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NCAAB · 2026-27

NCAAB games · Wednesday, March 4, 2026

FinalCurrentUpcomingWed, Mar 4, 2026: 1st-half lines ›
Day in numbers40 finalFavorites 23-17 ATS12 upsetsO/U 19-21Model Favorite 25-15OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games4040 final · 0 to play
Lines moved311+ pt since the open · 40 with a line
Totals moved351+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS23-1758% covered
Upsets12outright
Over / Under19-2148% over
Model Favorite25-1563% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
LUC @ SLUSLU -27.5 → SLU -21.56 → LUC155.5 → 155.5no move
PUR @ NUPUR -8.5 → PUR -12.54 → PUR145.5 → 145.5no move
ODU vs GASOODU -1.5 → GASO -2.54 → GASO160.5 → 157.5▼ 3
STO @ LEMLEM -6.5 → LEM -4.52 → STO134.5 → 140.5▲ 6
JOES @ DAVDAV -4.5 → DAV -1.53 → JOES137.5 → 136.5▼ 1
MARQ @ PROVPROV -6.5 → PROV -3.53 → MARQ165.5 → 161.5▼ 4
BAY @ HOUHOU -15.5 → HOU -12.53 → BAY144.5 → 143.5▼ 1
STAN @ NDND -1.5 → STAN -1.53 → STAN144.5 → 147.5▲ 3
UNA vs FGCUFGCU -6.5 → FGCU -8.52 → FGCU144.5 → 139.5▼ 5
GWEB vs UPSTUPST -10.5 → UPST -10.5no move148.5 → 143.5▼ 5
Top 10 of 40; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Jacksonville
10-19 · #223
79
Bellarmine
10-18 · #295
82
Spread
BELL -1.5
✓ BELL W ATS
Total
144.5 ▼4
▲ Over 161
Projected
74–74
✓ BELL won
Model: JAX by 0.8 ✗ Model: Over 3.2 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
North Alabama
7-20 · #292
58
FGCU
12-17 · #266
69
Spread
FGCU -8.5
✓ FGCU W ATS
Total
139.5 ▼5
▼ Under 127
Projected
71–77
✓ FGCU won
Model: UNA by 3.0 ✗ Model: Over 8.1 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Stetson
9-20 · #303
92
E Kentucky
9-20 · #294
76
Spread
EKU -5.5
✓ STET W ATS
Total
155.5 ▼1
▲ Over 168
Projected
76–81
✗ EKU lost
Model: STET by 0.8 ✓ Model: Over 1.6 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Louisiana
11-21 · #221
72
James Madison
16-14 · #158
87
Spread
JMU -6.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
134.5
▲ Over 159
Projected
64–70
✓ JMU won
Model: UL by 0.6 ✗
FinalConference
Creighton
14-16 · #37
76
Butler
15-14 · #72
59
Spread
BTLR -2.5
✓ CREI W ATS
Total
155.5 ▼1
▼ Under 135
Projected
78–80
✗ BTLR lost
Model: CREI by 0.6 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗
FinalConference
Fordham
13-13 · #100
84
La Salle
7-21 · #124
87
Spread
FOR -3.5
✓ LAS W ATS
Total
131.5 ▼1
▲ Over 171
Projected
66–65
✗ FOR lost
Model: LAS by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.4 ✗
FinalConference
Minnesota
14-15 · #70
47
Indiana
17-12 · #38
77
Spread
IU -7.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
138.5 ▲1
▼ Under 124
Projected
68–74
✓ IU won
Model: MINN by 0.8 ✗ Model: Over 3.3 ✗
FinalConference
Texas
17-11 · #11
85
Arkansas
21-8 · #18 AP #20
105
Spread
ARK -6.5
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
163.5 ▼4
▲ Over 190
Projected
82–87
✓ ARK won
Model: TEX by 1.2 ✗ Model: Over 5.1 ✓
FinalConference
Miami
23-6 · #25 AP #22
77
SMU
19-10 · #55
69
Spread
SMU -1.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
156.5 ▼4
▼ Under 146
Projected
80–82
✗ SMU lost
Model: SMU by 0.2 ✗ Model: Over 4.7 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
E Illinois
9-19 · #361
77
SIUE
16-12 · #256
71
Spread
SIUE -3.5
✓ EIU W ATS
Total
128.5 ▲1
▲ Over 148
Projected
61–66
✗ SIUE lost
Model: SIUE by 1.2 ✗ Model: Under 1.2 ✗
FinalConference · Conference tournament
Stonehill
9-20 · #349
81
Le Moyne
14-16 · #332
71
Spread
LEM -4.5
✓ STO W ATS
Total
140.5 ▲6
