Army Black Knights at Boston University Terriers: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ETCase Gym · at Boston U · Conference game

#288ARMYArmy91final

Final

#261BUBoston U100▲ winner

Closing lineBU -7.5✓ BU covered by 1.5

Closing total140.5Over by 50.5

Season records: Army and Boston U
ARMY	This season	BU
5-9	Record	5-10
9-5	ATS	6-9
9-5	O/U	9-6

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ARMY 71–79 BU · ✓ BU (76%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
ARMY	39	52	91
BU	51	49	100

1st half: ARMY 39, BU 51 (BU by 12). The model had BU by 4.8 and a total of 70.3 (actual 90).

Team stats

ARMY		BU
31-66 47%	Field goals	34-51 67%
16-34 47%	3-pointers	15-23 65%
13-15 87%	Free throws	17-21 81%
25 11 off	Rebounds	29 4 off
15	Assists	22
5	Steals	4
2	Blocks	3
7	Turnovers	11
17	Fouls	17
26	Points in paint	38
2	Fast-break points	7

Players

ARMY	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ryan Curry G	33	24	1	8	8-16	4-8
Jorn Everson F	25	13	2	1	5-8	3-5
Kevin McCarthy G	25	0	1	0	0-4	0-3
Jacen Holloway F	20	4	5	0	2-8	0-1
Tate Laczkowski F	18	5	6	1	2-6	0-2
Bench
Jackson Furman G	29	20	1	2	6-10	2-5
Jaxson Bell G	19	13	3	1	4-9	3-6
Alex Engro G	16	6	3	0	2-2	2-2
Joshua Eli F	15	6	1	2	2-3	2-2

Did not play: Dylan Murans, Chanse Perkins, Jahaan Green, Dylan Benner, Dillon Watt, Jackson Mayo, Nnaemeka Ikechi, Dayon Polk, Brendon O'Keefe

BU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Mike McNair Jr. G	38	28	5	5	9-11	7-8
Chance Gladden G	30	26	2	6	6-9	3-5
Azmar Abdullah G	29	17	2	1	6-11	4-6
Ben Defty C	28	18	4	1	8-9	0-0
Malcolm Chimezie F	15	2	3	0	1-1	0-0
Bench
Sam Hughes F	35	5	3	3	2-6	1-4
Donte Tisinger Jr. G	25	4	7	6	2-4	0-0

Did not play: Ben Roy, Quinn Nielsen, Andrew Bhesania, Otto Landrum, Matai Baptiste, Ethan Okwuosa, Kyrone Alexander, Spencer Joyner, Peter Carr

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	BU -7.5	BU -8.2	BU +0.7	W BU covered
Total	140.5	150.0	Over 9.5	W Over
Projected score	—	ARMY 70.9 · BU 79.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	BU -4.8	BU -12.0
1H total	70.3	90
1H projected score	ARMY 32.7 · BU 37.5	ARMY 39 · BU 51

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARMY WLWWL	9-5	64%	6-0	9-3
BU LWLLW	6-9	40%	2-3	3-4

Venue/role: ARMY away, as underdog; BU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARMY UOOUO	9-5	64%	5-9
BU UOOUO	9-6	60%	5-10

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARMY	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%
BU	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22

ARMY 6–3 BUARMY leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ARMY 6-3 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Jan 18, 2024-25	BU 62 @ ARMY 68	ARMY -2.5	ARMY W
Jan 5, 2024-25	ARMY 63 @ BU 71	BU -4.5	BU W
Feb 14, 2023-24	BU 50 @ ARMY 65	ARMY +1.5	ARMY W
Jan 24, 2023-24	ARMY 69 @ BU 59	BU -5.5	ARMY W
Mar 2, 2022-23	BU 69 @ ARMY 71	ARMY -3.5	BU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Army

14 games played

Straight up

5-9

36% wins

Against the spread

9-5

64% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

9-5

64% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-936%

L L L L L L W W L W W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

9-564%

W L L W W L W W W W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

9-564%

O O U U O O O O U U O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@STMN	L 76-83	+18.5	W +11.5	151.5	O 159
Nov 11	vsDUKE	L 59-114	+33.5	L −21.5	152.5	O 173
Nov 15	vsHARV	L 52-75	+6.5	L −16.5	146.5	U 127
Nov 18	@COR	L 73-86	+17.5	W +4.5	164.5	U 159
Nov 21	@MRST	L 65-76	+12.5	W +1.5	132.5	O 141
Nov 25	vsETAM	L 67-84	+2.5	L −14.5	143.5	O 151
Nov 26	@FDU	W 81-73	+4.5	W +12.5	152.5	O 154
Nov 29	vsMAN	W 81-78	+1.5	W +4.5	152.5	O 159
Dec 2	vsGW	L 70-84	+19.5	W +5.5	156.5	U 154
Dec 12	@UMBC	W 63-60	+7.5	W +10.5	146.5	U 123
Dec 23	vsBING	W 95-85	-12.5	L −2.5	140.5	O 180
Dec 31	@LEH	W 85-78	+5.5	W +12.5	146.5	O 163
Jan 3	vsCOLG	L 69-76	+7.5	W +0.5	147.5	U 145
Jan 7	vsL-MD	L 76-84	-4.5	L −12.5	146.5	O 160

