Oral Roberts Golden Eagles at Weber State Wildcats: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Dec 3, 9:00 PM ETDee Events Center · at Weber St

Final

#313WEBWeber St92▲ winner

Closing lineWEB -7.5✓ WEB covered by 18.5

Closing total157.5Over by 0.5

Season records: Oral Roberts and Weber St
ORU	This season	WEB
1-6	Record	2-4
4-3	ATS	5-1
4-3	O/U	2-4

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ORU 76–84 WEB · ✓ WEB (75%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
ORU	23	43	66
WEB	43	49	92

1st half: ORU 23, WEB 43 (WEB by 20). The model had WEB by 4.6 and a total of 74.7 (actual 66).

Team stats

ORU		WEB
21-56 38%	Field goals	36-65 55%
11-29 38%	3-pointers	6-17 35%
13-19 68%	Free throws	14-18 78%
27 6 off	Rebounds	40 9 off
10	Assists	19
3	Steals	8
4	Blocks	5
15	Turnovers	9
21	Fouls	17
16	Points in paint	58
7	Fast-break points	14

Players

ORU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Connor Dow G	30	16	2	0	5-11	4-10
Ty Harper G	30	18	1	2	6-12	0-1
Jack Turner G	21	6	2	1	2-6	2-6
Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams F	17	6	4	0	2-9	1-3
Luke Gray F	10	0	1	1	0-2	0-1
Bench
Martins Kilups G	28	3	2	2	1-2	1-1
Cal Furnish G	20	9	2	0	3-5	3-5
Chase Martin G	18	0	4	4	0-1	0-0
Baron Smith Jr. C	17	4	6	0	1-5	0-0
Aaron Jacob F	9	4	1	0	1-3	0-2

Did not play: Laymen McGrady, Ofri Naveh, Alex Couto, Lane Sparks

WEB	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jace Whiting G	33	18	3	4	8-17	2-6
Tijan Saine Jr. G	29	15	7	7	5-7	2-3
Trevor Hennig G	29	7	1	4	2-6	0-1
Edwin Suarez Jr. F	23	14	7	0	6-8	0-0
Malek Gomma C	18	8	5	3	4-6	0-0
Bench
Nigel Burris F	15	11	3	0	5-5	0-0
Duce Paschal G	14	10	5	0	3-5	1-2
ArDarius Grayson G	13	0	1	0	0-2	0-1
David Hansen F	11	3	3	0	1-4	1-4
Declan Cutler C	9	6	2	0	2-3	0-0
Brady Smith G	3	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Bourgeois Tshilobo F	3	0	1	1	0-2	0-0

Did not play: Anthony Moore, Tyler Christensen, Viljami Vartiainen

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	WEB -7.5	WEB -7.8	WEB +0.3	W WEB covered
Total	157.5	159.6	Over 2.1	W Over
Projected score	—	ORU 75.9 · WEB 83.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	WEB -4.6	WEB -20.0
1H total	74.7	66
1H projected score	ORU 35.1 · WEB 39.6	ORU 23 · WEB 43

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ORU LWWWL	4-3	57%	2-1	4-3
WEB WWWLW	5-1	83%	2-1	2-1

Venue/role: ORU away, as underdog; WEB home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORU UUOOU	4-3	57%	1-6
WEB UUOUU	2-4	33%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORUlast 7	1-6 14%	4-3 57%	4-3 57%
WEBlast 6	2-4 33%	5-1 83%	2-4 33%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

ORU 0–1 WEBWEB leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ORU 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Jan 6, 2023-24	WEB 83 @ ORU 78	ORU +2.5	WEB W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Oral Roberts

7 games played

Straight up

1-6

14% wins

Against the spread

4-3

57% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-3

57% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-614%

L L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

4-357%

L W L W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

4-357%

O O U U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@OKST	L 71-95	+20.5	L −3.5	165.5	O 166
Nov 12	vsTLSA	L 87-88	+5.5	W +4.5	160.5	O 175
Nov 15	vsBEL	L 60-83	+7.5	L −15.5	171.5	U 143
Nov 20	@OU	L 71-95	+24.5	W +0.5	166.5	U 166
Nov 24	@FGCU	L 88-93	+11.5	W +6.5	153.5	O 181
Nov 25	vsKENN	W 91-83	+8.5	W +16.5	166.5	O 174
Nov 26	vsRICE	L 62-81	+5.5	L −13.5	150.5	U 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

−3.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+4.5

BEL

L 60-83

−15.5

L 71-95

+0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+6.5

KENN

W 91-83

+16.5

RICE

L 62-81

−13.5

covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

+0.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+14.5

BEL

L 60-83

−28.5

L 71-95

−0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+27.5

KENN

W 91-83

+7.5

RICE

L 62-81

−7.5

over 4under 3avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Weber St

6 games played

Straight up

2-4

33% wins

Against the spread

5-1

83% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-4

33% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-433%

L L L W L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

5-183%

W W W W L W

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-433%

O U U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@UTAH	L 89-92	+15.5	W +12.5	148.5	O 181
Nov 12	@USU	L 73-83	+22.5	W +12.5	156.5	U 156
Nov 15	@UCI	L 70-79	+11.5	W +2.5	151.5	U 149
Nov 19	vsCAM	W 91-85	-1.5	W +4.5	159.5	O 176
Nov 22	vsUTA	L 73-74	-2.5	L −3.5	149.5	U 147
Nov 29	vsKC	W 82-61	-10.5	W +10.5	155.5	U 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UTAH

L 89-92

+12.5

USU

L 73-83

+12.5

UCI

L 70-79

+2.5

CAM

W 91-85

+4.5

UTA

L 73-74

−3.5

W 82-61

+10.5

covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UTAH

L 89-92

+32.5

USU

L 73-83

−0.5

UCI

L 70-79

−2.5

CAM

W 91-85

+16.5

UTA

L 73-74

−2.5

W 82-61

−12.5

over 2under 4avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles at Weber State Wildcats

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Oral Roberts

Weber St

Oral Roberts

Weber St