Colgate Raiders at Army Black Knights: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Jan 3, 1:00 PM ETChristl Arena · at Army · Conference game

#211COLGColgate76▲ winner

Final

#288ARMYArmy69final

Closing lineCOLG -7.5✓ ARMY covered by 0.5

Closing total147.5Under by 2.5

Season records: Colgate and Army
COLG	This season	ARMY
5-7	Record	5-7
8-4	ATS	8-4
6-6	O/U	8-4

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: COLG 80–74 ARMY · ✓ COLG (69%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
COLG	35	41	76
ARMY	34	35	69

1st half: COLG 35, ARMY 34 (COLG by 1). The model had COLG by 3.4 and a total of 72.3 (actual 69).

Team stats

COLG		ARMY
26-58 45%	Field goals	23-55 42%
10-27 37%	3-pointers	12-31 39%
14-16 88%	Free throws	11-20 55%
33 11 off	Rebounds	34 12 off
17	Assists	18
5	Steals	3
6	Blocks	2
7	Turnovers	8
16	Fouls	16
28	Points in paint	20
0	Fast-break points	6

Players

COLG	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Kyle Carlesimo G	37	18	3	1	7-13	4-10
Andrew Alekseyenko F	32	6	11	7	2-9	0-3
Ben Tweedy G	31	18	3	3	6-12	2-5
Sam Wright F	26	18	4	1	7-14	2-5
Brady Cummins G	24	9	1	1	1-4	1-3
Bench
Cooper Wright F	21	2	4	2	1-3	0-0
Ethan Brown F	16	3	2	2	1-1	1-1
Ayomi Odetoyinbo F	13	2	3	0	1-2	0-0

Did not play: Parker Jones, Jonathan Niv, Charlie Pugh, Blake Forrest, Cameron Brennan, Stevie Clark, Josh Ahayere, Jalen Cox

ARMY	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ryan Curry G	36	24	4	7	7-13	6-9
Tate Laczkowski F	28	11	8	2	5-7	1-1
Jacen Holloway F	27	5	2	2	2-6	0-3
Kevin McCarthy G	26	7	4	3	3-6	1-4
Jorn Everson F	18	0	1	0	0-4	0-1
Bench
Jaxson Bell G	28	9	8	1	2-9	1-5
Jackson Furman G	25	7	0	3	2-6	2-6
Joshua Eli F	12	6	5	0	2-4	1-2

Did not play: Chanse Perkins, Jahaan Green, Dylan Benner, Dillon Watt, Nnaemeka Ikechi, Dylan Murans, Dayon Polk, Alex Engro, Brendon O'Keefe, Jackson Mayo

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	COLG -7.5	COLG -5.5	ARMY +2.0	W ARMY covered
Total	147.5	154.4	Over 6.9	L Under
Projected score	—	COLG 79.9 · ARMY 74.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	COLG -3.4	COLG -1.0
1H total	72.3	69
1H projected score	COLG 37.9 · ARMY 34.4	COLG 35 · ARMY 34

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
COLG WWLLW	8-4	67%	6-1	3-3
ARMY WWWLW	8-4	67%	2-3	8-3

Venue/role: COLG away, as favorite; ARMY home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
COLG UOUOO	6-6	50%	5-7
ARMY OUUOO	8-4	67%	5-7

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
COLG	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
ARMY	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22

COLG 9–1 ARMYCOLG leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · COLG 6-4 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Mar 6, 2024-25	ARMY 55 @ COLG 84	COLG -6.5	COLG W
Jan 29, 2024-25	COLG 72 @ ARMY 84	ARMY +5.5	ARMY W
Jan 2, 2024-25	ARMY 59 @ COLG 71	COLG -5.5	COLG W
Jan 31, 2023-24	ARMY 55 @ COLG 74	COLG -14.5	COLG W
Jan 17, 2023-24	COLG 64 @ ARMY 56	ARMY +9.5	ARMY W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Colgate

