Georgia Southern Eagles at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: Model Line and Edge

Thu, Jan 1, 1:00 PM ETThe HTC Center · at Coastal · Conference game

#296GASOGA Southern82▲ winner

Final

#283CCUCoastal81final

Closing lineCCU -1.5✓ GASO covered by 2.5

Closing total157.5Over by 5.5

Season records: GA Southern and Coastal
GASO	This season	CCU
8-5	Record	7-6
8-5	ATS	7-6
7-6	O/U	6-7

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: GASO 77–79 CCU · ✗ CCU (54%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	OT	T
GASO	41	31	10	82
CCU	33	39	9	81

1st half: GASO 41, CCU 33 (GASO by 8). The model had CCU by 0.6 and a total of 73.0 (actual 74).

Team stats

GASO		CCU
26-64 41%	Field goals	26-71 37%
6-25 24%	3-pointers	8-24 33%
24-32 75%	Free throws	21-27 78%
41 12 off	Rebounds	50 20 off
7	Assists	7
7	Steals	5
6	Blocks	3
10	Turnovers	12
21	Fouls	20
28	Points in paint	30
10	Fast-break points	6

Players

GASO	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Spudd Webb G	43	19	6	1	5-8	1-3
Alden Applewhite F	39	14	11	0	5-12	1-4
Tyren Moore G	35	24	9	2	8-21	1-8
Shainen Carter F	27	0	3	0	0-3	0-0
Jayden Williams G	10	0	2	1	0-2	0-1
Bench
Khayri Dunn G	25	8	2	1	3-7	2-5
Andres Burney F	18	8	3	0	3-3	0-0
Nakavieon White F	15	7	3	2	2-7	1-3
Dwayne Williams Jr. G	9	2	0	0	0-1	0-1
Tsvet Sotirov F	4	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Cullen Schreiner, Sean Van Dorn Jr., Amare Neal, Pavle Ridesic, Cade Lomas, Dallas Gardner, Jefferson Koulibaly

CCU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Rasheed Jones G	41	18	4	2	6-14	3-5
Joshua Beadle G	39	21	2	4	7-21	1-4
Nadjrick Peat F	35	8	15	1	3-4	0-0
AJ Dancler G	34	18	6	0	5-17	2-8
Reggie Hill F	29	9	9	0	2-6	1-4
Bench
Tristan Thompson G	25	0	5	0	0-2	0-0
DaJohn Craig G	12	5	1	0	2-5	1-3
Derrick Green F	7	2	1	0	1-1	0-0
Jerry Ngopot F	3	0	1	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Braeden MacVicar, Charles Dunlap, Devin Brown, Jackson Keil, Connor Martin, Andre Mulibea

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	CCU -1.5	CCU -1.1	GASO +0.4	W GASO covered
Total	157.5	155.8	Under 1.7	L Over
Projected score	—	GASO 77.3 · CCU 78.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	CCU -0.6	GASO -8.0
1H total	73.0	74
1H projected score	GASO 36.2 · CCU 36.8	GASO 41 · CCU 33

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GASO WLWWW	8-5	62%	4-2	3-2
CCU WLLWW	7-6	54%	1-1	2-1

Venue/role: GASO away, as underdog; CCU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
GASO OOOUO	7-6	54%	8-5
CCU OUUOU	6-7	46%	7-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GASO	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
CCU	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22

GASO 6–3 CCUGASO leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · GASO has won the last 2 meetings · GASO 5-4 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Jan 23, 2024-25	CCU 58 @ GASO 85	GASO -5.5	GASO W
Jan 16, 2024-25	GASO 88 @ CCU 87	CCU -1.5	GASO W
Feb 15, 2023-24	GASO 75 @ CCU 82	CCU -0.5	CCU W
Jan 18, 2023-24	CCU 70 @ GASO 73	GASO -3.5	CCU W
Feb 22, 2022-23	CCU 68 @ GASO 76	GASO -7.5	GASO W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

