Sojka Pavilion · at Bucknell · Conference game
Closing line
BUCK -4.5✓ ARMY covered by 7.5
Closing total144.5Over by 26.5
| This season | BUCK | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-12 | Record | 6-13 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 8-11 |
| 11-6 | O/U | 5-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARMY 71–76 BUCK · ✗ BUCK (66%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARMY | 45 | 35 | 7 | 87 |
| BUCK | 39 | 41 | 4 | 84 |
1st half: ARMY 45, BUCK 39 (ARMY by 6). The model had BUCK by 2.7 and a total of 68.8 (actual 84).
Team stats
| ARMY | BUCK | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 29-60 48% |
| 12-31 39% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 19-21 90% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 33 12 off | Rebounds | 29 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| ARMY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Furman G | 39 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-12 | 4-9 |
| Jacen Holloway F | 39 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-2 |
| Ryan Curry G | 37 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-9 |
| Tate Laczkowski F | 19 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kevin McCarthy G | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaxson Bell G | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Joshua Eli F | 24 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Jorn Everson F | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Alex Engro G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dillon Watt G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dylan Murans, Chanse Perkins, Brendon O'Keefe, Jackson Mayo, Dayon Polk, Nnaemeka Ikechi, Dylan Benner, Jahaan Green
| BUCK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achile Spadone G | 43 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 7-15 | 0-3 |
| Pat Curtin G | 41 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 8-15 | 2-6 |
| Jayden Williams G | 41 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 5-14 | 3-7 |
| Amon Dorries C | 35 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Aleksander Pachucki G | 28 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quin Berger G | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Patrick O'Brien F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jacob Meachem G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matt Lange, Grgur Brcic, Kellen Welch, Ruot Bijiek, Brandon McCreesh, Josh Fulton, Brady Muller
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBUCK -4.5
ModelBUCK -4.7
Model edgeBUCK +0.2
L ARMY covered
Total
Market144.5
Model146.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
W Over
Projected score
ARMY 71.1 · BUCK 75.8
ARMY 87 · BUCK 84
Win probability
BUCK 66%
1st half
Spread
BUCK -2.7
ARMY -6.0
Total
68.8
84 points
Projected score
ARMY 33.1 · BUCK 35.8
ARMY 45 · BUCK 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBUCK -5.5
1 → ARMY
CloseBUCK -4.5
1 pt toward ARMY
Total
Open145.5
▼ 1
Close144.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ARMY +170 · BUCK -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BUCK -5.5 · closed BUCK -4.5 · moved 1 toward ARMYmodel BUCK -4.5 matches the line
model BUCK -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 145.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | |
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
ARMY 3–5 BUCKBUCK leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · ARMY 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024-25 | ARMY 53 @ BUCK 84 | BUCK -6.5 | BUCK W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | BUCK 110 @ ARMY 116 | ARMY +1.5 | ARMY W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | ARMY 41 @ BUCK 54 | BUCK -4.5 | BUCK W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | BUCK 66 @ ARMY 56 | ARMY -1.5 | BUCK W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | ARMY 67 @ BUCK 73 | BUCK +2.5 | BUCK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Army
17 games played
Straight up
5-12
29% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-6
