McDougald-McLendon Arena · at NC Central · Conference game
Closing line
NCCU -5.5✓ MORG covered by 1.5
NCCU -5.5✓ MORG covered by 1.5Closing total146.5Over by 9.5
 MORG | This season | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-13 | Record | 5-14 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 8-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MORG 74–80 NCCU · ✓ NCCU (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MORG | 30 | 46 | 76 |
| NCCU | 51 | 29 | 80 |
1st half: MORG 30, NCCU 51 (NCCU by 21). The model had NCCU by 3.1 and a total of 71.8 (actual 81).
Team stats
| MORG | NCCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-71 35% | Field goals | 26-55 47% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 8-15 53% |
| 17-23 74% | Free throws | 20-25 80% |
| 44 22 off | Rebounds | 36 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 11 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 23 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| MORG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Meeks F | 38 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Davis G | 37 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 8-15 | 2-3 |
| Rob Lawson G | 31 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1-13 | 1-5 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. G | 25 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 5-14 | 3-7 |
| Marland Harris F | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Oliver C | 23 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. G | 20 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Manok Lual F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Eugene Alvin F | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| David Bumpass G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Breon Barnett G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dallas James, Jayden Socka, Matar Wade, Trent Edwards
| NCCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore G | 40 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 6-14 | 5-9 |
| Kyric Davis G | 40 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Jae Slack F | 39 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 3-12 | 1-2 |
| Kelechi Okworogwo F | 38 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Dionte Johnson G | 33 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Archey G | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Gbenga Olubi F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Justin Edwards G | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jonathan Dunn, Khalil Arnold, Camren Daniels, Khouri Carvey, Ramondo Battle II, Tekao Carpenter, Caleb Ellison
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCCU -5.5
ModelNCCU -5.5
Model edge—
MORG covered
Total
Market146.5
Model153.6
Model edgeOver 7.1
W Over
Projected score
MORG 74.1 · NCCU 79.6
MORG 76 · NCCU 80
Win probability
NCCU 68%
1st half
Spread
NCCU -3.1
NCCU -21.0
Total
71.8
81 points
Projected score
MORG 34.3 · NCCU 37.5
MORG 30 · NCCU 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCCU -5.5
no move
CloseNCCU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▼ 8
Close146.5
Down 8 since the open
Moneyline
MORG +190 · NCCU -230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCCU -5.5 · unchangedmodel NCCU -5.5 matches the line
model NCCU -5.5 = line ✓
Opened 154.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 8 downmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MORG | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| NCCU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MORG 5–3 NCCUMORG leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MORG 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025-26 | NCCU 89 @ MORG 78 | MORG +3.5 | NCCU W |
| Feb 17, 2024-25 | MORG 92 @ NCCU 78 | NCCU -9.5 | MORG W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | NCCU 98 @ MORG 102 | MORG +3.5 | MORG W |
| Mar 4, 2023-24 | NCCU 79 @ MORG 88 | MORG +8.5 | MORG W |
| Feb 5, 2023-24 | MORG 79 @ NCCU 72 | NCCU -8.5 | MORG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Morgan St
20 games played
Straight up
7-13
35% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GTWN | L 70-87 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMBC | L 79-81 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 15 | @ MERC | L 72-86 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 18 | vs NCAT | L 73-79 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 21 | @ ODU | L 56-88 | +11.5 | L −20.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs DREX | L 66-71 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LONG | L 80-84 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ DEP | L 49-92 | +21.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 13 | vs NIA | W 81-73 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ CAL | L 50-97 | +26.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ SF | L 64-94 | +25.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 23 | @ LMU | L 56-83 | +23.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | @ UMES | L 49-66 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 10 | vs SCST | W 72-67 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | vsNCCU | L 78-89 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ DSU | W 80-79 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ HOW | W 78-77 | +14.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 26 | @ NORF | W 79-78 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 31 | @ COPP | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 7 | vsUMES | W 79-71 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 70-87
