Cam Henderson Center · at Marshall · Conference game
Closing line
MRSH -6.5✓ USA covered by 2.5
MRSH -6.5✓ USA covered by 2.5Closing total150.5Over by 13.5
 USA | This season | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| 17-7 | Record | 15-10 |
| 13-11 | ATS | 8-17 |
| 13-11 | O/U | 14-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USA 73–76 MRSH · ✓ MRSH (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 35 | 45 | 80 |
| MRSH | 48 | 36 | 84 |
1st half: USA 35, MRSH 48 (MRSH by 13). The model had MRSH by 1.5 and a total of 69.7 (actual 83).
Team stats
| USA | MRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-62 53% | Field goals | 30-63 48% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 18-46 39% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 37 13 off | Rebounds | 29 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 26 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 52 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen F | 36 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 8-15 | 5-9 |
| Chaze Harris G | 36 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 11-20 | 0-1 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-3 |
| Randy Brady F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stephen Williams F | 28 | 19 | 11 | 0 | 9-11 | 0-0 |
| JJ Wheat G | 25 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| John Broom G | 22 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Maxwell Land, Peyton Law, Desmond Williams, Brian Hawthorne, Samuel Shoptaw
| MRSH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landen Joseph G | 37 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 3-11 | 3-10 |
| Jalen Speer G | 36 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 6-13 | 6-12 |
| Wyatt Fricks F | 35 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 11-17 | 1-7 |
| Noah Otshudi G | 33 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Erich Harding F | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Wilson Dubinsky G | 25 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Caleb Hollenbeck G | 13 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
Did not play: Shamarrie Hugie, Bryce Slay, Kai Spears, Drew Fuquay, Matt Van Komen, Grant Moore, Will Moore, Kaiden White
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRSH -6.5
ModelMRSH -2.7
Model edgeUSA +3.8
W USA covered
Total
Market150.5
Model149.0
Model edgeUnder 1.5
L Over
Projected score
USA 73.2 · MRSH 75.8
USA 80 · MRSH 84
Win probability
MRSH 59%
1st half
Spread
MRSH -1.5
MRSH -13.0
Total
69.7
83 points
Projected score
USA 34.1 · MRSH 35.6
USA 35 · MRSH 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRSH -4.5
2 → MRSH
CloseMRSH -6.5
2 pts toward MRSH
Total
Open148.5
▲ 2
Close150.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
USA +220 · MRSH -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRSH -4.5 · closed MRSH -6.5 · moved 2 toward MRSHmodel MRSH -2.5
model MRSH -2.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| MRSH | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
USA 2–0 MRSHUSA leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · USA has won the last 2 meetings · USA 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | MRSH 82 @ USA 91 | USA -4.5 | USA W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | USA 91 @ MRSH 85 | MRSH -4.5 | USA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Alabama
24 games played
Straight up
17-7
71% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs UNT | L 57-58 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ ULM | W 96-92 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | @ TXST | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ UL | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | @ TROY | L 49-59 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 10 | vs GASO | W 87-71 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs ARST | W 91-87 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | vsUL | L 56-59 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @ JMU | W 90-83 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 29 | vs CCU | W 53-48 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 101 |
| Jan 31 | vs GAST | W 69-67 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 4 | @ APP | L 57-65 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vs BUF | W 81-69 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 12 | @ USM | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 135.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | @ARST | W 92-88 | +8.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−2.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
−5.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
+1.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
+1.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−0.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+13.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+8.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−12.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+11.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
+1.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−3.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−2.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+8.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+7.5
