Cameron Indoor Stadium · at Duke · Conference game
Closing line
DUKE -20.5✓ DUKE covered by 16.5
DUKE -20.5✓ DUKE covered by 16.5Closing total144.5Over by 20.5
 SYR | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 15-11 | Record | 23-2 |
| 14-12 | ATS | 14-11 |
| 14-12 | O/U | 7-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SYR 64–83 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (95%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 24 | 40 | 64 |
| DUKE | 40 | 61 | 101 |
1st half: SYR 24, DUKE 40 (DUKE by 16). The model had DUKE by 11.2 and a total of 69.1 (actual 64).
Team stats
| SYR | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-63 41% | Field goals | 38-61 62% |
| 10-27 37% | 3-pointers | 12-20 60% |
| 2-8 25% | Free throws | 13-20 65% |
| 29 13 off | Rebounds | 39 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 21 |
| 3 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| SYR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Kingz G | 36 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Naithan George G | 33 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| J.J. Starling G | 26 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-13 | 2-5 |
| William Kyle III F | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Donnie Freeman F | 21 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kiyan Anthony G | 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Tyler Betsey F | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Akir Souare F | 13 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Sadiq White Jr. F | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Zephir G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tiefing Diawara, Luke Fennell, Calvin Russell III, Aaron Womack III, Noah Lobdell
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Evans G | 26 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 8-13 | 3-6 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 26 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Boozer F | 25 | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8-10 | 1-1 |
| Dame Sarr F | 24 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Caleb Foster G | 20 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nik Khamenia F | 24 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 3-3 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 21 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 5-6 | 2-3 |
| Maliq Brown F | 19 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Darren Harris G | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Cameron Sheffield G | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jack Scott G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sebastian Wilkins, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDUKE -20.5
ModelDUKE -19.1
Model edgeSYR +1.4
L DUKE covered
Total
Market144.5
Model147.6
Model edgeOver 3.1
W Over
Projected score
SYR 64.3 · DUKE 83.3
SYR 64 · DUKE 101
Win probability
DUKE 95%
1st half
Spread
DUKE -11.2
DUKE -16.0
Total
69.1
64 points
Projected score
SYR 28.9 · DUKE 40.2
SYR 24 · DUKE 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -20.5
no move
CloseDUKE -20.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▲ 1
Close144.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SYR +1600 · DUKE -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -20.5 · unchangedmodel DUKE -19
model DUKE -19
Opened 143.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| DUKE | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
SYR 0–6 DUKEDUKE leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · DUKE has won the last 6 meetings · SYR 1-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | DUKE 83 @ SYR 54 | SYR +17.5 | DUKE W |
| Jan 2, 2023-24 | SYR 66 @ DUKE 86 | DUKE -14.5 | DUKE W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | DUKE 77 @ SYR 55 | SYR +1.5 | DUKE W |
| Mar 10, 2021-22 | SYR 79 vs DUKE 88 | DUKE -15 | SYR W |
| Feb 26, 2021-22 | DUKE 97 @ SYR 72 | SYR +7.5 | DUKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Syracuse
26 games played
Straight up
15-11
58% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BING | W 85-47 | -21.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs DSU | W 83-43 | -26.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 15 | vs DREX | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONM | W 78-73 | -21.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 24 | vs HOU | L 74-78 | +14.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs KU | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs ISU | L 64-95 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs TENN | W 62-60 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | vs JOES | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 13 | vs HOF | L 69-70 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 17 | vs MERC | W 76-62 | -24.5 | L −10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs NE | W 91-83 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | vs STO | W 77-48 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs CLEM | L 61-64 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 6 | @ GT | W 82-72 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ PITT | W 83-72 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 13 | vs FSU | W 94-86 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | @ BC | L 73-81 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs VT | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 24 | vs MIA | L 76-85 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 27 | @ NCSU | L 68-88 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vs ND | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 2 | @ UNC | L 77-87 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | @ UVA | L 59-72 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 11 | vs CAL | W 107-100 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 207 |
| Feb 14 | vs SMU | W 79-78 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
+16.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
+13.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
+18.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
−16.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+10.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−6.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
−20.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
+9.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−3.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−10.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
−10.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
−6.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
+6.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−1.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+3.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
−13.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−5.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
−7.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
−9.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+7.5
2
@UNC
UNCL 77-87
+1.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 59-72
+0.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 107-100
+0.5
14
vsSMU
SMUW 79-78
+2.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
−21.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
−31.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
−13.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
+5.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+11.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−13.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
+13.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
−25.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−12.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−0.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
+6.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
+33.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
−15.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−15.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+19.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
+12.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−2.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
+11.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
+4.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+10.5
2
@UNC
UNCL 77-87
+5.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 59-72
−16.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 107-100
+58.5
14
vsSMU
SMUW 79-78
−0.5
over 14under 12avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
25 games played
Straight up
23-2
92% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-18
28% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vsKU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIP | W 97-73 | -32.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs TTU | L 81-82 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vsGT | W 85-79 | -27.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @FSU | W 91-87 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @ LOU | W 84-73 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vsSMU | W 82-75 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | @CAL | W 71-56 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @ STAN | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vs WAKE | W 90-69 | -19.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 26 | vsLOU | W 83-52 | -8.5 | W +22.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @VT | W 72-58 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 3 | vsBC | W 67-49 | -26.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 7 | @UNC | L 68-71 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | @PITT | W 70-54 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | vsCLEM | W 67-54 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
−8.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
−10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
−21.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
−12.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
+9.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
−8.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
+0.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
+18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+1.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
+22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
+0.5
3
vsBC
BCW 67-49
−8.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 68-71
−9.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 70-54
−1.5
14
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-54
+0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
+10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
+10.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
+14.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
−4.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
+1.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
−22.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
−18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+5.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
−22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
−18.5
3
vsBC
BCW 67-49
−25.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 68-71
−13.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 70-54
−12.5
14
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-54
−13.5
over 7under 18avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Syracuse
15-11 overall · 6-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SMU79–78
- Wvs California107–100
- L@ Virginia59–72
- L@ North Carolina77–87
- Wvs Notre Dame86–72
2 days since their last game.
Duke
23-2 overall · 12-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Clemson67–54
- W@ Pitt70–54
- L@ North Carolina68–71
- Wvs Boston College67–49
- W@ Virginia Tech72–58
2 days since their last game.