65% overs · avg +7.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 76-83 | +18.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs | L 59-114 | +33.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 52-75 | +6.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 65-76 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 67-84 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ | W 81-73 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 81-78 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 70-84 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 12 | @ | W 63-60 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 23 | vs | W 95-85 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 31 | @ | W 85-78 | +5.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 69-76 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 76-84 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 91-100 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 75-82 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 18 | vs | L 67-78 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
STMN
L 76-83
+11.5
11
vs
DUKE
L 59-114
−21.5
15
vs
HARV
L 52-75
−16.5
18
@
COR
L 73-86
+4.5
21
@
MRST
L 65-76
+1.5
25
vs
ETAM
L 67-84
−14.5
26
@
FDU
W 81-73
+12.5
29
vs
MAN
W 81-78
+4.5
2
vs
GW
L 70-84
+5.5
12
@
UMBC
W 63-60
+10.5
23
vs
BING
W 95-85
−2.5
31
@
LEH
W 85-78
+12.5
3
vs
COLG
L 69-76
+0.5
7
vs
L-MD
L 76-84
−12.5
10
@
BU
L 91-100
−1.5
14
@
HC
L 75-82
−2.5
18
vs
AMER
L 67-78
−6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
STMN
L 76-83
+7.5
11
vs
DUKE
L 59-114
+20.5
15
vs
HARV
L 52-75
−19.5
18
@
COR
L 73-86
−5.5
21
@
MRST
L 65-76
+8.5
25
vs
ETAM
L 67-84
+7.5
26
@
FDU
W 81-73
+1.5
29
vs
MAN
W 81-78
+6.5
2
vs
GW
L 70-84
−2.5
12
@
UMBC
W 63-60
−23.5
23
vs
BING
W 95-85
+39.5
31
@
LEH
W 85-78
+16.5
3
vs
COLG
L 69-76
−2.5
7
vs
L-MD
L 76-84
+13.5
10
@
BU
L 91-100
+50.5
14
@
HC
L 75-82
+14.5
18
vs
AMER
L 67-78
−2.5
over 11under 6avg +7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bucknell
19 games played
Straight up
6-13
32% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-14
26% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 78-70 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 63-73 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 14 | vs | L 77-83 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 50-84 | +16.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 49-97 | +28.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 66-71 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 72-101 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 77-97 | +23.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 66-73 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | @ | W 51-38 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 89 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 39-94 | +25.5 | L −29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ | L 58-65 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 72-65 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 55-76 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 70-67 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 76-69 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 76-95 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
DEL
W 78-70
+5.5
7
@
MSM
W 73-62
+12.5
11
@
PRIN
L 63-73
−5.5
14
vs
HOF
L 77-83
−1.5
17
@
PITT
L 50-84
−17.5
20
@
SJU
L 49-97
−19.5
24
vs
BGSU
L 66-71
+5.5
26
vs
BUF
L 71-73
+2.5
30
vs
COR
L 72-101
−23.5
3
@
AKR
L 77-97
+3.5
6
vs
UMBC
L 66-73
−8.5
9
@
RID
W 51-38
+10.5
20
@
IOWA
L 39-94
−29.5
31
@
HC
L 58-65
−8.5
3
vs
LEH
W 72-65
+2.5
7
@
NAVY
L 55-76
−12.5
10
vs
L-MD
W 70-67
−3.5
14
vs
LAF
W 76-69
+4.5
17
@
COLG
L 76-95
−10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
DEL
W 78-70
−1.5
7
@
MSM
W 73-62
−8.5
11
@
PRIN
L 63-73
−10.5
14
vs
HOF
L 77-83
+20.5
17
@
PITT
L 50-84
−7.5
20
@
SJU
L 49-97
−12.5
24
vs
BGSU
L 66-71
−7.5
26
vs
BUF
L 71-73
−2.5
30
vs
COR
L 72-101
+13.5
3
@
AKR
L 77-97
+16.5
6
vs
UMBC
L 66-73
−4.5
9
@
RID
W 51-38
−46.5
20
@
IOWA
L 39-94
−0.5
31
@
HC
L 58-65
−10.5
3
vs
LEH
W 72-65
−0.5
7
@
NAVY
L 55-76
−6.5
10
vs
L-MD
W 70-67
−6.5
14
vs
LAF
W 76-69
+7.5
17
@
COLG
L 76-95
+31.5
over 5under 14avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Army
5-12 overall · 1-5 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs American67–78
- L@ Holy Cross75–82
- L@ Boston U91–100
- Lvs Loyola MD76–84
- Lvs Colgate69–76
3 days since their last game.
Bucknell
6-13 overall · 3-3 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Colgate76–95
- Wvs Lafayette76–69
- Wvs Loyola MD70–67
- L@ Navy55–76
- Wvs Lehigh72–65
4 days since their last game.