Trojan Arena · at Troy · Conference game
Closing line
TROY -9.5✓ JMU covered by 18.5
TROY -9.5✓ JMU covered by 18.5Closing total147.5Under by 10.5
 JMU | This season | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| 9-11 | Record | 13-6 |
| 6-14 | ATS | 13-6 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 12-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JMU 74–83 TROY · ✗ TROY (80%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 31 | 42 | 73 |
| TROY | 28 | 36 | 64 |
1st half: JMU 31, TROY 28 (JMU by 3). The model had TROY by 5.6 and a total of 73.5 (actual 59).
Team stats
| JMU | TROY | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 22-61 36% |
| 8-19 42% | 3-pointers | 8-29 28% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 12-18 67% |
| 45 10 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 2 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| JMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Fowler F | 33 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Cliff Davis G | 31 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 8-15 | 5-11 |
| Gabe Newhof F | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Kose Egbule G | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Justin McBride F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bradley Douglas G | 27 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 5-10 | 2-3 |
| Eddie Ricks III F | 26 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Christian Brown F | 22 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ike Cornish G | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Justin Taylor G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Paul Jones III, Elijah Wilborn, Chance Lundy, Josh Stephen, Paul Lewis
| TROY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd F | 34 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 4-12 | 2-8 |
| Cooper Campbell G | 34 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4-13 | 1-6 |
| Theo Seng F | 32 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Cobi Campbell G | 27 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| Victor Valdes F | 27 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Cross G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kerrington Kiel F | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jerrell Bellamy C | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Griffin, Kameryn Mitchell, Corbin Green, Emmanuel Clarton, Javen Colbert, Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow, Hikaru Awata
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTROY -8.5
1 → TROY
CloseTROY -9.5
1 pt toward TROY
Total
Open149.5
▼ 2
Close147.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
JMU +380 · TROY -500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TROY -8.5 · closed TROY -9.5 · moved 1 toward TROYmodel TROY -9.5 matches the line
model TROY -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 149.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 downmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TROY -9.5 | TROY -9.6 | TROY +0.1 | L JMU covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 157.0 | Over 9.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | JMU 73.7 · TROY 83.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TROY -5.6 | JMU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 73.5 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | JMU 33.9 · TROY 39.5 | JMU 31 · TROY 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| TROY | 9-1 90% | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JMU 3–1 TROYJMU leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · JMU 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024-25 | TROY 79 vs JMU 60 | JMU +1.5 | TROY W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | TROY 61 @ JMU 64 | JMU -2.5 | JMU W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | TROY 72 vs JMU 75 | JMU -4.5 | TROY W |
| Jan 19, 2022-23 | JMU 89 @ TROY 87 | TROY -0.5 | JMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
James Madison
20 games played
Straight up
9-11
45% wins
Against the spread
6-14
30% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ AKR | L 71-85 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 9 | vs COPP | W 84-70 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ LONG | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | @ LIU | L 79-88 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 18 | vs TOW | W 81-75 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ FIU | W 80-72 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs OMA | W 88-77 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 29 | @ GMU | L 66-82 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCCU | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NORF | W 68-67 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 17 | @ ODU | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | @ GASO | L 92-96 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 29 | @ ARK | L 74-103 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | @ ARST | W 78-74 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs MRSH | L 64-66 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsODU | W 70-69 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 15 | @ APP | L 65-80 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | @MRSH | L 72-77 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 22 | vs USA | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 24 | vs TXST | W 82-57 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
−5.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
−4.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
−11.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
−5.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+9.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
+10.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+9.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
−3.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−9.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−9.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−11.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
−1.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
−5.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
+14.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−3.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−5.5
15
@APP
APPL 65-80
−12.5
17
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
+1.5
22
vsUSA
USAL 83-90
−11.5
24
vsTXST
TXSTW 82-57
+19.5
covered 6didn’t cover 14avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
+12.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
+4.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
+19.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+15.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
−3.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+12.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
+6.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−14.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−3.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−3.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
+34.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
+17.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
−6.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−22.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−8.5
15
@APP
APPL 65-80
+11.5
17
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
−0.5
22
vsUSA
USAL 83-90
+34.5
24
vsTXST
TXSTW 82-57
−4.5
over 11under 9avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Troy
19 games played
Straight up
13-6
68% wins
Against the spread
13-6
68% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-7
63% overs · avg +11.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KENT | W 103-97 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | @ FUR | W 64-61 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ LMU | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ CSUN | L 85-94 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ SDSU | W 108-107 | +14.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 20 | @ USC | L 106-107 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs TOL | L 68-75 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs SFPA | W 74-64 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | vs WGA | L 89-93 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 14 | @ UAB | W 86-85 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vsMRSH | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vsTXST | W 100-80 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vsUSA | W 59-49 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 7 | @ARST | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ UL | W 90-70 | -9.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | vs USM | W 91-65 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 17 | vsARST | W 99-74 | -3.5 | W +21.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 21 | @ODU | W 83-77 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @GASO | W 83-78 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+9.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
+5.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−6.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
−13.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+15.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+17.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−9.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−11.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
−21.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+7.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
+2.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+11.5
3
vsUSA
USAW 59-49
+0.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 74-86
−7.5
10
@UL
ULW 90-70
+10.5
14
vsUSM
USMW 91-65
+17.5
17
vsARST
ARSTW 99-74
+21.5
21
@ODU
ODUW 83-77
+0.5
24
@GASO
GASOW 83-78
+0.5
covered 13didn’t cover 6avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+57.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
−27.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−3.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
+21.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+77.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+53.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−16.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−13.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
+31.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+15.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
−22.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+34.5
3
vsUSA
USAW 59-49
−40.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 74-86
−0.5
10
@UL
ULW 90-70
+23.5
14
vsUSM
USMW 91-65
+10.5
17
vsARST
ARSTW 99-74
+7.5
21
@ODU
ODUW 83-77
+7.5
24
@GASO
GASOW 83-78
+1.5
over 12under 7avg +11.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
James Madison
9-11 overall · 3-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas St82–57
- Lvs South Alabama83–90
- L@ Marshall72–77
- L@ App State65–80
- Wvs Old Dominion70–69
5 days since their last game.
Troy
13-6 overall · 8-1 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ GA Southern83–78
- W@ Old Dominion83–77
- Wvs Arkansas St99–74
- Wvs Southern Miss91–65
- W@ Louisiana90–70
5 days since their last game.