Cam Henderson Center · at Marshall
Closing line
MRSH -11.5✓ MERC covered by 2.5
MRSH -11.5✓ MERC covered by 2.5Closing total147.5Under by 18.5
 MERC | This season | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 4-1 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MERC 69–80 MRSH · ✓ MRSH (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERC | 23 | 37 | 60 |
| MRSH | 27 | 42 | 69 |
1st half: MERC 23, MRSH 27 (MRSH by 4). The model had MRSH by 6.5 and a total of 69.5 (actual 50).
Team stats
| MERC | MRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-60 40% | Field goals | 22-53 42% |
| 3-16 19% | 3-pointers | 12-29 41% |
| 9-16 56% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 36 13 off | Rebounds | 38 10 off |
| 6 | Assists | 14 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| MERC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qadir Martin F | 33 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Jake Lemelman G | 33 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 8-19 | 1-4 |
| Bernie Blunt III G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas F | 27 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Christian Gamble G | 23 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeShaun Jackson Jr. PG | 29 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Johnson F | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| James Thomas F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Lang, Brady Conner, Chris Leman, Emilis Butkus, Or Faran, Vladimir Pavlovic
| MRSH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Speer G | 36 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 7-12 | 5-9 |
| Caleb Hollenbeck G | 32 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| Wyatt Fricks F | 32 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Matt Van Komen C | 25 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Noah Otshudi G | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Wilson Dubinsky G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Erich Harding F | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Drew Fuquay F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Slay G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Landen Joseph G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Shamarrie Hugie, Kai Spears, Grant Moore, Will Moore, Kaiden White
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRSH -11.5
ModelMRSH -11.0
Model edgeMERC +0.5
W MERC covered
Total
Market147.5
Model148.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
MERC 68.6 · MRSH 79.6
MERC 60 · MRSH 69
Win probability
MRSH 83%
1st half
Spread
MRSH -6.5
MRSH -4.0
Total
69.5
50 points
Projected score
MERC 31.5 · MRSH 38
MERC 23 · MRSH 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRSH -12.5
1 → MERC
CloseMRSH -11.5
1 pt toward MERC
Total
Open152.5
▼ 5
Close147.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
MERC +600 · MRSH -1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRSH -12.5 · closed MRSH -11.5 · moved 1 toward MERCmodel MRSH -11
model MRSH -11
Opened 152.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 5 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERClast 5 | 2-3 40% | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% |
| MRSHlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercyhurst
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +9.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NU
NUL 47-70
+3.5
6
@
LUC
LUCW 73-65
+29.5
12
@
CAN
CANL 55-58
−4.5
15
vs
MORG
MORGW 86-72
+7.5
20
@
M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +9.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
−23.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
−6.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−22.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+11.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+7.5
over 2under 3avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Marshall
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +10.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
MASS
MASSW 78-72
+10.5
8
@
TOL
TOLW 85-73
+14.5
12
vs
ELON
ELONW 96-89
−1.5
15
@
UVA
UVAL 78-104
−5.5
20
vs
UAPB
UAPBW 98-70
+7.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
−2.5
8
@TOL
TOLW 85-73
−2.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 96-89
+29.5
15
@UVA
UVAL 78-104
+26.5
20
vsUAPB
UAPBW 98-70
+3.5
over 3under 2avg +10.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercyhurst
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Miami OH71–76
- Wvs Morgan St86–72
- L@ Canisius55–58
- W@ Loyola Chicago73–65
- L@ Northwestern47–70
3 days since their last game.
Marshall
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff98–70
- L@ Virginia78–104
- Wvs Elon96–89
- W@ Toledo85–73
- W@ UMass78–72
3 days since their last game.