Pete Hanna Center · at Samford
Closing line
SAM -5.5✓ FGCU covered by 20.5
SAM -5.5✓ FGCU covered by 20.5Closing total154.5Under by 15.5
 FGCU | This season | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 3-2 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 3-0 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FGCU 78–84 SAM · ✗ SAM (69%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FGCU | 41 | 36 | 77 |
| SAM | 33 | 29 | 62 |
1st half: FGCU 41, SAM 33 (FGCU by 8). The model had SAM by 3.2 and a total of 75.8 (actual 74).
Team stats
| FGCU | SAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-59 51% | Field goals | 21-62 34% |
| 7-16 44% | 3-pointers | 7-26 27% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 13-24 54% |
| 46 14 off | Rebounds | 34 15 off |
| 16 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 8 | Blocks | 4 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| FGCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Konieczny F | 34 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Rahmir Barno G | 32 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 6-13 | 2-3 |
| Michael Duax F | 24 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Darren Williams G | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Tristen Guillouette C | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Malone F | 25 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Jordan Ellerbee G | 24 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Rory Stewart F | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| Jack Reddick G | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Gabe Tanner F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matt McCarthy, Chase Konieczny, Evan Barlow, BB Washington, Brandon Dwyer, George Washington III
| SAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth G | 36 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 7-13 | 6-11 |
| Keaton Norris G | 34 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Dylan Faulkner F | 26 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 5-14 | 0-0 |
| Cade Norris G | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Jaxon Pollard F | 16 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Judson Bjornstad F | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Kam Martin G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Zion Wilburn G | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Will Shaver C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Harrison F | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Davenport, JD Gossett, Corey Brown, Zach Lamey, Joshua Hughes, DaJion Humphrey
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSAM -2.5
3 → SAM
CloseSAM -5.5
3 pts toward SAM
Total
Open159.5
▼ 5
Close154.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
FGCU +195 · SAM -230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SAM -2.5 · closed SAM -5.5 · moved 3 toward SAMmodel SAM -5.5 matches the line
model SAM -5.5 = line ✓
Opened 159.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 5 downmodel 162
model 162
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SAM -5.5 | SAM -5.6 | SAM +0.1 | L FGCU covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 161.9 | Over 7.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | FGCU 78.2 · SAM 83.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SAM -3.2 | FGCU -8.0 |
| 1H total | 75.8 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | FGCU 36.3 · SAM 39.5 | FGCU 41 · SAM 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FGCUlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 3-0 100% |
| SAMlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
FGCU
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +19.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
ILL
ILLL 70-113
−13.5
11
vs
GASO
GASOL 94-95
−4.5
15
vs
UTC
UTCW 91-73
+19.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@ILL
ILLL 70-113
+22.5
11
vsGASO
GASOL 94-95
+25.5
15
vsUTC
UTCW 91-73
+11.5
over 3under 0avg +19.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Samford
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
TULN
TULNL 72-85
−5.5
7
vs
SCST
SCSTW 82-72
−4.5
12
@
TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+0.5
14
@
ARK
ARKL 75-79
+20.5
16
@
CARK
CARKW 84-77
+0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
+2.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−0.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+29.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
−4.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+9.5
over 3under 2avg +7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
FGCU
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Chattanooga91–73
- Lvs GA Southern94–95
- L@ Illinois70–113
4 days since their last game.
Samford
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ C Arkansas84–77
- L@ Arkansas75–79
- W@ Texas Southern93–90
- Wvs SC State82–72
- L@ Tulane72–85
3 days since their last game.