Sojka Pavilion · at Bucknell · Conference game
Closing line
COLG -5.5✓ COLG covered by 13.5
COLG -5.5✓ COLG covered by 13.5Closing total141.5Under by 4.5
| COLG | This season | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| 12-10 | Record | 8-16 |
| 10-12 | ATS | 11-13 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 8-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLG 75–72 BUCK · ✓ COLG (62%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 39 | 39 | 78 |
| BUCK | 23 | 36 | 59 |
1st half: COLG 39, BUCK 23 (COLG by 16). The model had COLG by 2.2 and a total of 68.6 (actual 62).
Team stats
| COLG | BUCK | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-63 44% | Field goals | 18-55 33% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 3-25 12% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 20-27 74% |
| 40 10 off | Rebounds | 35 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 22 | Fouls | 17 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| COLG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cox G | 36 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Ben Tweedy G | 33 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-9 | 3-7 |
| Andrew Alekseyenko F | 31 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 6-12 | 2-5 |
| Sam Wright F | 22 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Josh Ahayere G | 21 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyle Carlesimo G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Cooper Wright F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Brennan F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Ayomi Odetoyinbo F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jonathan Niv G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Charlie Pugh G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Brown F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Blake Forrest, Stevie Clark, Brady Cummins, Parker Jones
| BUCK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achile Spadone G | 38 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6-11 | 0-3 |
| Jayden Williams G | 37 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Amon Dorries C | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 9-15 | 1-3 |
| Pat Curtin G | 30 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-13 | 1-7 |
| Aleksander Pachucki G | 21 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quin Berger G | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Patrick O'Brien F | 12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Meachem G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Kellen Welch F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Fulton, Brady Muller, Ruot Bijiek, Matt Lange, Grgur Brcic, Brandon McCreesh
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCOLG -5.5
ModelCOLG -3.5
Model edgeBUCK +2.0
L COLG covered
Total
Market141.5
Model146.6
Model edgeOver 5.1
L Under
Projected score
COLG 75 · BUCK 71.6
COLG 78 · BUCK 59
Win probability
COLG 62%
1st half
Spread
COLG -2.2
COLG -16.0
Total
68.6
62 points
Projected score
COLG 35.4 · BUCK 33.2
COLG 39 · BUCK 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCOLG -4.5
1 → COLG
CloseCOLG -5.5
1 pt toward COLG
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
COLG -225 · BUCK +185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened COLG -4.5 · closed COLG -5.5 · moved 1 toward COLGmodel COLG -3.5
model COLG -3.5
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
| BUCK | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
COLG 10–1 BUCKCOLG leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · COLG has won the last 2 meetings · COLG 5-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | BUCK 76 @ COLG 95 | COLG -8.5 | COLG W |
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | BUCK 80 @ COLG 87 | COLG -7.5 | BUCK W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | COLG 60 @ BUCK 66 | BUCK -2.5 | BUCK W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | BUCK 65 @ COLG 68 | COLG -12.5 | BUCK W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | BUCK 50 @ COLG 62 | COLG -12.5 | BUCK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colgate
22 games played
Straight up
12-10
55% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MSU | L 69-80 | +22.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 7 | vs NE | L 65-68 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | vs DREX | W 90-83 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ ILL | L 65-84 | +30.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 17 | @ SIE | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | @ COR | L 94-95 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 28 | vs UALB | W 69-67 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs FOR | W 72-62 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 10 | @ SBU | L 77-85 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 21 | @ FLA | L 60-90 | +27.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 28 | vs HARV | L 69-78 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 31 | @ LAF | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ ARMY | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | vs AMER | W 64-62 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | vs LEH | L 77-78 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @ L-MD | W 86-80 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | vsBUCK | W 95-76 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 21 | @AMER | L 66-70 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs BU | W 80-79 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 28 | vs HC | W 79-74 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 31 | @LEH | L 76-77 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 4 | vsARMY | W 69-55 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+11.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−8.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+3.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
