Tudor Fieldhouse · at Rice
Closing line
ARST -2.5✓ RICE covered by 3.5
ARST -2.5✓ RICE covered by 3.5Closing total155.5Under by 2.5
| ARST | This season | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 3-6 |
| 7-2 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 5-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARST 80–78 RICE · ✗ ARST (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | 35 | 41 | 76 |
| RICE | 33 | 44 | 77 |
1st half: ARST 35, RICE 33 (ARST by 2). The model had ARST by 1.4 and a total of 74.3 (actual 68).
Team stats
| ARST | RICE | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-61 49% | Field goals | 26-64 41% |
| 4-18 22% | 3-pointers | 10-24 42% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 15-23 65% |
| 43 13 off | Rebounds | 37 12 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| ARST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hampton G | 28 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Matt Hayman G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 6-13 | 0-2 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth F | 27 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Fredy-Salam Sylla G | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Royal Blue Smith G | 19 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Jackson G | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Christian Harmon G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| T.J. Caldwell G | 18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Chudi Dioramma F | 13 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Aly Tounkara F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joey Chammaa, Grayson Bennett, CJ Geathers, Weston Honeycutt, Tim Matthews
| RICE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Smith G | 33 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Cam Carroll G | 29 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
| Trae Broadnax G | 26 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 3-11 | 1-3 |
| Nick Anderson G | 24 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4-11 | 3-8 |
| Jimmy Oladokun Jr. F | 22 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bodey Howell G | 18 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Eternity Eguagie F | 17 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Stephen Giwa C | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Williams G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Akuchie F | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dallas Hobbs, Presley Patterson, Aaron Powell, Evan Cochran, Cole Andrews-Heitz, Trey Patterson, George Perkins
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARST -2.5
ModelARST -2.0
Model edgeRICE +0.5
W RICE covered
Total
Market155.5
Model158.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
L Under
Projected score
ARST 80.4 · RICE 78.4
ARST 76 · RICE 77
Win probability
ARST 57%
1st half
Spread
ARST -1.4
ARST -2.0
Total
74.3
68 points
Projected score
ARST 37.8 · RICE 36.5
ARST 35 · RICE 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARST -3.5
1 → RICE
CloseARST -2.5
1 pt toward RICE
Total
Open152.5
▲ 3
Close155.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
ARST -155 · RICE +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARST -3.5 · closed ARST -2.5 · moved 1 toward RICEmodel ARST -2
model ARST -2
Opened 152.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 3 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARSTlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 7-2 78% | 5-4 56% |
| RICElast 9 | 3-6 33% | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ARST 0–1 RICERICE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ARST 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024-25 | ARST 67 vs RICE 75 | RICE +8.5 | RICE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arkansas St
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
7-2
78% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OHIO | W 89-85 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 7 | @ SFA | L 65-90 | -1.5 | L −26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ MOST | W 86-85 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | @ SMC | L 72-85 | +20.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ SMU | L 69-100 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs JXST | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 28 | vs NDSU | W 85-80 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTA | W 83-63 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LR | W 90-78 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OHIO
OHIOW 89-85
+7.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 65-90
−26.5
11
@MOST
MOSTW 86-85
+2.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 72-85
+7.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 69-100
−16.5
24
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-63
+6.5
28
vsNDSU
NDSUW 85-80
+1.5
2
vsUTA
UTAW 83-63
+14.5
6
@LR
LRW 90-78
+2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 2avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OHIO
OHIOW 89-85
+14.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 65-90
−0.5
11
@MOST
MOSTW 86-85
+18.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 72-85
+7.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 69-100
−3.5
24
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-63
−18.5
28
vsNDSU
NDSUW 85-80
+4.5
2
vsUTA
UTAW 83-63
−5.5
6
@LR
LRW 90-78
+20.5
over 5under 4avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Rice
9 games played
Straight up
3-6
33% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ ORE | L 63-67 | +15.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vsSFA | L 69-81 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs ETAM | W 71-64 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 17 | @ TENN | L 66-91 | +26.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 20 | vs TAR | L 74-90 | -4.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs KENN | L 84-89 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | @ FGCU | L 63-78 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs ORU | W 81-62 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs TXST | W 77-72 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@ORE
OREL 63-67
+11.5
11
vsSFA
SFAL 69-81
−14.5
14
vsETAM
ETAMW 71-64
−3.5
17
@TENN
TENNL 66-91
+1.5
20
vsTAR
TARL 74-90
−20.5
24
vsKENN
KENNL 84-89
−0.5
25
@FGCU
FGCUL 63-78
−9.5
26
vsORU
ORUW 81-62
+13.5
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 77-72
+1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@ORE
OREL 63-67
−15.5
11
vsSFA
SFAL 69-81
+0.5
14
vsETAM
ETAMW 71-64
−11.5
17
@TENN
TENNL 66-91
+13.5
20
vsTAR
TARL 74-90
+17.5
24
vsKENN
KENNL 84-89
+13.5
25
@FGCU
FGCUL 63-78
−8.5
26
vsORU
ORUW 81-62
−7.5
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 77-72
+15.5
over 5under 4avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arkansas St
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Little Rock90–78
- Wvs UT Arlington83–63
- Wvs N Dakota St85–80
- Wvs Jax State74–63
- L@ SMU69–100
A week or more of rest.
Rice
3-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas St77–72
- Wvs Oral Roberts81–62
- L@ FGCU63–78
- Lvs Kennesaw St84–89
- Lvs Tarleton St74–90
A week or more of rest.