Dee Events Center · at Weber St · Conference game
Closing line
WEB -2.5✓ IDST covered by 0.5
WEB -2.5✓ IDST covered by 0.5Closing total151.5Over by 8.5
 IDST | This season | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| 7-11 | Record | 8-11 |
| 10-8 | ATS | 11-8 |
| 9-9 | O/U | 9-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IDST 75–78 WEB · ✓ WEB (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 38 | 41 | 79 |
| WEB | 33 | 48 | 81 |
1st half: IDST 38, WEB 33 (IDST by 5). The model had WEB by 1.4 and a total of 71.8 (actual 71).
Team stats
| IDST | WEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-54 54% | Field goals | 28-59 47% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 16-20 80% |
| 26 5 off | Rebounds | 33 12 off |
| 16 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Kheil G | 39 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 7-12 | 5-10 |
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 37 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 9-13 | 3-7 |
| Lachlan Brewer G | 30 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Jamison Guerra PG | 30 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Evan Otten F | 22 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Louis Bond G | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cheikh Sow G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Gus Etchison G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Kasen Carpenter, Trey Arland, Landen Birley, Jaedyn Brown, Quin Patterson
| WEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tijan Saine Jr. G | 40 | 28 | 1 | 8 | 8-14 | 4-6 |
| Viljami Vartiainen G | 33 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Malek Gomma C | 31 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Duce Paschal G | 25 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-8 | 0-3 |
| Edwin Suarez Jr. F | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| ArDarius Grayson G | 25 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-5 |
| Nigel Burris F | 18 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Declan Cutler C | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| David Hansen F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Anthony Moore, Bourgeois Tshilobo, Tyler Christensen, Trevor Hennig, Brady Smith, Jace Whiting
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWEB -2.5
ModelWEB -2.6
Model edgeWEB +0.1
L IDST covered
Total
Market151.5
Model153.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
W Over
Projected score
IDST 75.3 · WEB 78
IDST 79 · WEB 81
Win probability
WEB 59%
1st half
Spread
WEB -1.4
IDST -5.0
Total
71.8
71 points
Projected score
IDST 35.2 · WEB 36.6
IDST 38 · WEB 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWEB -1.5
1 → WEB
CloseWEB -2.5
1 pt toward WEB
Total
Open151.5
no move
Close151.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
IDST +120 · WEB -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WEB -1.5 · closed WEB -2.5 · moved 1 toward WEBmodel WEB -2.5 matches the line
model WEB -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 151.5 · unchangedmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| WEB | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
IDST 4–4 WEBSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · IDST 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | IDST 72 @ WEB 67 | WEB +1.5 | IDST W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | WEB 77 @ IDST 69 | IDST -4.5 | WEB W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | WEB 62 @ IDST 80 | IDST +3 | IDST W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | IDST 74 @ WEB 64 | WEB -12.5 | IDST W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | WEB 72 @ IDST 71 | IDST +2.5 | IDST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Idaho St
18 games played
Straight up
7-11
39% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USD | W 71-68 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 9 | @ SDSU | L 57-73 | +21.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEA | L 74-83 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 18 | @ SCU | L 55-64 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 26 | vs SHSU | L 81-84 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSUN | W 82-50 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | @ KC | W 68-59 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 6 | vs DEN | W 93-79 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ UVU | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCD | L 83-93 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vs SAC | W 97-84 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vs PRST | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 8 | @ UNCO | L 72-85 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 10 | @ NAU | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 15 | vs IDHO | W 76-68 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs EWU | L 66-84 | -6.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 22 | @ MTST | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | @ MONT | L 60-69 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
