Case Gym · at Boston U · Conference game
Closing line
COLG -2.5✓ BU covered by 29.5
COLG -2.5✓ BU covered by 29.5Closing total145.5Under by 2.5
| COLG | This season | BU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-11 | Record | 11-15 |
| 11-14 | ATS | 12-14 |
| 14-11 | O/U | 17-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLG 76–75 BU · ✗ COLG (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 23 | 35 | 58 |
| BU | 36 | 49 | 85 |
1st half: COLG 23, BU 36 (BU by 13). The model had COLG by 0.7 and a total of 70.9 (actual 59).
Team stats
| COLG | BU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-58 34% | Field goals | 31-58 53% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 18-30 60% |
| 9-10 90% | Free throws | 5-8 63% |
| 29 12 off | Rebounds | 38 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 22 |
| 2 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 12 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| COLG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Tweedy G | 31 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Jalen Cox G | 31 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-14 | 0-1 |
| Josh Ahayere G | 28 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| Andrew Alekseyenko F | 26 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Sam Wright F | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyle Carlesimo G | 18 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Cooper Wright F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ayomi Odetoyinbo F | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Brown F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Brennan F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jonathan Niv G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Charlie Pugh G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Stevie Clark, Blake Forrest, Brady Cummins, Parker Jones
| BU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hughes F | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 5-7 |
| Chance Gladden G | 35 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Mike McNair Jr. G | 33 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 6-12 | 3-7 |
| Azmar Abdullah G | 31 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Ben Defty C | 23 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 5-13 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donte Tisinger Jr. G | 24 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Quinn Nielsen F | 17 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Peter Carr G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Malcolm Chimezie, Andrew Bhesania, Ben Roy, Otto Landrum, Kyrone Alexander, Matai Baptiste, Ethan Okwuosa, Spencer Joyner
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCOLG -2.5
ModelCOLG -0.9
Model edgeBU +1.6
W BU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model151.6
Model edgeOver 6.1
L Under
Projected score
COLG 76.2 · BU 75.3
COLG 58 · BU 85
Win probability
COLG 53%
1st half
Spread
COLG -0.7
BU -13.0
Total
70.9
59 points
Projected score
COLG 35.8 · BU 35.1
COLG 23 · BU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCOLG -1.5
1 → COLG
CloseCOLG -2.5
1 pt toward COLG
Total
Open142.5
▲ 3
Close145.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
COLG -135 · BU +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened COLG -1.5 · closed COLG -2.5 · moved 1 toward COLGmodel COLG -1
model COLG -1
Opened 142.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 3 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| BU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
COLG 7–2 BUCOLG leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · COLG 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | BU 79 @ COLG 80 | COLG -7.5 | BU W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | COLG 91 @ BU 93 | BU +3.5 | BU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | BU 50 @ COLG 87 | COLG -3.5 | COLG W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | COLG 74 @ BU 64 | BU +6.5 | COLG W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | BU 59 @ COLG 75 | COLG -9.5 | COLG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colgate
25 games played
Straight up
14-11
56% wins
Against the spread
11-14
44% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MSU | L 69-80 | +22.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 7 | vs NE | L 65-68 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | vs DREX | W 90-83 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ ILL | L 65-84 | +30.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 17 | @ SIE | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | @ COR | L 94-95 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 28 | vs UALB | W 69-67 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs FOR | W 72-62 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 10 | @ SBU | L 77-85 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 21 | @ FLA | L 60-90 | +27.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 28 | vs HARV | L 69-78 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 31 | @ LAF | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ ARMY | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | vs AMER | W 64-62 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | vs LEH | L 77-78 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @ L-MD | W 86-80 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | vs BUCK | W 95-76 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 21 | @AMER | L 66-70 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vsBU | W 80-79 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 28 | vs HC | W 79-74 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 31 | @LEH | L 76-77 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 4 | vsARMY | W 69-55 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 7 | @BUCK | W 78-59 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 11 | @HC | W 74-70 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 14 | vs NAVY | L 80-84 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+11.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−8.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+3.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
+11.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
+9.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+4.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
