Oral Roberts Golden Eagles at Florida Gulf Coast Eagles: Model Line and Edge

Mon, Nov 24, 7:30 PM ETAlico Arena · at FGCU

Final

#266FGCUFGCU93▲ winner

Closing lineFGCU -11.5✓ ORU covered by 6.5

Closing total153.5Over by 27.5

Season records: Oral Roberts and FGCU
ORU	This season	FGCU
0-4	Record	2-2
2-2	ATS	2-2
2-2	O/U	3-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ORU 74–84 FGCU · ✓ FGCU (83%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
ORU	39	49	88
FGCU	41	52	93

1st half: ORU 39, FGCU 41 (FGCU by 2). The model had FGCU by 6.4 and a total of 73.9 (actual 80).

Team stats

ORU		FGCU
29-54 54%	Field goals	31-55 56%
11-24 46%	3-pointers	7-20 35%
19-25 76%	Free throws	24-34 71%
24 8 off	Rebounds	29 11 off
9	Assists	12
7	Steals	11
2	Blocks	2
18	Turnovers	12
24	Fouls	19
36	Points in paint	44
19	Fast-break points	26

Players

ORU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ofri Naveh F	33	15	3	0	4-9	2-4
Ty Harper G	31	20	2	5	7-12	3-5
Jack Turner G	30	18	1	2	7-11	1-4
Connor Dow G	30	17	2	1	5-9	3-7
Luke Gray F	19	6	4	0	3-6	0-0
Bench
Cal Furnish G	19	1	1	0	0-1	0-1
Martins Kilups G	16	6	2	0	2-2	2-2
Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams F	14	5	2	0	1-4	0-1
Chase Martin G	8	0	0	1	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Aaron Jacob, Lane Sparks, Alex Couto, Laymen McGrady, Baron Smith Jr.

FGCU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Rahmir Barno G	38	18	7	7	4-9	0-0
Michael Duax F	30	22	5	1	9-11	0-0
Jordan Ellerbee G	28	13	2	0	4-8	1-5
J.R. Konieczny F	28	7	4	2	3-7	0-3
Tristen Guillouette C	10	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Bench
Rory Stewart F	25	16	2	0	5-10	3-6
Darren Williams G	21	9	0	2	3-6	3-5
Isaiah Malone F	13	6	1	0	2-2	0-0
Gabe Tanner F	5	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Jack Reddick G	2	2	1	0	1-2	0-1

Did not play: Chase Konieczny, Matt McCarthy, Evan Barlow, BB Washington, Brandon Dwyer, George Washington III

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	FGCU -11.5	FGCU -10.8	ORU +0.7	W ORU covered
Total	153.5	157.7	Over 4.2	W Over
Projected score	—	ORU 73.5 · FGCU 84.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	FGCU -6.4	FGCU -2.0
1H total	73.9	80
1H projected score	ORU 33.8 · FGCU 40.1	ORU 39 · FGCU 41

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ORU LWLW	2-2	50%	1-1	2-2
FGCU LLWW	2-2	50%	1-1	0-1

Venue/role: ORU away, as underdog; FGCU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORU OOUU	2-2	50%	0-4
FGCU OOOU	3-1	75%	2-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORUlast 4	0-4 0%	2-2 50%	2-2 50%
FGCUlast 4	2-2 50%	2-2 50%	3-1 75%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Oral Roberts

4 games played

Straight up

0-4

0% wins

Against the spread

2-2

50% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-2

50% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-40%

L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-250%

L W L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-250%

O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@OKST	L 71-95	+20.5	L −3.5	165.5	O 166
Nov 12	vsTLSA	L 87-88	+5.5	W +4.5	160.5	O 175
Nov 15	vsBEL	L 60-83	+7.5	L −15.5	171.5	U 143
Nov 20	@OU	L 71-95	+24.5	W +0.5	166.5	U 166

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

−3.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+4.5

BEL

L 60-83

−15.5

L 71-95

+0.5

covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

+0.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+14.5

BEL

L 60-83

−28.5

L 71-95

−0.5

over 2under 2avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

FGCU

4 games played

Straight up

2-2

50% wins

Against the spread

2-2

50% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-1

75% overs · avg +11 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-250%

L L W W

2 straight wins2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-250%

L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-175%

O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@ILL	L 70-113	+29.5	L −13.5	160.5	O 183
Nov 11	vsGASO	L 94-95	-3.5	L −4.5	163.5	O 189
Nov 15	vsUTC	W 91-73	+1.5	W +19.5	152.5	O 164
Nov 19	@SAM	W 77-62	+5.5	W +20.5	154.5	U 139

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

ILL

L 70-113

−13.5

GASO

L 94-95

−4.5

UTC

W 91-73

+19.5

SAM

W 77-62

+20.5

covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

ILL

L 70-113

+22.5

GASO

L 94-95

+25.5

UTC

W 91-73

+11.5

SAM

W 77-62

−15.5

over 3under 1avg +11 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Oral Roberts @ FGCU

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Oral Roberts

FGCU

Oral Roberts

FGCU