14
@ARST
ARSTW 92-88
+12.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−20.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
+39.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
−4.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
−6.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−40.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+9.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+23.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−14.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+34.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
−38.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−4.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−9.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+4.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+26.5
14
@ARST
ARSTW 92-88
+30.5
over 13under 11avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Marshall
25 games played
Straight up
15-10
60% wins
Against the spread
8-17
32% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MASS | W 78-72 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | @TOL | W 85-73 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 12 | vs ELON | W 96-89 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 15 | @ UVA | L 78-104 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 20 | vs UAPB | W 98-70 | -20.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs MERC | W 69-60 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIP | L 67-90 | -7.5 | L −30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 3 | @ UNCW | L 69-70 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ OHIO | L 81-88 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | vs WKU | W 77-61 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 13 | vs WRST | W 76-74 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 20 | @TROY | L 63-70 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vsGAST | W 84-80 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vsAPP | W 88-81 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 7 | @JMU | W 66-64 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | @GAST | L 73-81 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vsCCU | L 83-85 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 17 | vsJMU | W 77-72 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 22 | vsULM | W 115-60 | -18.5 | W +36.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 28 | @TXST | L 68-72 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | @ARST | W 70-61 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 165.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 4 | vsUSM | W 81-77 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 7 | vs M-OH | L 74-90 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 11 | @ ODU | W 81-79 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @GASO | L 87-101 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 162.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
+10.5
8
@TOL
TOLW 85-73
+14.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 96-89
−1.5
15
@UVA
UVAL 78-104
−5.5
20
vsUAPB
UAPBW 98-70
+7.5
23
vsMERC
MERCW 69-60
−2.5
26
vsLIP
LIPL 67-90
−30.5
3
@UNCW
UNCWL 69-70
+7.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 81-88
−3.5
10
vsWKU
WKUW 77-61
+14.5
13
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-74
−1.5
20
@TROY
TROYL 63-70
−2.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 84-80
−9.5
3
vsAPP
APPW 88-81
−0.5
7
@JMU
JMUW 66-64
+3.5
10
@GAST
GASTL 73-81
−12.5
14
vsCCU
CCUL 83-85
−11.5
17
vsJMU
JMUW 77-72
−1.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 115-60
+36.5
28
@TXST
TXSTL 68-72
−7.5
31
@ARST
ARSTW 70-61
+12.5
4
vsUSM
USMW 81-77
−6.5
7
vsM-OH
M-OHL 74-90
−14.5
11
@ODU
ODUW 81-79
−1.5
14
@GASO
GASOL 87-101
−16.5
covered 8didn’t cover 17avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
−2.5
8
@TOL
TOLW 85-73
−2.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 96-89
+29.5
15
@UVA
UVAL 78-104
+26.5
20
vsUAPB
UAPBW 98-70
+3.5
23
vsMERC
MERCW 69-60
−18.5
26
vsLIP
LIPL 67-90
−0.5
3
@UNCW
UNCWL 69-70
−11.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 81-88
+11.5
10
vsWKU
WKUW 77-61
−21.5
13
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-74
+0.5
20
@TROY
TROYL 63-70
−22.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 84-80
+12.5
3
vsAPP
APPW 88-81
+27.5
7
@JMU
JMUW 66-64
−22.5
10
@GAST
GASTL 73-81
+0.5
14
vsCCU
CCUL 83-85
+16.5
17
vsJMU
JMUW 77-72
−0.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 115-60
+14.5
28
@TXST
TXSTL 68-72
−7.5
31
@ARST
ARSTW 70-61
−34.5
4
vsUSM
USMW 81-77
+9.5
7
vsM-OH
M-OHL 74-90
+1.5
11
@ODU
ODUW 81-79
+4.5
14
@GASO
GASOL 87-101
+25.5
over 14under 11avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Alabama
17-7 overall · 9-4 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Arkansas St92–88
- W@ Southern Miss84–78
- Wvs Buffalo81–69
- L@ App State57–65
- Wvs Georgia St69–67
2 days since their last game.
Marshall
15-10 overall · 8-5 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ GA Southern87–101
- W@ Old Dominion81–79
- Lvs Miami OH74–90
- Wvs Southern Miss81–77
- W@ Arkansas St70–61
2 days since their last game.