Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center · at GA Southern · Conference game
Closing line
TROY -4.5✓ TROY covered by 0.5
Closing total159.5Over by 1.5
| This season | GASO | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-6 | Record | 11-8 |
| 12-6 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 11-7 | O/U | 11-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TROY 87–81 GASO · ✓ TROY (69%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 47 | 36 | 83 |
| GASO | 38 | 40 | 78 |
1st half: TROY 47, GASO 38 (TROY by 9). The model had TROY by 3.5 and a total of 78.5 (actual 85).
Team stats
| TROY | GASO | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-57 49% | Field goals | 27-56 48% |
| 9-25 36% | 3-pointers | 11-32 34% |
| 18-24 75% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 39 17 off | Rebounds | 26 9 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| TROY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd F | 37 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Cooper Campbell G | 34 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Victor Valdes F | 29 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 6-14 | 2-6 |
| Theo Seng F | 26 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Cobi Campbell G | 21 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kerrington Kiel F | 22 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jerrell Bellamy C | 16 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Austin Cross G | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Javen Colbert G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Griffin, Kameryn Mitchell, Corbin Green, Emmanuel Clarton, Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow, Hikaru Awata
| GASO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spudd Webb G | 35 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Alden Applewhite F | 34 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-5 |
| Tyren Moore G | 33 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 6-11 | 2-7 |
| Shainen Carter F | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Williams G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nakavieon White F | 27 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3-11 | 2-7 |
| Khayri Dunn G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Dwayne Williams Jr. G | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Andres Burney F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jefferson Koulibaly, Dallas Gardner, Cade Lomas, Amare Neal, Cullen Schreiner, Sean Van Dorn Jr., Tsvet Sotirov, Pavle Ridesic
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTROY -4.5
no move
CloseTROY -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open157.5
▲ 2
Close159.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
TROY -205 · GASO +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TROY -4.5 · unchangedmodel TROY -5.5
model TROY -5.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 2 upmodel 167.5
model 167.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TROY -4.5 | TROY -5.7 | TROY +1.2 | W TROY covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 167.7 | Over 8.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | TROY 86.7 · GASO 81 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TROY -3.5 | TROY -9.0 |
| 1H total | 78.5 | 85 |
| 1H projected score | TROY 41 · GASO 37.5 | TROY 47 · GASO 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | |
| 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TROY 3–0 GASOTROY leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · TROY has won the last 3 meetings · TROY 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | GASO 74 @ TROY 81 | TROY -9.5 | GASO W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | TROY 84 @ GASO 63 | GASO +5.5 | TROY W |
| Feb 5, 2021-22 | TROY 61 @ GASO 52 | GASO -1.5 | TROY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Troy
18 games played
Straight up
12-6
67% wins
Against the spread
12-6
67% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg +12 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | W 103-97 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | @ | W 64-61 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ | L 85-94 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ | W 108-107 | +14.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 106-107 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 68-75 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 74-64 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | vs | L 89-93 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 14 | @ | W 86-85 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vs | W 100-80 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 59-49 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 90-70 | -9.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 91-65 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 99-74 | -3.5 | W +21.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 21 | @ | W 83-77 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
KENT
W 103-97
+9.5
7
@
FUR
W 64-61
+5.5
14
@
LMU
L 63-74
−6.5
16
@
CSUN
L 85-94
−13.5
18
@
SDSU
W 108-107
+15.5
20
@
USC
L 106-107
+17.5
24
vs
TOL
L 68-75
−9.5
26
vs
SFPA
W 74-64
−11.5
1
vs
WGA
L 89-93
−21.5
14
@
UAB
W 86-85
+7.5
20
vs
MRSH
W 70-63
+2.5
31
vs
TXST
W 100-80
+11.5
3
vs
USA
W 59-49
+0.5
7
@
ARST
L 74-86
−7.5
10
@
UL
W 90-70
+10.5
14
vs
USM
W 91-65
+17.5
17
vs
ARST
W 99-74
+21.5
21
@
ODU
W 83-77
+0.5
covered 12didn’t cover 6avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
KENT
W 103-97
+57.5
7
@
FUR
W 64-61
−27.5
14
@
LMU
L 63-74
−3.5
16
@
CSUN
L 85-94
+21.5
18
@
SDSU
W 108-107
+77.5
20
@
USC
L 106-107
+53.5
24
vs
TOL
L 68-75
−16.5
26
vs
SFPA
W 74-64
−13.5
1
vs
WGA
L 89-93
+31.5
14
@
UAB
W 86-85
+15.5
20
vs
MRSH
W 70-63
−22.5
31
vs
TXST
W 100-80
+34.5
3
vs
USA
W 59-49
−40.5
7
@
ARST
L 74-86
−0.5
10
@
UL
W 90-70
+23.5
14
vs
USM
W 91-65
+10.5
17
vs
ARST
W 99-74
+7.5
21
@
ODU
W 83-77
+7.5
over 11under 7avg +12 ptslonger = bigger margin
GA Southern
19 games played
Straight up
11-8
58% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 89-92 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 93-90 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 95-94 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 66-68 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 72-98 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 61-67 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 64-77 | -3.5 | L −16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 77-69 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 88-84 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 91-85 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 90-67 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 96-92 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 1 | @ | W 82-81 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 93-86 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 71-87 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 87-84 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 75-79 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 22 | vs | L 68-85 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 172.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
ECU
L 89-92
+2.5
8
vs
UNCA
W 93-90
−2.5
11
@
FGCU
W 95-94
+4.5
18
@
GT
L 66-68
+8.5
21
@
FSU
L 72-98
−7.5
24
vs
YSU
L 61-67
−4.5
25
vs
UTSA
L 64-77
−16.5
29
vs
HCU
W 80-62
+10.5
3
vs
LT
W 77-69
+6.5
6
@
GWEB
W 88-84
−6.5
13
@
WGA
W 91-85
+2.5
18
vs
GAST
W 90-67
+13.5
20
vs
JMU
W 96-92
+1.5
1
@
CCU
W 82-81
+2.5
3
@
ODU
W 93-86
+5.5
10
@
USA
L 71-87
−13.5
15
vs
ODU
W 87-84
−2.5
17
vs
CCU
L 75-79
−10.5
22
vs
ARST
L 68-85
−15.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
ECU
L 89-92
+29.5
8
vs
UNCA
W 93-90
+20.5
11
@
FGCU
W 95-94
+25.5
18
@
GT
L 66-68
−30.5
21
@
FSU
L 72-98
−5.5
24
vs
YSU
L 61-67
−35.5
25
vs
UTSA
L 64-77
−19.5
29
vs
HCU
W 80-62
−6.5
3
vs
LT
W 77-69
+0.5
6
@
GWEB
W 88-84
+9.5
13
@
WGA
W 91-85
+21.5
18
vs
GAST
W 90-67
−2.5
20
vs
JMU
W 96-92
+34.5
1
@
CCU
W 82-81
+5.5
3
@
ODU
W 93-86
+17.5
10
@
USA
L 71-87
+9.5
15
vs
ODU
W 87-84
+8.5
17
vs
CCU
L 75-79
−3.5
22
vs
ARST
L 68-85
−19.5
over 11under 8avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Troy
12-6 overall · 7-1 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Old Dominion83–77
- Wvs Arkansas St99–74
- Wvs Southern Miss91–65
- W@ Louisiana90–70
- L@ Arkansas St74–86
3 days since their last game.
GA Southern
11-8 overall · 5-3 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arkansas St68–85
- Lvs Coastal75–79
- Wvs Old Dominion87–84
- L@ South Alabama71–87
- W@ Old Dominion93–86
2 days since their last game.