+7.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
+5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+2.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
+5.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
−1.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
+30.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
+3.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+5.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
−15.5
1
vsSAC
SACW 97-84
+4.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 87-93
−9.5
8
@UNCO
UNCOL 72-85
−8.5
10
@NAU
NAUW 81-79
−2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 76-68
+5.5
17
vsEWU
EWUL 66-84
−24.5
22
@MTST
MTSTL 62-74
−6.5
24
@MONT
MONTL 60-69
−4.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
−13.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
−5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+18.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
−22.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
+22.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
−16.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
−10.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+29.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+0.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
+32.5
1
vsSAC
SACW 97-84
+27.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 87-93
+37.5
8
@UNCO
UNCOL 72-85
+1.5
10
@NAU
NAUW 81-79
+20.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 76-68
−5.5
17
vsEWU
EWUL 66-84
−2.5
22
@MTST
MTSTL 62-74
−8.5
24
@MONT
MONTL 60-69
−19.5
over 9under 9avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Weber St
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ UTAH | L 89-92 | +15.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 12 | @ USU | L 73-83 | +22.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | @ UCI | L 70-79 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs CAM | W 91-85 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 22 | vs UTA | L 73-74 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 29 | vsKC | W 82-61 | -10.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs ORU | W 92-66 | -7.5 | W +18.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 7 | @ STMN | L 65-88 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 10 | @KC | W 64-60 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 17 | @UVU | L 74-90 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vs UTU | L 80-82 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | vsPRST | L 90-95 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 3 | vsSAC | W 95-82 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 168.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 8 | @NAU | W 78-65 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 10 | @UNCO | W 76-71 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 15 | vsEWU | W 91-80 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vsIDHO | L 67-75 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 22 | @MONT | L 65-81 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | @MTST | L 88-91 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@UTAH
UTAHL 89-92
+12.5
12
@USU
USUL 73-83
+12.5
15
@UCI
UCIL 70-79
+2.5
19
vsCAM
CAMW 91-85
+4.5
22
vsUTA
UTAL 73-74
−3.5
29
vsKC
KCW 82-61
+10.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 92-66
+18.5
7
@STMN
STMNL 65-88
−15.5
10
@KC
KCW 64-60
−3.5
17
@UVU
UVUL 74-90
−0.5
20
vsUTU
UTUL 80-82
−7.5
1
vsPRST
PRSTL 90-95
−3.5
3
vsSAC
SACW 95-82
+6.5
8
@NAU
NAUW 78-65
+10.5
10
@UNCO
UNCOW 76-71
+11.5
15
vsEWU
EWUW 91-80
+7.5
17
vsIDHO
IDHOL 67-75
−6.5
22
@MONT
MONTL 65-81
−11.5
24
@MTST
MTSTL 88-91
+3.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UTAH
UTAHL 89-92
+32.5
12
@USU
USUL 73-83
−0.5
15
@UCI
UCIL 70-79
−2.5
19
vsCAM
CAMW 91-85
+16.5
22
vsUTA
UTAL 73-74
−2.5
29
vsKC
KCW 82-61
−12.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 92-66
+0.5
7
@STMN
STMNL 65-88
−1.5
10
@KC
KCW 64-60
−26.5
17
@UVU
UVUL 74-90
+15.5
20
vsUTU
UTUL 80-82
+9.5
1
vsPRST
PRSTL 90-95
+36.5
3
vsSAC
SACW 95-82
+8.5
8
@NAU
NAUW 78-65
−6.5
10
@UNCO
UNCOW 76-71
−15.5
15
vsEWU
EWUW 91-80
+12.5
17
vsIDHO
IDHOL 67-75
−16.5
22
@MONT
MONTL 65-81
−11.5
24
@MTST
MTSTL 88-91
+31.5
over 9under 10avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Idaho St
7-11 overall · 3-5 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Montana60–69
- L@ Montana St62–74
- Lvs E Washington66–84
- Wvs Idaho76–68
- W@ N Arizona81–79
A week or more of rest.
Weber St
8-11 overall · 4-4 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Montana St88–91
- L@ Montana65–81
- Lvs Idaho67–75
- Wvs E Washington91–80
- W@ N Colorado76–71
A week or more of rest.