Trojan Arena · at Troy · Conference game
Closing line
TROY -3.5✓ TROY covered by 21.5
TROY -3.5✓ TROY covered by 21.5Closing total165.5Over by 7.5
 ARST | This season | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| 10-6 | Record | 10-6 |
| 10-6 | ATS | 10-6 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARST 83–86 TROY · ✓ TROY (60%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | 35 | 39 | 74 |
| TROY | 44 | 55 | 99 |
1st half: ARST 35, TROY 44 (TROY by 9). The model had TROY by 1.6 and a total of 78.9 (actual 79).
Team stats
| ARST | TROY | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-61 43% | Field goals | 34-61 56% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 12-32 38% |
| 12-22 55% | Free throws | 19-21 90% |
| 30 14 off | Rebounds | 38 11 off |
| 16 | Assists | 25 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| ARST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hampton G | 28 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Christian Harmon G | 25 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Chandler Jackson G | 24 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Matt Hayman G | 23 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Chudi Dioramma F | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaxon Ellingsworth F | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| T.J. Caldwell G | 18 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Aly Tounkara F | 17 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Royal Blue Smith G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Joey Chammaa G | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Fredy-Salam Sylla G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: CJ Geathers, Grayson Bennett, Weston Honeycutt, Tim Matthews, Rho Omed
| TROY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Valdes F | 34 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 6-11 | 1-6 |
| Thomas Dowd F | 34 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 8-13 | 4-8 |
| Cooper Campbell G | 32 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 4-9 | 3-5 |
| Cobi Campbell G | 31 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Theo Seng F | 22 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jerrell Bellamy C | 21 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 9-11 | 0-0 |
| Austin Cross G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kerrington Kiel F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Evan Griffin F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kameryn Mitchell G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Javen Colbert G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Emmanuel Clarton, Hikaru Awata, Corbin Green, Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTROY -2.5
1 → TROY
CloseTROY -3.5
1 pt toward TROY
Total
Open163.5
▲ 2
Close165.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ARST +142 · TROY -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TROY -2.5 · closed TROY -3.5 · moved 1 toward TROYmodel TROY -3
model TROY -3
Opened 163.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 2 upmodel 168.5
model 168.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TROY -3.5 | TROY -2.9 | ARST +0.6 | L TROY covered |
| Total | 165.5 | 168.5 | Over 3.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ARST 82.8 · TROY 85.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TROY -1.6 | TROY -9.0 |
| 1H total | 78.9 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | ARST 38.6 · TROY 40.2 | ARST 35 · TROY 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| TROY | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
ARST 4–6 TROYTROY leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · ARST 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025-26 | TROY 74 @ ARST 86 | ARST -4.5 | ARST W |
| Mar 10, 2024-25 | ARST 81 vs TROY 94 | TROY +2.5 | TROY W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | TROY 71 @ ARST 70 | ARST -6.5 | TROY W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | ARST 84 @ TROY 78 | TROY -2.5 | ARST W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | TROY 71 @ ARST 79 | ARST -1.5 | ARST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arkansas St
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OHIO | W 89-85 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 7 | @ SFA | L 65-90 | -1.5 | L −26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ MOST | W 86-85 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | @ SMC | L 72-85 | +20.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ SMU | L 69-100 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs JXST | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 28 | vs NDSU | W 85-80 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTA | W 83-63 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LR | W 90-78 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | @ RICE | L 76-77 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 17 | @ TXST | W 89-70 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ USM | W 93-86 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs JMU | L 74-78 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vsTROY | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 10 | vsTXST | W 83-82 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | @ USA | L 87-91 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OHIO
OHIOW 89-85
+7.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 65-90
−26.5
11
@MOST
MOSTW 86-85
+2.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 72-85
+7.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 69-100
−16.5
24
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-63
+6.5
28
vsNDSU
NDSUW 85-80
+1.5
2
vsUTA
UTAW 83-63
+14.5
6
@LR
LRW 90-78
+2.5
13
@RICE
RICEL 76-77
−3.5
17
@TXST
TXSTW 89-70
+14.5
20
@USM
USMW 93-86
+5.5
3
vsJMU
JMUL 74-78
−14.5
7
vsTROY
TROYW 86-74
+7.5
10
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-82
−10.5
15
@USA
USAL 87-91
−8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OHIO
OHIOW 89-85
+14.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 65-90
−0.5
11
@MOST
MOSTW 86-85
+18.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 72-85
+7.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 69-100
−3.5
24
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-63
−18.5
28
vsNDSU
NDSUW 85-80
+4.5
2
vsUTA
UTAW 83-63
−5.5
6
@LR
LRW 90-78
+20.5
13
@RICE
RICEL 76-77
−2.5
17
@TXST
TXSTW 89-70
+7.5
20
@USM
USMW 93-86
+23.5
3
vsJMU
JMUL 74-78
−6.5
7
vsTROY
TROYW 86-74
−0.5
10
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-82
+8.5
15
@USA
USAL 87-91
+23.5
over 9under 7avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Troy
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +12.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KENT | W 103-97 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | @ FUR | W 64-61 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ LMU | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ CSUN | L 85-94 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ SDSU | W 108-107 | +14.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 20 | @ USC | L 106-107 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs TOL | L 68-75 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs SFPA | W 74-64 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | vs WGA | L 89-93 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 14 | @ UAB | W 86-85 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs MRSH | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vsTXST | W 100-80 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vsUSA | W 59-49 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 7 | @ARST | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ UL | W 90-70 | -9.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | vsUSM | W 91-65 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+9.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
+5.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−6.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
−13.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+15.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+17.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−9.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−11.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
−21.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+7.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
+2.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+11.5
3
vsUSA
USAW 59-49
+0.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 74-86
−7.5
10
@UL
ULW 90-70
+10.5
14
vsUSM
USMW 91-65
+17.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+57.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
−27.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−3.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
+21.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+77.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+53.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−16.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−13.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
+31.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+15.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
−22.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+34.5
3
vsUSA
USAW 59-49
−40.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 74-86
−0.5
10
@UL
ULW 90-70
+23.5
14
vsUSM
USMW 91-65
+10.5
over 9under 7avg +12.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arkansas St
10-6 overall · 4-2 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ South Alabama87–91
- Wvs Texas St83–82
- Wvs Troy86–74
- Lvs James Madison74–78
- W@ Southern Miss93–86
2 days since their last game.
Troy
10-6 overall · 5-1 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern Miss91–65
- W@ Louisiana90–70
- L@ Arkansas St74–86
- Wvs South Alabama59–49
- Wvs Texas St100–80
3 days since their last game.