GA Southern

13 games played

Straight up

8-5

62% wins

Against the spread

8-5

62% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

7-6

54% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

8-562%

L W W L L L L W W W W W W

6 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

8-562%

W L W W L L L W W L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

7-654%

O O O U U U U U O O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@ECU	L 89-92	+5.5	W +2.5	151.5	O 181
Nov 8	vsUNCA	W 93-90	-5.5	L −2.5	162.5	O 183
Nov 11	@FGCU	W 95-94	+3.5	W +4.5	163.5	O 189
Nov 18	@GT	L 66-68	+10.5	W +8.5	164.5	U 134
Nov 21	@FSU	L 72-98	+18.5	L −7.5	175.5	U 170
Nov 24	vsYSU	L 61-67	+1.5	L −4.5	163.5	U 128
Nov 25	vsUTSA	L 64-77	-3.5	L −16.5	160.5	U 141
Nov 29	vsHCU	W 80-62	-7.5	W +10.5	148.5	U 142
Dec 3	vsLT	W 77-69	-1.5	W +6.5	145.5	O 146
Dec 6	@GWEB	W 88-84	-10.5	L −6.5	162.5	O 172
Dec 13	@WGA	W 91-85	-3.5	W +2.5	154.5	O 176
Dec 18	vsGAST	W 90-67	-9.5	W +13.5	159.5	U 157
Dec 20	vsJMU	W 96-92	-2.5	W +1.5	153.5	O 188

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

ECU

L 89-92

+2.5

UNCA

W 93-90

−2.5

FGCU

W 95-94

+4.5

L 66-68

+8.5

FSU

L 72-98

−7.5

YSU

L 61-67

−4.5

UTSA

L 64-77

−16.5

HCU

W 80-62

+10.5

W 77-69

+6.5

GWEB

W 88-84

−6.5

WGA

W 91-85

+2.5

GAST

W 90-67

+13.5

JMU

W 96-92

+1.5

covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

ECU

L 89-92

+29.5

UNCA

W 93-90

+20.5

FGCU

W 95-94

+25.5

L 66-68

−30.5

FSU

L 72-98

−5.5

YSU

L 61-67

−35.5

UTSA

L 64-77

−19.5

HCU

W 80-62

−6.5

W 77-69

+0.5

GWEB

W 88-84

+9.5

WGA

W 91-85

+21.5

GAST

W 90-67

−2.5

JMU

W 96-92

+34.5

over 7under 6avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Coastal

13 games played

Straight up

7-6

54% wins

Against the spread

7-6

54% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-7

46% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-654%

L W L W W L W L W L L W W

2 straight wins2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

7-654%

L W W W W L L L W L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

6-746%

O U O O U U U O O U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@WMU	L 71-76	+2.5	L −2.5	146.5	O 147
Nov 11	vsWIN	W 72-66	+2.5	W +8.5	165.5	U 138
Nov 14	@JXST	L 67-74	+7.5	W +0.5	139.5	O 141
Nov 21	@WIU	W 84-64	-3.5	W +16.5	138.5	O 148
Nov 22	vsUND	W 75-58	-3.5	W +13.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 23	@ILST	L 42-94	+12.5	L −39.5	146.5	U 136
Nov 30	vsAAMU	W 67-60	-7.5	L −0.5	140.5	U 127
Dec 3	@UPST	L 78-85	+2.5	L −4.5	144.5	O 163
Dec 6	@WIN	W 88-84	+16.5	W +20.5	153.5	O 172
Dec 13	@GCU	L 61-82	+17.5	L −3.5	143.5	U 143
Dec 18	@APP	L 49-67	+4.5	L −13.5	137.5	U 116
Dec 20	@ODU	W 76-74	+3.5	W +5.5	147.5	O 150
Dec 22	@JOES	W 68-62	+7.5	W +13.5	144.5	U 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WMU

L 71-76

−2.5

WIN

W 72-66

+8.5

JXST

L 67-74

+0.5

WIU

W 84-64

+16.5

UND

W 75-58

+13.5

ILST

L 42-94

−39.5

AAMU

W 67-60

−0.5

UPST

L 78-85

−4.5

WIN

W 88-84

+20.5

GCU

L 61-82

−3.5

APP

L 49-67

−13.5

ODU

W 76-74

+5.5

JOES

W 68-62

+13.5

covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WMU

L 71-76

+0.5

WIN

W 72-66

−27.5

JXST

L 67-74

+1.5

WIU

W 84-64

+9.5

UND

W 75-58

−14.5

ILST

L 42-94

−10.5

AAMU

W 67-60

−13.5

UPST

L 78-85

+18.5

WIN

W 88-84

+18.5

GCU

L 61-82

−0.5

APP

L 49-67

−21.5

ODU

W 76-74

+2.5

JOES

W 68-62

−14.5

over 6under 7avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Georgia Southern Eagles at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

GA Southern

Coastal

GA Southern

Coastal