+11.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
+9.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+4.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
+8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+1.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 60-90
−2.5
28
vsHARV
HARVL 69-78
−12.5
31
@LAF
LAFW 85-77
+1.5
3
@ARMY
ARMYW 76-69
−0.5
7
vsAMER
AMERW 64-62
−3.5
10
vsLEH
LEHL 77-78
−12.5
14
@L-MD
L-MDW 86-80
−2.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 95-76
+10.5
21
@AMER
AMERL 66-70
−2.5
24
vsBU
BUW 80-79
−6.5
28
vsHC
HCW 79-74
−5.5
31
@LEH
LEHL 76-77
−4.5
4
vsARMY
ARMYW 69-55
+3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+4.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−14.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+29.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
−15.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
−5.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+27.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
−8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+19.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 60-90
−6.5
28
vsHARV
HARVL 69-78
+5.5
31
@LAF
LAFW 85-77
+15.5
3
@ARMY
ARMYW 76-69
−2.5
7
vsAMER
AMERW 64-62
−22.5
10
vsLEH
LEHL 77-78
+12.5
14
@L-MD
L-MDW 86-80
+15.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 95-76
+31.5
21
@AMER
AMERL 66-70
−10.5
24
vsBU
BUW 80-79
+11.5
28
vsHC
HCW 79-74
+8.5
31
@LEH
LEHL 76-77
+6.5
4
vsARMY
ARMYW 69-55
−26.5
over 12under 10avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bucknell
24 games played
Straight up
8-16
33% wins
Against the spread
11-13
46% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-16
33% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DEL | W 78-70 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ MSM | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ PRIN | L 63-73 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 14 | vs HOF | L 77-83 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 17 | @ PITT | L 50-84 | +16.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | @ SJU | L 49-97 | +28.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs BGSU | L 66-71 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs BUF | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vsCOR | L 72-101 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 3 | @ AKR | L 77-97 | +23.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMBC | L 66-73 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | @ RID | W 51-38 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 89 |
| Dec 20 | @ IOWA | L 39-94 | +25.5 | L −29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @HC | L 58-65 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vsLEH | W 72-65 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 7 | @ NAVY | L 55-76 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsL-MD | W 70-67 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vsLAF | W 76-69 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | @COLG | L 76-95 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 21 | vsARMY | L 84-87 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 24 | @L-MD | L 62-67 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | @LAF | L 79-81 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | vsBU | W 103-97 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 200 |
| Feb 4 | @AMER | W 60-59 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDEL
DELW 78-70
+5.5
7
@MSM
MSMW 73-62
+12.5
11
@PRIN
PRINL 63-73
−5.5
14
vsHOF
HOFL 77-83
−1.5
17
@PITT
PITTL 50-84
−17.5
20
@SJU
SJUL 49-97
−19.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-71
+5.5
26
vsBUF
BUFL 71-73
+2.5
30
vsCOR
CORL 72-101
−23.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 77-97
+3.5
6
vsUMBC
UMBCL 66-73
−8.5
9
@RID
RIDW 51-38
+10.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 39-94
−29.5
31
@HC
HCL 58-65
−8.5
3
vsLEH
LEHW 72-65
+2.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−12.5
10
vsL-MD
L-MDW 70-67
−3.5
14
vsLAF
LAFW 76-69
+4.5
17
@COLG
COLGL 76-95
−10.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYL 84-87
−7.5
24
@L-MD
L-MDL 62-67
−2.5
28
@LAF
LAFL 79-81
+2.5
31
vsBU
BUW 103-97
+7.5
4
@AMER
AMERW 60-59
+8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 13avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEL
DELW 78-70
−1.5
7
@MSM
MSMW 73-62
−8.5
11
@PRIN
PRINL 63-73
−10.5
14
vsHOF
HOFL 77-83
+20.5
17
@PITT
PITTL 50-84
−7.5
20
@SJU
SJUL 49-97
−12.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-71
−7.5
26
vsBUF
BUFL 71-73
−2.5
30
vsCOR
CORL 72-101
+13.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 77-97
+16.5
6
vsUMBC
UMBCL 66-73
−4.5
9
@RID
RIDW 51-38
−46.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 39-94
−0.5
31
@HC
HCL 58-65
−10.5
3
vsLEH
LEHW 72-65
−0.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−6.5
10
vsL-MD
L-MDW 70-67
−6.5
14
vsLAF
LAFW 76-69
+7.5
17
@COLG
COLGL 76-95
+31.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYL 84-87
+26.5
24
@L-MD
L-MDL 62-67
−18.5
28
@LAF
LAFL 79-81
+21.5
31
vsBU
BUW 103-97
+61.5
4
@AMER
AMERW 60-59
−22.5
over 8under 16avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colgate
12-10 overall · 8-3 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Army69–55
- L@ Lehigh76–77
- Wvs Holy Cross79–74
- Wvs Boston U80–79
- L@ American66–70
3 days since their last game.
Bucknell
8-16 overall · 5-6 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ American60–59
- Wvs Boston U103–97
- L@ Lafayette79–81
- L@ Loyola MD62–67
- Lvs Army84–87
3 days since their last game.