MVSU 70
Win probability
UAPB 77%
1st half
Spread
UAPB -5.1
UAPB -6.0
Total
71.0
54 points
Projected score
UAPB 38 · MVSU 32.9
UAPB 30 · MVSU 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUAPB -10.5
no move
CloseUAPB -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
no move
Close143.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UAPB -455 · MVSU +350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UAPB -10.5 · unchangedmodel UAPB -8.5
model UAPB -8.5
Opened 143.5 · unchangedmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAPB | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| MVSU | 0-10 0% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UAPB 6–2 MVSUUAPB leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UAPB 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | UAPB 83 @ MVSU 58 | MVSU +9.5 | UAPB W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | MVSU 79 @ UAPB 76 | UAPB -12.5 | MVSU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | MVSU 69 @ UAPB 78 | UAPB -13.5 | MVSU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | UAPB 83 @ MVSU 77 | MVSU +10.5 | MVSU W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | UAPB 74 @ MVSU 78 | MVSU +1.5 | MVSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
AR-Pine Bluff
18 games played
Straight up
5-13
28% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WASH | L 50-94 | +34.5 | L −9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | @ PORT | L 74-83 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 8 | @ LMU | L 72-94 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ OU | L 69-95 | +36.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 15 | @ VAN | L 75-104 | +41.5 | W +12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ SMU | L 60-106 | +35.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 20 | @ MRSH | L 70-98 | +20.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ M-OH | L 84-111 | +21.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 3 | @ UIC | W 63-62 | +16.5 | W +17.5 | 163.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 6 | @ DEP | L 72-76 | +23.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 10 | @ TLSA | L 84-117 | +25.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 3 | vs AAMU | W 95-83 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 5 | vs ALST | W 90-79 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | @ TXSO | W 74-66 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 12 | @ PV | L 61-73 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 17 | vs FAMU | L 67-71 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 19 | vs BCU | L 82-87 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | @ SOU | W 75-74 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WASH
WASHL 50-94
−9.5
6
@PORT
PORTL 74-83
+3.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 72-94
−2.5
11
@OU
OUL 69-95
+10.5
15
@VAN
VANL 75-104
+12.5
18
@SMU
SMUL 60-106
−10.5
20
@MRSH
MRSHL 70-98
−7.5
23
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-111
−5.5
3
@UIC
UICW 63-62
+17.5
6
@DEP
DEPL 72-76
+19.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAL 84-117
−7.5
3
vsAAMU
AAMUW 95-83
+13.5
5
vsALST
ALSTW 90-79
+12.5
10
@TXSO
TXSOW 74-66
+9.5
12
@PV
PVL 61-73
−8.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUL 67-71
−6.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 82-87
−2.5
24
@SOU
SOUW 75-74
+10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WASH
WASHL 50-94
−16.5
6
@PORT
PORTL 74-83
−7.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 72-94
+8.5
11
@OU
OUL 69-95
−4.5
15
@VAN
VANL 75-104
+6.5
18
@SMU
SMUL 60-106
−2.5
20
@MRSH
MRSHL 70-98
+3.5
23
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-111
+34.5
3
@UIC
UICW 63-62
−38.5
6
@DEP
DEPL 72-76
−8.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAL 84-117
+45.5
3
vsAAMU
AAMUW 95-83
+28.5
5
vsALST
ALSTW 90-79
+9.5
10
@TXSO
TXSOW 74-66
−22.5
12
@PV
PVL 61-73
−30.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUL 67-71
−11.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 82-87
+13.5
24
@SOU
SOUW 75-74
−5.5
over 8under 10avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miss Valley St
20 games played
Straight up
0-20
0% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UAB | L 55-106 | +34.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ MUR | L 60-108 | +38.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 12 | @ HAW | L 56-88 | +41.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs UTU | L 75-81 | +26.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs MAN | L 73-80 | +20.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 22 | @ CSUB | L 70-86 | +21.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ TA&M | L 84-120 | +42.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 3 | @ ULM | L 52-66 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 8 | @ KSU | L 49-108 | +38.5 | L −20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 16 | vs TAR | L 64-88 | +17.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 19 | @ FSU | L 49-96 | +40.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 22 | @ WVU | L 51-86 | +42.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 29 | @OU | L 69-93 | +44.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | vsALST | L 69-89 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 5 | vsAAMU | L 51-71 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 10 | @PV | L 69-70 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | @TXSO | L 51-84 | +12.5 | L −20.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 17 | vsBCU | L 63-79 | +16.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 19 | vsFAMU | L 48-62 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 28 | @SOU | L 69-80 | +20.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UAB
UABL 55-106
−16.5
7
@MUR
MURL 60-108
−9.5
12
@HAW
HAWL 56-88
+9.5
14
vsUTU
UTUL 75-81
+20.5
15
vsMAN
MANL 73-80
+13.5
22
@CSUB
CSUBL 70-86
+5.5
25
@TA&M
TA&ML 84-120
+6.5
3
@ULM
ULML 52-66
−4.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 49-108
−20.5
16
vsTAR
TARL 64-88
−6.5
19
@FSU
FSUL 49-96
−6.5
22
@WVU
WVUL 51-86
+7.5
29
@OU
OUL 69-93
+20.5
3
vsALST
ALSTL 69-89
−6.5
5
vsAAMU
AAMUL 51-71
−9.5
10
@PV
PVL 69-70
+17.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOL 51-84
−20.5
17
vsBCU
BCUL 63-79
+0.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUL 48-62
−2.5
28
@SOU
SOUL 69-80
+9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UAB
UABL 55-106
+15.5
7
@MUR
MURL 60-108
+8.5
12
@HAW
HAWL 56-88
−7.5
14
vsUTU
UTUL 75-81
+10.5
15
vsMAN
MANL 73-80
−1.5
22
@CSUB
CSUBL 70-86
+17.5
25
@TA&M
TA&ML 84-120
+49.5
3
@ULM
ULML 52-66
−31.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 49-108
−3.5
16
vsTAR
TARL 64-88
+9.5
19
@FSU
FSUL 49-96
−19.5
22
@WVU
WVUL 51-86
−0.5
29
@OU
OUL 69-93
+8.5
3
vsALST
ALSTL 69-89
+13.5
5
vsAAMU
AAMUL 51-71
−13.5
10
@PV
PVL 69-70
−13.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOL 51-84
−7.5
17
vsBCU
BCUL 63-79
−2.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUL 48-62
−29.5
28
@SOU
SOUL 69-80
+7.5
over 9under 11avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
AR-Pine Bluff
5-13 overall · 4-3 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Southern75–74
- Lvs Bethune82–87
- Lvs Florida A&M67–71
- L@ Prairie View61–73
- W@ Texas Southern74–66
A week or more of rest.
Miss Valley St
0-20 overall · 0-7 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Southern69–80
- Lvs Florida A&M48–62
- Lvs Bethune63–79
- L@ Texas Southern51–84
- L@ Prairie View69–70
3 days since their last game.