12 games played

Straight up

5-7

42% wins

Against the spread

8-4

67% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-6

50% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-742%

L L W L W L W W L L L W

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

8-467%

W L W W W W L W W L L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

6-650%

O U O U U O U U O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@MSU	L 69-80	+22.5	W +11.5	144.5	O 149
Nov 7	vsNE	L 65-68	-5.5	L −8.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 11	vsDREX	W 90-83	-3.5	W +3.5	143.5	O 173
Nov 14	@ILL	L 65-84	+30.5	W +11.5	164.5	U 149
Nov 17	@SIE	W 72-69	+6.5	W +9.5	146.5	U 141
Nov 20	@COR	L 94-95	+5.5	W +4.5	161.5	O 189
Nov 28	vsUALB	W 69-67	-7.5	L −5.5	141.5	U 136
Nov 30	vsFOR	W 72-62	-1.5	W +8.5	142.5	U 134
Dec 10	@SBU	L 77-85	+9.5	W +1.5	142.5	O 162
Dec 21	@FLA	L 60-90	+27.5	L −2.5	156.5	U 150
Dec 28	vsHARV	L 69-78	-3.5	L −12.5	141.5	O 147
Dec 31	@LAF	W 85-77	-6.5	W +1.5	146.5	O 162

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MSU

L 69-80

+11.5

L 65-68

−8.5

DREX

W 90-83

+3.5

ILL

L 65-84

+11.5

SIE

W 72-69

+9.5

COR

L 94-95

+4.5

UALB

W 69-67

−5.5

FOR

W 72-62

+8.5

SBU

L 77-85

+1.5

FLA

L 60-90

−2.5

HARV

L 69-78

−12.5

LAF

W 85-77

+1.5

covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MSU

L 69-80

+4.5

L 65-68

−14.5

DREX

W 90-83

+29.5

ILL

L 65-84

−15.5

SIE

W 72-69

−5.5

COR

L 94-95

+27.5

UALB

W 69-67

−5.5

FOR

W 72-62

−8.5

SBU

L 77-85

+19.5

FLA

L 60-90

−6.5

HARV

L 69-78

+5.5

LAF

W 85-77

+15.5

over 6under 6avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Army

12 games played

Straight up

5-7

42% wins

Against the spread

8-4

67% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

8-4

67% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-742%

L L L L L L W W L W W W

3 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

8-467%

W L L W W L W W W W L W

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

8-467%

O O U U O O O O U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@STMN	L 76-83	+18.5	W +11.5	151.5	O 159
Nov 11	vsDUKE	L 59-114	+33.5	L −21.5	152.5	O 173
Nov 15	vsHARV	L 52-75	+6.5	L −16.5	146.5	U 127
Nov 18	@COR	L 73-86	+17.5	W +4.5	164.5	U 159
Nov 21	@MRST	L 65-76	+12.5	W +1.5	132.5	O 141
Nov 25	vsETAM	L 67-84	+2.5	L −14.5	143.5	O 151
Nov 26	@FDU	W 81-73	+4.5	W +12.5	152.5	O 154
Nov 29	vsMAN	W 81-78	+1.5	W +4.5	152.5	O 159
Dec 2	vsGW	L 70-84	+19.5	W +5.5	156.5	U 154
Dec 12	@UMBC	W 63-60	+7.5	W +10.5	146.5	U 123
Dec 23	vsBING	W 95-85	-12.5	L −2.5	140.5	O 180
Dec 31	@LEH	W 85-78	+5.5	W +12.5	146.5	O 163

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

STMN

L 76-83

+11.5

DUKE

L 59-114

−21.5

HARV

L 52-75

−16.5

COR

L 73-86

+4.5

MRST

L 65-76

+1.5

ETAM

L 67-84

−14.5

FDU

W 81-73

+12.5

MAN

W 81-78

+4.5

L 70-84

+5.5

UMBC

W 63-60

+10.5

BING

W 95-85

−2.5

LEH

W 85-78

+12.5

covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

STMN

L 76-83

+7.5

DUKE

L 59-114

+20.5

HARV

L 52-75

−19.5

COR

L 73-86

−5.5

MRST

L 65-76

+8.5

ETAM

L 67-84

+7.5

FDU

W 81-73

+1.5

MAN

W 81-78

+6.5

L 70-84

−2.5

UMBC

W 63-60

−23.5

BING

W 95-85

+39.5

LEH

W 85-78

+16.5

over 8under 4avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Colgate Raiders at Army Black Knights

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Colgate

Army

Colgate

Army