Reed Green Coliseum · at Southern Miss · Conference game
#228USASouth Alabama84▲ winner
Final
#224USMSouthern Miss78final
Closing lineUSM -1.5✓ USA covered by 7.5
Closing total135.5Over by 26.5
Season records: South Alabama and Southern Miss
USAThis seasonUSM
15-7Record11-13
11-11ATS10-14
11-11O/U13-11

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: USA 70–72 USM · ✗ USM (54%) lost
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
USA424284
USM364278

1st half: USA 42, USM 36 (USA by 6). The model had USM by 0.6 and a total of 66.5 (actual 78).

Team stats

USAUSM
27-50 54%Field goals24-50 48%
9-23 39%3-pointers8-20 40%
21-37 57%Free throws22-28 79%
26 4 offRebounds36 8 off
9Assists13
13Steals7
3Blocks2
10Turnovers21
19Fouls23
32Points in paint32
21Fast-break points22

Players

USAMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Jayden Cooper G39343210-167-9
Adam Olsen F374501-101-8
Chaze Harris G3426249-110-0
Randy Brady F255610-10-1
Hantz Louis-Jeune G223011-41-4
Bench
John Broom G212301-20-1
Stephen Williams F156403-40-0
JJ Wheat G74112-20-0

Did not play: Samuel Shoptaw, Brian Hawthorne, Desmond Williams, Peyton Law, Maxwell Land

USMMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Djahi Binet F35151225-80-0
Tylik Weeks F3425576-142-3
Isaac Taveras G2311724-60-0
Dylan Brumfield G236502-40-0
Israel Hart G2311104-73-6
Bench
Curt Lewis G196002-52-5
Chiante' Tramble G170210-30-3
Dalyn Brandon G174211-31-3
Tegra Izay C50100-00-0
Fallou Diagne C40000-00-0

Did not play: Felipe Patino, Jett Montgomery, Brewer Carruth, EJ Paymon, IJ Ezuma, Robert Cowherd, Chandler Watts, Blake Lander

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Market

Open → close
Spread
1 pt toward USA
Total
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
USA +105 · USM -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USM -2.5 · closed USM -1.5 · moved 1 toward USAmodel USM -1.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 2 downmodel 142
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edgeResult
SpreadUSM -1.5USM -1.3USA +0.3W USA covered
Total135.5142.1Over 6.6W Over
Projected score—USA 70.4 · USM 71.7

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadUSM -0.6USA -6.0
1H total66.578
1H projected scoreUSA 33 · USM 33.6USA 42 · USM 36

South Alabama

15-7 overall · 7-4 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Buffalo81–69
  • L@ App State57–65
  • Wvs Georgia St69–67
  • Wvs Coastal53–48
  • W@ James Madison90–83

5 days since their last game.

Southern Miss

11-13 overall · 6-7 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Kent State66–65
  • L@ Marshall77–81
  • Wvs James Madison73–65
  • Lvs App State63–70
  • L@ Coastal67–85

5 days since their last game.