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

STMN

L 76-83

+11.5

DUKE

L 59-114

−21.5

HARV

L 52-75

−16.5

COR

L 73-86

+4.5

MRST

L 65-76

+1.5

ETAM

L 67-84

−14.5

FDU

W 81-73

+12.5

MAN

W 81-78

+4.5

L 70-84

+5.5

UMBC

W 63-60

+10.5

BING

W 95-85

−2.5

LEH

W 85-78

+12.5

COLG

L 69-76

+0.5

L-MD

L 76-84

−12.5

covered 9didn’t cover 5avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

STMN

L 76-83

+7.5

DUKE

L 59-114

+20.5

HARV

L 52-75

−19.5

COR

L 73-86

−5.5

MRST

L 65-76

+8.5

ETAM

L 67-84

+7.5

FDU

W 81-73

+1.5

MAN

W 81-78

+6.5

L 70-84

−2.5

UMBC

W 63-60

−23.5

BING

W 95-85

+39.5

LEH

W 85-78

+16.5

COLG

L 69-76

−2.5

L-MD

L 76-84

+13.5

over 9under 5avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Boston U

15 games played

Straight up

5-10

33% wins

Against the spread

6-9

40% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

9-6

60% overs · avg +9.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-1033%

W L W L L W L L L L L W L L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

6-940%

W L W L L W W L L L L W L L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

9-660%

O U O O U O O U O U U O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@NE	W 76-75	+2.5	W +3.5	142.5	O 151
Nov 7	@NU	L 52-76	+17.5	L −6.5	136.5	U 128
Nov 12	vsBRWN	W 90-77	-3.5	W +9.5	129.5	O 167
Nov 15	vsMRMK	L 79-91	-2.5	L −14.5	135.5	O 170
Nov 18	@COLU	L 49-54	+4.5	L −0.5	144.5	U 103
Nov 22	vsHARV	W 75-74	+4.5	W +5.5	136.5	O 149
Nov 25	@PSU	L 87-96	+14.5	W +5.5	142.5	O 183
Nov 29	@NKU	L 65-74	+7.5	L −1.5	143.5	U 139
Dec 6	@UNH	L 82-88	-5.5	L −11.5	134.5	O 170
Dec 10	vsME	L 59-69	-8.5	L −18.5	128.5	U 128
Dec 13	@DART	L 64-77	+2.5	L −10.5	144.5	U 141
Dec 21	vsUML	W 88-76	-5.5	W +6.5	145.5	O 164
Dec 31	@NAVY	L 77-82	+4.5	L −0.5	137.5	O 159
Jan 3	vsAMER	L 62-64	-1.5	L −3.5	142.5	U 126
Jan 7	@LAF	W 83-67	-1.5	W +14.5	142.5	O 150

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

W 76-75

+3.5

L 52-76

−6.5

BRWN

W 90-77

+9.5

MRMK

L 79-91

−14.5

COLU

L 49-54

−0.5

HARV

W 75-74

+5.5

PSU

L 87-96

+5.5

NKU

L 65-74

−1.5

UNH

L 82-88

−11.5

L 59-69

−18.5

DART

L 64-77

−10.5

UML

W 88-76

+6.5

NAVY

L 77-82

−0.5

AMER

L 62-64

−3.5

LAF

W 83-67

+14.5

covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

W 76-75

+8.5

L 52-76

−8.5

BRWN

W 90-77

+37.5

MRMK

L 79-91

+34.5

COLU

L 49-54

−41.5

HARV

W 75-74

+12.5

PSU

L 87-96

+40.5

NKU

L 65-74

−4.5

UNH

L 82-88

+35.5

L 59-69

−0.5

DART

L 64-77

−3.5

UML

W 88-76

+18.5

NAVY

L 77-82

+21.5

AMER

L 62-64

−16.5

LAF

W 83-67

+7.5

over 9under 6avg +9.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Army Black Knights at Boston University Terriers

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Army

Boston U

Army

Boston U