Reed Green Coliseum · at Southern Miss · Conference game
Closing line
USM -1.5✓ USM covered by 6.5
USM -1.5✓ USM covered by 6.5Closing total143.5Under by 5.5
 JMU | This season | USM |
|---|---|---|
| 10-11 | Record | 9-12 |
| 7-14 | ATS | 7-14 |
| 11-10 | O/U | 12-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JMU 74–75 USM · ✓ USM (54%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 21 | 44 | 65 |
| USM | 29 | 44 | 73 |
1st half: JMU 21, USM 29 (USM by 8). The model had USM by 0.5 and a total of 69.5 (actual 50).
Team stats
| JMU | USM | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-53 43% | Field goals | 21-46 46% |
| 4-20 20% | 3-pointers | 3-10 30% |
| 15-26 58% | Free throws | 28-34 82% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 34 7 off |
| 6 | Assists | 9 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| JMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Davis G | 37 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 7-19 | 2-10 |
| Preston Fowler F | 36 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Gabe Newhof F | 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Eddie Ricks III F | 19 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Kose Egbule G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bradley Douglas G | 34 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 6-16 | 0-4 |
| Justin Taylor G | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Christian Brown F | 13 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Wilborn F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Stephen, Chance Lundy, Paul Jones III, Paul Lewis, Justin McBride, Ike Cornish
| USM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tylik Weeks F | 36 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 7-13 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Brumfield G | 35 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Djahi Binet F | 27 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Dalyn Brandon G | 24 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Israel Hart G | 24 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brewer Carruth G | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Curt Lewis G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Tegra Izay C | 13 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Chiante' Tramble G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Fallou Diagne C | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Chandler Watts, Felipe Patino, Jett Montgomery, EJ Paymon, Isaac Taveras, Blake Lander, Robert Cowherd, IJ Ezuma
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJMU -1.5
3 → USM
CloseUSM -1.5
3 pts toward USM
Total
Open147.5
▼ 4
Close143.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
JMU +110 · USM -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JMU -1.5 · closed USM -1.5 · moved 3 toward USMmodel USM -1
model USM -1
Opened 147.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 4 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USM -1.5 | USM -1.1 | JMU +0.4 | L USM covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 148.4 | Over 4.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | JMU 73.6 · USM 74.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USM -0.5 | USM -8.0 |
| 1H total | 69.5 | 50 |
| 1H projected score | JMU 34.5 · USM 35 | JMU 21 · USM 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| USM | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JMU 1–2 USMUSM leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · JMU 0-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | USM 72 @ JMU 83 | JMU -11.5 | USM W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | JMU 71 @ USM 81 | USM +7.5 | USM W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | JMU 70 @ USM 83 | USM -1.5 | USM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
James Madison
21 games played
Straight up
10-11
48% wins
Against the spread
7-14
33% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ AKR | L 71-85 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 9 | vs COPP | W 84-70 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ LONG | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | @ LIU | L 79-88 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 18 | vs TOW | W 81-75 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ FIU | W 80-72 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs OMA | W 88-77 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 29 | @ GMU | L 66-82 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCCU | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NORF | W 68-67 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 17 | @ ODU | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | @ GASO | L 92-96 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 29 | @ ARK | L 74-103 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | @ ARST | W 78-74 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs MRSH | L 64-66 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsODU | W 70-69 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 15 | @ APP | L 65-80 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | @MRSH | L 72-77 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 22 | vs USA | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 24 | vs TXST | W 82-57 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | @ TROY | W 73-64 | +9.5 | W +18.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
−5.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
−4.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
−11.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
−5.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+9.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
+10.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+9.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
−3.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−9.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−9.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−11.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
−1.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
−5.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
+14.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−3.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−5.5
15
@APP
APPL 65-80
−12.5
17
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
+1.5
22
vsUSA
USAL 83-90
−11.5
24
vsTXST
TXSTW 82-57
+19.5
29
@TROY
TROYW 73-64
+18.5
covered 7didn’t cover 14avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
+12.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
+4.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
+19.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+15.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
−3.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+12.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
+6.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−14.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−3.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−3.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
+34.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
+17.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
−6.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−22.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−8.5
15
@APP
APPL 65-80
+11.5
17
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
−0.5
22
vsUSA
USAL 83-90
+34.5
24
vsTXST
TXSTW 82-57
−4.5
29
@TROY
TROYW 73-64
−10.5
over 11under 10avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Southern Miss
21 games played
Straight up
9-12
43% wins
Against the spread
7-14
33% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BUF | L 79-85 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 9 | @ SC | L 79-83 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ GRAM | L 70-75 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNF | W 92-83 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 23 | vs UTM | W 70-60 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 3 | @ RAD | W 82-75 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | @ MIA | L 64-88 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 8 | vsGRAM | W 68-60 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs MISS | L 67-71 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vs UL | W 62-54 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vsARST | L 86-93 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | @ LSU | L 62-90 | +21.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 1 | @ ULM | W 87-73 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 3 | @UL | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vsTXST | W 80-70 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsULM | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | @TROY | L 65-91 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 17 | @TXST | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 22 | @ GAST | L 62-69 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | @ CCU | L 67-85 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | vsAPP | L 63-70 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
−2.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+13.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−2.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
−0.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
+11.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+10.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
−4.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−0.5
13
vsMISS
MISSL 67-71
+8.5
18
vsUL
ULW 62-54
−3.5
20
vsARST
ARSTL 86-93
−5.5
29
@LSU
LSUL 62-90
−6.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 87-73
+4.5
3
@UL
ULW 74-67
+3.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 80-70
+7.5
10
vsULM
ULMW 70-60
−4.5
14
@TROY
TROYL 65-91
−17.5
17
@TXST
TXSTL 67-74
−4.5
22
@GAST
GASTL 62-69
−5.5
24
@CCU
CCUL 67-85
−15.5
29
vsAPP
APPL 63-70
−5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 14avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
+10.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+14.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−3.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
+20.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
−16.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+4.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
+6.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−14.5
13
vsMISS
MISSL 67-71
−0.5
18
vsUL
ULW 62-54
−16.5
20
vsARST
ARSTL 86-93
+23.5
29
@LSU
LSUL 62-90
−2.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 87-73
+7.5
3
@UL
ULW 74-67
+11.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 80-70
+5.5
10
vsULM
ULMW 70-60
−25.5
14
@TROY
TROYL 65-91
+10.5
17
@TXST
TXSTL 67-74
+0.5
22
@GAST
GASTL 62-69
−13.5
24
@CCU
CCUL 67-85
+10.5
29
vsAPP
APPL 63-70
−1.5
over 12under 9avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
James Madison
10-11 overall · 4-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Troy73–64
- Wvs Texas St82–57
- Lvs South Alabama83–90
- L@ Marshall72–77
- L@ App State65–80
2 days since their last game.
Southern Miss
9-12 overall · 5-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs App State63–70
- L@ Coastal67–85
- L@ Georgia St62–69
- L@ Texas St67–74
- L@ Troy65–91
2 days since their last game.