Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs Rice Owls: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Nov 26, 4:30 PM ETAlico Arena · Neutral site

Final

#177RICERice81▲ winner

Closing lineRICE -5.5✓ RICE covered by 13.5

Closing total150.5Under by 7.5

Season records: Oral Roberts and Rice
ORU	This season	RICE
1-5	Record	1-6
4-2	ATS	2-5
4-2	O/U	4-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ORU 76–80 RICE · ✓ RICE (64%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
ORU	32	30	62
RICE	44	37	81

1st half: ORU 32, RICE 44 (RICE by 12). The model had RICE by 2.2 and a total of 73.2 (actual 76).

Team stats

ORU		RICE
23-60 38%	Field goals	29-57 51%
10-31 32%	3-pointers	12-21 57%
6-10 60%	Free throws	11-12 92%
29 13 off	Rebounds	39 12 off
11	Assists	11
5	Steals	9
1	Blocks	8
11	Turnovers	10
11	Fouls	13
24	Points in paint	24
3	Fast-break points	4

Players

ORU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Connor Dow G	32	19	5	1	6-13	5-12
Ty Harper G	27	12	0	2	5-12	1-5
Ofri Naveh F	24	6	5	3	2-6	0-1
Jack Turner G	22	0	3	2	0-6	0-4
Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams F	11	7	6	0	3-7	0-1
Bench
Cal Furnish G	21	2	1	1	1-2	0-0
Martins Kilups G	19	3	1	0	1-3	1-2
Chase Martin G	15	0	1	2	0-0	0-0
Luke Gray F	15	11	4	0	4-8	3-5
Baron Smith Jr. C	12	2	0	0	1-2	0-0
Aaron Jacob F	2	0	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Laymen McGrady, Alex Couto, Lane Sparks

RICE	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Nick Anderson G	36	22	6	1	7-11	4-6
Trae Broadnax G	34	13	3	2	5-12	3-3
Cam Carroll G	30	10	2	2	4-6	2-3
Jalen Smith G	29	17	10	3	7-11	3-7
Jimmy Oladokun Jr. F	14	4	4	1	2-4	0-0
Bench
Andrew Akuchie F	15	7	6	0	1-2	0-0
Eternity Eguagie F	15	6	3	0	3-6	0-1
Stephen Giwa C	12	0	1	1	0-1	0-0
Jordan Williams G	11	2	1	1	0-1	0-1
Bodey Howell G	4	0	1	0	0-3	0-0

Did not play: Dallas Hobbs, Cole Andrews-Heitz, Aaron Powell, Trey Patterson, Evan Cochran, Presley Patterson, George Perkins

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	RICE -5.5	RICE -4.0	ORU +1.5	L RICE covered
Total	150.5	156.3	Over 5.8	L Under
Projected score	—	ORU 76.2 · RICE 80.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	RICE -2.2	RICE -12.0
1H total	73.2	76
1H projected score	ORU 35.5 · RICE 37.7	ORU 32 · RICE 44

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
ORU WLWWW	4-2	67%	1-0	4-2
RICE LWLLL	2-5	29%	0-1	0-3

Venue/role: ORU neutral site, as underdog; RICE neutral site, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORU OUUOO	4-2	67%	1-5
RICE UOOOU	4-3	57%	1-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORUlast 6	1-5 17%	4-2 67%	4-2 67%
RICElast 7	1-6 14%	2-5 29%	4-3 57%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Oral Roberts

6 games played

Straight up

1-5

17% wins

Against the spread

4-2

67% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-2

67% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-517%

L L L L L W

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

4-267%

L W L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

4-267%

O O U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@OKST	L 71-95	+20.5	L −3.5	165.5	O 166
Nov 12	vsTLSA	L 87-88	+5.5	W +4.5	160.5	O 175
Nov 15	vsBEL	L 60-83	+7.5	L −15.5	171.5	U 143
Nov 20	@OU	L 71-95	+24.5	W +0.5	166.5	U 166
Nov 24	@FGCU	L 88-93	+11.5	W +6.5	153.5	O 181
Nov 25	vsKENN	W 91-83	+8.5	W +16.5	166.5	O 174

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

−3.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+4.5

BEL

L 60-83

−15.5

L 71-95

+0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+6.5

KENN

W 91-83

+16.5

covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

+0.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+14.5

BEL

L 60-83

−28.5

L 71-95

−0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+27.5

KENN

W 91-83

+7.5

over 4under 2avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Rice

7 games played

Straight up

1-6

14% wins

Against the spread

2-5

29% covers · avg −5.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-3

57% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-614%

L L W L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-529%

W L L W L L L

3 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

4-357%

U O U O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@ORE	L 63-67	+15.5	W +11.5	145.5	U 130
Nov 11	vsSFA	L 69-81	-2.5	L −14.5	149.5	O 150
Nov 14	vsETAM	W 71-64	-10.5	L −3.5	146.5	U 135
Nov 17	@TENN	L 66-91	+26.5	W +1.5	143.5	O 157
Nov 20	vsTAR	L 74-90	-4.5	L −20.5	146.5	O 164
Nov 24	vsKENN	L 84-89	+4.5	L −0.5	159.5	O 173
Nov 25	@FGCU	L 63-78	+5.5	L −9.5	149.5	U 141

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

ORE

L 63-67

+11.5

SFA

L 69-81

−14.5

ETAM

W 71-64

−3.5

TENN

L 66-91

+1.5

TAR

L 74-90

−20.5

KENN

L 84-89

−0.5

FGCU

L 63-78

−9.5

covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

ORE

L 63-67

−15.5

SFA

L 69-81

+0.5

ETAM

W 71-64

−11.5

TENN

L 66-91

+13.5

TAR

L 74-90

+17.5

KENN

L 84-89

+13.5

FGCU

L 63-78

−8.5

over 4under 3avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs Rice Owls

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Oral Roberts

Rice

Oral Roberts

Rice