Oral Roberts Golden Eagles at Oklahoma Sooners: Model Line and Edge

Thu, Nov 20, 8:00 PM ETLloyd Noble Center · at Oklahoma

Final

#31OUOklahoma95▲ winner

Closing lineOU -24.5✓ ORU covered by 0.5

Closing total166.5Under by 0.5

Season records: Oral Roberts and Oklahoma
ORU	This season	OU
0-3	Record	2-2
1-2	ATS	1-3
2-1	O/U	2-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ORU 71–95 OU · ✓ OU (98%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
ORU	24	47	71
OU	42	53	95

1st half: ORU 24, OU 42 (OU by 18). The model had OU by 14.7 and a total of 77.8 (actual 66).

Team stats

ORU		OU
25-58 43%	Field goals	35-69 51%
9-26 35%	3-pointers	9-24 38%
12-15 80%	Free throws	16-23 70%
38 13 off	Rebounds	34 12 off
14	Assists	16
2	Steals	13
2	Blocks	4
18	Turnovers	3
17	Fouls	15
24	Points in paint	46
5	Fast-break points	14

Players

ORU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ofri Naveh F	29	13	5	4	6-8	0-0
Ty Harper G	28	11	0	1	4-13	1-5
Jack Turner G	28	7	5	5	2-6	1-3
Connor Dow G	25	12	5	1	4-8	4-7
Luke Gray F	19	9	0	0	3-7	1-4
Bench
Cal Furnish G	23	0	5	3	0-2	0-2
Chase Martin G	23	4	7	0	1-5	1-2
Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams F	19	11	5	0	4-7	1-2
Martins Kilups G	4	2	1	0	1-1	0-0
Aaron Jacob F	2	2	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Baron Smith Jr., Laymen McGrady, Alex Couto, Lane Sparks

OU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Xzayvier Brown G	31	9	3	4	4-9	1-4
Tae Davis F	30	13	5	1	5-12	1-4
Nijel Pack G	26	18	4	2	6-10	4-5
Derrion Reid F	25	7	4	2	3-8	1-5
Mohamed Wague F	23	20	7	1	9-12	0-0
Bench
Dayton Forsythe G	23	6	2	2	3-4	0-0
Jeff Nwankwo G	15	7	4	1	1-6	0-2
Jadon Jones G	13	8	1	2	1-3	1-3
Kuol Atak F	9	3	0	0	1-3	1-1
Kai Rogers F	3	4	1	0	2-2	0-0
Reid Lovelace G	2	0	0	1	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Andreas Holst, Alec Blair, Jake Hansen, Finley Keeffe

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	OU -24.5	OU -24.7	OU +0.2	L ORU covered
Total	166.5	166.1	Under 0.4	W Under
Projected score	—	ORU 70.7 · OU 95.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	OU -14.7	OU -18.0
1H total	77.8	66
1H projected score	ORU 31.5 · OU 46.3	ORU 24 · OU 42

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ORU LWL	1-2	33%	0-1	1-2
OU WLLL	1-3	25%	1-1	1-1

Venue/role: ORU away, as underdog; OU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORU OOU	2-1	67%	0-3
OU OUUO	2-2	50%	2-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORUlast 3	0-3 0%	1-2 33%	2-1 67%
OUlast 4	2-2 50%	1-3 25%	2-2 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Oral Roberts

3 games played

Straight up

0-3

0% wins

Against the spread

1-2

33% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-1

67% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-30%

L L L

3 straight losses0 of 3 won

Against the spread

1-233%

L W L

1 of 3 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-167%

O O U

2 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@OKST	L 71-95	+20.5	L −3.5	165.5	O 166
Nov 12	vsTLSA	L 87-88	+5.5	W +4.5	160.5	O 175
Nov 15	vsBEL	L 60-83	+7.5	L −15.5	171.5	U 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

−3.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+4.5

BEL

L 60-83

−15.5

covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

+0.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+14.5

BEL

L 60-83

−28.5

over 2under 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Oklahoma

4 games played

Straight up

2-2

50% wins

Against the spread

1-3

25% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-2

50% overs · avg +9.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-250%

W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

1-325%

W L L L

3 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

2-250%

O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSFPA	W 102-66	-31.5	W +4.5	149.5	O 168
Nov 8	@GONZ	L 68-83	+10.5	L −4.5	166.5	U 151
Nov 11	vsUAPB	W 95-69	-36.5	L −10.5	168.5	U 164
Nov 15	vsNEB	L 99-105	+1.5	L −4.5	163.5	O 204

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SFPA

W 102-66

+4.5

GONZ

L 68-83

−4.5

UAPB

W 95-69

−10.5

NEB

L 99-105

−4.5

covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SFPA

W 102-66

+18.5

GONZ

L 68-83

−15.5

UAPB

W 95-69

−4.5

NEB

L 99-105

+40.5

over 2under 2avg +9.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles at Oklahoma Sooners

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Oral Roberts

Oklahoma

Oral Roberts

Oklahoma