South Alabama Jaguars vs Coppin State Eagles: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 15, 11:00 AM ETMcArthur Center · Neutral site

Final

#352COPPCoppin St62final

Closing lineUSA -18.5✓ COPP covered by 8.5

Closing total133.5Over by 0.5

Season records: South Alabama and Coppin St
USA	This season	COPP
3-0	Record	0-5
1-2	ATS	2-3
1-2	O/U	3-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: USA 78–62 COPP · ✓ USA (93%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
USA	33	39	72
COPP	28	34	62

1st half: USA 33, COPP 28 (USA by 5). The model had USA by 10.3 and a total of 65.6 (actual 61).

Team stats

USA		COPP
26-63 41%	Field goals	21-56 38%
9-27 33%	3-pointers	7-32 22%
11-15 73%	Free throws	13-17 76%
40 14 off	Rebounds	34 9 off
16	Assists	16
8	Steals	6
3	Blocks	5
9	Turnovers	13
14	Fouls	11
30	Points in paint	28
8	Fast-break points	11

Players

USA	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Adam Olsen F	37	25	3	3	9-12	6-9
Randy Brady F	26	2	6	0	0-3	0-2
Chaze Harris G	24	13	4	6	4-10	0-1
Jayden Cooper G	24	5	2	2	2-11	0-5
Peyton Law F	13	4	6	0	2-7	0-0
Bench
Stephen Williams F	27	14	7	0	6-8	0-0
JJ Wheat G	18	3	3	4	1-3	1-2
Brian Hawthorne G	14	0	3	0	0-1	0-1
Hantz Louis-Jeune G	14	6	1	1	2-8	2-7
John Broom G	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Maxwell Land, Desmond Williams, Samuel Shoptaw

COPP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Hassan Perkins G	32	9	0	5	3-6	3-6
Demariontay Hall F	31	15	7	1	7-9	0-0
Hussain Williams G	27	12	4	1	2-13	1-12
Tyler Koenig F	26	4	8	1	2-6	0-0
Baasil Saunders G	25	5	3	3	2-7	1-4
Bench
Jamari Piercy G	21	5	1	2	2-6	0-3
Favour Aire C	14	0	5	0	0-0	0-0
Torrin Andrews G	14	3	1	3	1-4	1-4
Khali Horton F	9	9	2	0	2-5	1-3
Daveyon Lydner G	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Josiah Brown, Nelson Lamizana, Elijah Taylor, Taj Thweatt, Camaren Sparrow, Macahi Nelson, Chris Morgan

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	USA -18.5	USA -16.7	COPP +1.8	W COPP covered
Total	133.5	139.9	Over 6.4	W Over
Projected score	—	USA 78.3 · COPP 61.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	USA -10.3	USA -5.0
1H total	65.6	61
1H projected score	USA 37.9 · COPP 27.6	USA 33 · COPP 28

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
USA WLL	1-2	33%	0-1	0-2
COPP WLWLL	2-3	40%	1-1	2-3

Venue/role: USA neutral site, as favorite; COPP neutral site, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
USA UOU	1-2	33%	3-0
COPP OOOUU	3-2	60%	0-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
USAlast 3	3-0 100%	1-2 33%	1-2 33%
COPPlast 5	0-5 0%	2-3 40%	3-2 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

South Alabama

3 games played

Straight up

3-0

100% wins

Against the spread

1-2

33% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-2

33% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-0100%

W W W

3 straight wins3 of 3 won

Against the spread

1-233%

W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of 3 covered

Over / Under

1-233%

U O U

1 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@TOL	W 76-74	+2.5	W +4.5	150.5	U 150
Nov 6	vsALCN	W 76-70	-18.5	L −12.5	141.5	O 146
Nov 13	vsCMU	W 66-64	-5.5	L −3.5	142.5	U 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

TOL

W 76-74

+4.5

ALCN

W 76-70

−12.5

CMU

W 66-64

−3.5

covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

TOL

W 76-74

−0.5

ALCN

W 76-70

+4.5

CMU

W 66-64

−12.5

over 1under 2avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Coppin St

5 games played

Straight up

0-5

0% wins

Against the spread

2-3

40% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-2

60% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-50%

L L L L L

5 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-340%

W L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-260%

O O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsMD	L 61-83	+28.5	W +6.5	139.5	O 144
Nov 5	@LAS	L 59-87	+17.5	L −10.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 9	@JMU	L 70-84	+18.5	W +4.5	141.5	O 154
Nov 12	@USF	L 50-100	+34.5	L −15.5	167.5	U 150
Nov 14	vsCMU	L 59-82	+10.5	L −12.5	142.5	U 141

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 61-83

+6.5

LAS

L 59-87

−10.5

JMU

L 70-84

+4.5

USF

L 50-100

−15.5

CMU

L 59-82

−12.5

covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 61-83

+4.5

LAS

L 59-87

+6.5

JMU

L 70-84

+12.5

USF

L 50-100

−17.5

CMU

L 59-82

−1.5

over 3under 2avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

South Alabama Jaguars vs Coppin State Eagles

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

South Alabama

Coppin St

South Alabama

Coppin St