+10.5
11
vsUMBC
UMBCL 79-81
+2.5
15
@MERC
MERCL 72-86
−7.5
18
vsNCAT
NCATL 73-79
−3.5
21
@ODU
ODUL 56-88
−20.5
25
vsDREX
DREXL 66-71
+0.5
6
vsLONG
LONGL 80-84
+1.5
9
@DEP
DEPL 49-92
−21.5
13
vsNIA
NIAW 81-73
+6.5
19
@CAL
CALL 50-97
−20.5
21
@SF
SFL 64-94
−4.5
23
@LMU
LMUL 56-83
−3.5
3
@UMES
UMESL 49-66
−10.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 72-67
+0.5
12
vsNCCU
NCCUL 78-89
−7.5
17
@DSU
DSUW 80-79
+4.5
24
@HOW
HOWW 78-77
+15.5
26
@NORF
NORFW 79-78
+8.5
31
@COPP
COPPW 89-80
+5.5
7
vsUMES
UMESW 79-71
+9.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 70-87
+2.5
11
vsUMBC
UMBCL 79-81
−2.5
15
@MERC
MERCL 72-86
+11.5
18
vsNCAT
NCATL 73-79
−9.5
21
@ODU
ODUL 56-88
−12.5
25
vsDREX
DREXL 66-71
−6.5
6
vsLONG
LONGL 80-84
+9.5
9
@DEP
DEPL 49-92
−9.5
13
vsNIA
NIAW 81-73
+13.5
19
@CAL
CALL 50-97
−4.5
21
@SF
SFL 64-94
+12.5
23
@LMU
LMUL 56-83
−5.5
3
@UMES
UMESL 49-66
−23.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 72-67
−8.5
12
vsNCCU
NCCUL 78-89
+25.5
17
@DSU
DSUW 80-79
+22.5
24
@HOW
HOWW 78-77
+6.5
26
@NORF
NORFW 79-78
+4.5
31
@COPP
COPPW 89-80
+13.5
7
vsUMES
UMESW 79-71
+9.5
over 11under 9avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC Central
19 games played
Straight up
5-14
26% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NCSU | L 66-114 | +31.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | @ UVA | L 62-81 | +34.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ APP | L 54-76 | +10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UNC | L 53-97 | +34.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ DAY | L 55-74 | +29.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 25 | @ UPST | L 67-82 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 3 | @ JMU | L 62-67 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vsNCAT | L 54-69 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 9 | @ UK | L 67-103 | +42.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vsLONG | L 72-74 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ PSU | L 67-90 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vsNORF | W 69-67 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 10 | @COPP | W 88-77 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 12 | @MORG | W 89-78 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsHOW | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 2 | vsUMES | W 65-63 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 7 | @NORF | L 68-75 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 9 | vsDSU | W 72-63 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | O 135 |
| Feb 14 | vsCOPP | L 56-58 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
−16.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
+15.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−11.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
+10.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
−7.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
+9.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−12.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+6.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
+1.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+0.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 69-67
+3.5
10
@COPP
COPPW 88-77
+4.5
12
@MORG
MORGW 89-78
+7.5
17
vsHOW
HOWL 69-83
−11.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 65-63
−0.5
7
@NORF
NORFL 68-75
−2.5
9
vsDSU
DSUW 72-63
+1.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPL 56-58
−12.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
+34.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
−8.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−6.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
−17.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
+0.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
−14.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−19.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+21.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
−0.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+6.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 69-67
−5.5
10
@COPP
COPPW 88-77
+21.5
12
@MORG
MORGW 89-78
+25.5
17
vsHOW
HOWL 69-83
+10.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 65-63
−6.5
7
@NORF
NORFL 68-75
−5.5
9
vsDSU
DSUW 72-63
+0.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPL 56-58
−29.5
over 8under 11avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Morgan St
7-13 overall · 6-2 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs MD Eastern79–71
- W@ Coppin St89–80
- W@ Norfolk St79–78
- W@ Howard78–77
- W@ Delaware St80–79
A week or more of rest.
NC Central
5-14 overall · 5-3 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Coppin St56–58
- Wvs Delaware St72–63
- L@ Norfolk St68–75
- Wvs MD Eastern65–63
- Lvs Howard69–83
2 days since their last game.