Maples Pavilion · at Stanford · Conference game
Closing line
DUKE -11.5✓ DUKE covered by 18.5
DUKE -11.5✓ DUKE covered by 18.5Closing total148.5Under by 18.5
| DUKE | This season | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| 16-1 | Record | 14-4 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 6-11 | O/U | 7-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DUKE 81–67 STAN · ✓ DUKE (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | 35 | 45 | 80 |
| STAN | 19 | 31 | 50 |
1st half: DUKE 35, STAN 19 (DUKE by 16). The model had DUKE by 8.2 and a total of 69.4 (actual 54).
Team stats
| DUKE | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-50 56% | Field goals | 19-54 35% |
| 4-10 40% | 3-pointers | 6-25 24% |
| 20-28 71% | Free throws | 6-10 60% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 29 13 off |
| 16 | Assists | 8 |
| 12 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 33 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12-17 | 2-3 |
| Dame Sarr F | 28 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Caleb Foster G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-1 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 17 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cayden Boozer G | 25 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Maliq Brown F | 22 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Nik Khamenia F | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Darren Harris G | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Sheffield G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Scott G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sebastian Wilkins, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 31 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Benny Gealer G | 23 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Donavin Young F | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Rohosy F | 28 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 28 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 7-15 | 3-8 |
| Cameron Grant G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-8 | 1-7 |
| Aidan Cammann F | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tallis Toure, Evan Stinson, Anthony Batson Jr., Ethan Kitch, Myles Jones, Kristers Skrinda, Chisom Okpara
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -8.5
3 → DUKE
CloseDUKE -11.5
3 pts toward DUKE
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
DUKE -750 · STAN +525
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -8.5 · closed DUKE -11.5 · moved 3 toward DUKEmodel DUKE -13.5
model DUKE -13.5
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DUKE -11.5 | DUKE -13.5 | DUKE +2.0 | W DUKE covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 148.2 | Under 0.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | DUKE 80.8 · STAN 67.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DUKE -8.2 | DUKE -16.0 |
| 1H total | 69.4 | 54 |
| 1H projected score | DUKE 38.8 · STAN 30.6 | DUKE 35 · STAN 19 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | 9-1 90% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| STAN | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
DUKE 1–0 STANDUKE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · DUKE 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | STAN 70 @ DUKE 106 | DUKE -18.5 | DUKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Duke
17 games played
Straight up
16-1
94% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vs KU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIP | W 97-73 | -32.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs TTU | L 81-82 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vs GT | W 85-79 | -27.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ FSU | W 91-87 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @ LOU | W 84-73 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vs SMU | W 82-75 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ CAL | W 71-56 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
−8.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
−10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
−21.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
−12.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
+9.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
−8.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
+0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
+10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
+10.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
+14.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
−4.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
+1.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
−22.5
over 6under 11avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stanford
18 games played
Straight up
14-4
78% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJSU | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTA | W 76-60 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 20 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 27 | vs CSUN | W 88-80 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 30 | vs ND | L 40-47 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | vsLOU | W 80-76 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ VT | W 69-68 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | @ UVA | L 55-70 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 14 | vs UNC | W 95-90 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
−4.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
+5.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+11.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
−7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−13.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
+11.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
+4.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−2.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
+22.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
−3.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−9.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
+7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−56.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
−1.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
−11.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−18.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+37.5
over 7under 11avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Duke
16-1 overall · 5-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ California71–56
- Wvs SMU82–75
- W@ Louisville84–73
- W@ Florida St91–87
- Wvs Georgia Tech85–79
3 days since their last game.
Stanford
14-4 overall · 3-2 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs North Carolina95–90
- L@ Virginia55–70
- W@ Virginia Tech69–68
- Wvs Louisville80–76
- Lvs Notre Dame40–47
3 days since their last game.