+8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+1.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 60-90
−2.5
28
vsHARV
HARVL 69-78
−12.5
31
@LAF
LAFW 85-77
+1.5
3
@ARMY
ARMYW 76-69
−0.5
7
vsAMER
AMERW 64-62
−3.5
10
vsLEH
LEHL 77-78
−12.5
14
@L-MD
L-MDW 86-80
−2.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 95-76
+10.5
21
@AMER
AMERL 66-70
−2.5
24
vsBU
BUW 80-79
−6.5
28
vsHC
HCW 79-74
−5.5
31
@LEH
LEHL 76-77
−4.5
4
vsARMY
ARMYW 69-55
+3.5
7
@BUCK
BUCKW 78-59
+13.5
11
@HC
HCW 74-70
−4.5
14
vsNAVY
NAVYL 80-84
−5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 14avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+4.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−14.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+29.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
−15.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
−5.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+27.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
−8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+19.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 60-90
−6.5
28
vsHARV
HARVL 69-78
+5.5
31
@LAF
LAFW 85-77
+15.5
3
@ARMY
ARMYW 76-69
−2.5
7
vsAMER
AMERW 64-62
−22.5
10
vsLEH
LEHL 77-78
+12.5
14
@L-MD
L-MDW 86-80
+15.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 95-76
+31.5
21
@AMER
AMERL 66-70
−10.5
24
vsBU
BUW 80-79
+11.5
28
vsHC
HCW 79-74
+8.5
31
@LEH
LEHL 76-77
+6.5
4
vsARMY
ARMYW 69-55
−26.5
7
@BUCK
BUCKW 78-59
−4.5
11
@HC
HCW 74-70
+1.5
14
vsNAVY
NAVYL 80-84
+24.5
over 14under 11avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston U
26 games played
Straight up
11-15
42% wins
Against the spread
12-14
46% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-9
65% overs · avg +11 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @NE | W 76-75 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ NU | L 52-76 | +17.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 12 | vs BRWN | W 90-77 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 129.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | vs MRMK | L 79-91 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 18 | @ COLU | L 49-54 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 103 |
| Nov 22 | vsHARV | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ PSU | L 87-96 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | @ NKU | L 65-74 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNH | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs ME | L 59-69 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 128.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | @ DART | L 64-77 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 21 | vs UML | W 88-76 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 31 | @NAVY | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | vsAMER | L 62-64 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @LAF | W 83-67 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsARMY | W 100-91 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 14 | vsLEH | L 91-93 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 17 | @L-MD | L 57-74 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 21 | vsLAF | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 24 | @COLG | L 79-80 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsNAVY | L 50-58 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 31 | @BUCK | L 97-103 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 200 |
| Feb 2 | @HC | W 72-64 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vsL-MD | W 78-69 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | @ARMY | W 85-68 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsBUCK | W 82-69 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+3.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−6.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+9.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
−14.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−0.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+5.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+5.5
29
@NKU
NKUL 65-74
−1.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 82-88
−11.5
10
vsME
MEL 59-69
−18.5
13
@DART
DARTL 64-77
−10.5
21
vsUML
UMLW 88-76
+6.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-82
−0.5
3
vsAMER
AMERL 62-64
−3.5
7
@LAF
LAFW 83-67
+14.5
10
vsARMY
ARMYW 100-91
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 91-93
−6.5
17
@L-MD
L-MDL 57-74
−18.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 77-73
−0.5
24
@COLG
COLGL 79-80
+6.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-58
−6.5
31
@BUCK
BUCKL 97-103
−7.5
2
@HC
HCW 72-64
+5.5
7
vsL-MD
L-MDW 78-69
+3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 85-68
+14.5
14
vsBUCK
BUCKW 82-69
+7.5
covered 12didn’t cover 14avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+8.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−8.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+37.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
+34.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−41.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+12.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+40.5
29
@NKU
NKUL 65-74
−4.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 82-88
+35.5
10
vsME
MEL 59-69
−0.5
13
@DART
DARTL 64-77
−3.5
21
vsUML
UMLW 88-76
+18.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-82
+21.5
3
vsAMER
AMERL 62-64
−16.5
7
@LAF
LAFW 83-67
+7.5
10
vsARMY
ARMYW 100-91
+50.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 91-93
+39.5
17
@L-MD
L-MDL 57-74
−17.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 77-73
+4.5
24
@COLG
COLGL 79-80
+11.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-58
−30.5
31
@BUCK
BUCKL 97-103
+61.5
2
@HC
HCW 72-64
−3.5
7
vsL-MD
L-MDW 78-69
+1.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 85-68
+12.5
14
vsBUCK
BUCKW 82-69
+13.5
over 17under 9avg +11 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colgate
14-11 overall · 10-4 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Navy80–84
- W@ Holy Cross74–70
- W@ Bucknell78–59
- Wvs Army69–55
- L@ Lehigh76–77
2 days since their last game.
Boston U
11-15 overall · 7-7 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bucknell82–69
- W@ Army85–68
- Wvs Loyola MD78–69
- W@ Holy Cross72–64
- L@ Bucknell97–103
2 days since their last game.