▲ Over 152
Projected
67–72
✗ LEM lost
Model: LEM by 1.1 ✗ Model: Under 1.7 ✗
FinalConference · Conference tournament
FDU
8-20 · #356
61
Mercyhurst
13-16 · #331
70
Spread
MERC -3.5
✓ MERC W ATS
Total
131.5 ▼3
▼ Under 131
Projected
65–71
✓ MERC won
Model: MERC by 2.2 ✓ Model: Over 4.6 ✗
FinalConference · Conference tournament
Wagner
10-16 · #354
70
C Connecticut
16-11 · #337
60
Spread
CCSU -3.5
✓ WAG W ATS
Total
139.5 ▼1
▼ Under 130
Projected
69–73
✗ CCSU lost
Model: CCSU by 1.0 ✗ Model: Over 2.0 ✗
FinalConference · Conference tournament
Chicago St
6-24 · #362
75
Long Island
21-10 · #324
79
Spread
LIU -10.5
✓ CHST W ATS
Total
137.5
▲ Over 154
Projected
65–77
✓ LIU won
Model: LIU by 1.6 ✗ Model: Over 4.7 ✓
FinalConference · Conference tournament
N Kentucky
15-13 · #230
85
Oakland
15-15 · #204
84
Spread
OAK -1.5
✓ NKU W ATS
Total
161.5 ▲3
▲ Over 169
Projected
81–84
✗ OAK lost
Model: OAK by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.6 ✓
FinalConference · Conference tournament
Milwaukee
11-19 · #235
63
Detroit Mercy
13-14 · #277
84
Spread
DETM -1.5
✓ DETM W ATS
Total
151.5 ▼2
▼ Under 147
Projected
77–79
✓ DETM won
Model: MILW by 0.1 ✗ Model: Over 4.2 ✗
FinalConference · Conference tournament
Youngstown St
12-16 · #265
53
Robert Morris
19-10 · #168
68
Spread
RMU -3.5
✓ RMU W ATS
Total
143.5 ▲1
▼ Under 121
Projected
71–75
✓ RMU won
Model: RMU by 0.2 ✓ Model: Over 2.6 ✗
FinalConference · Conference tournament
Cleveland St
8-21 · #315
61
Wright St
18-11 · #180
90
Spread
WRST -14.5
✓ WRST W ATS
Total
162.5 ▲1
▼ Under 151
Projected
75–87
✓ WRST won
Model: CLE by 2.3 ✗ Model: Under 0.9 ✓
FinalConference
St Bonaventure
14-14 · #142
82
G Washington
15-13 · #101
91
Spread
GW -7.5
✓ GW W ATS
Total
157.5 ▼2
▲ Over 173
Projected
75–84
✓ GW won
Model: GW by 1.9 ✓ Model: Over 0.9 ✓
FinalConference
Duquesne
14-13 · #107
52
Rhode Island
15-14 · #105
64
Spread
URI -2.5
✓ URI W ATS
Total
143.5
▼ Under 116
Projected
73–75
✓ URI won
Model: DUQ by 0.4 ✗ Model: Over 4.8 ✗
FinalConference
Saint Joseph's
17-10 · #114
70
Davidson
16-11 · #115
67
Spread
DAV -1.5
✓ JOES W ATS
Total
136.5 ▼1
▲ Over 137
Projected
68–70
✗ DAV lost
Model: DAV by 0.6 ✗ Model: Over 1.1 ✓
FinalConference
UAB
17-11 · #102
80
Charlotte
14-14 · #141
74
Spread
UAB -2.5
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
146.5 ▲2
▲ Over 154
Projected
77–74
✓ UAB won
Model: UAB by 0.2 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✓
FinalConference
Marquette
10-19 · #42
78
Providence
14-15 · #52
56
Spread
PROV -3.5
✓ MARQ W ATS
Total
161.5 ▼4
▼ Under 134
Projected
82–87
✗ PROV lost
Model: PROV by 1.3 ✗ Model: Over 7.3 ✗
FinalConference
California
19-9 · #92
76
Georgia Tech
11-18 · #94
65
Spread
CAL -2.5
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
154.5 ▲4
▼ Under 141
Projected
78–75
✓ CAL won
Model: CAL by 0.8 ✓ Model: Under 2.0 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Gardner-Webb
1-27 · #348
65
SC Upstate
10-18 · #325
64
Spread
UPST -10.5
✓ GWEB W ATS
Total
143.5 ▼5
▼ Under 129
Projected
70–81
✗ UPST lost
Model: GWEB by 0.1 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
North Florida
5-24 · #333
85
West Georgia
12-16 · #298
93
Spread
WGA -3.5
✓ WGA W ATS
Total
160.5 ▲2
▲ Over 178
Projected
81–85
✓ WGA won
Model: WGA by 0.7 ✓ Model: Over 5.4 ✓
FinalConference
Ohio State
18-11 · #33
94
Penn State
12-17 · #78
62
Spread
OSU -7.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
152.5 ▼4
▲ Over 156
Projected
83–75
✓ OSU won
Model: PSU by 0.3 ✗ Model: Over 5.3 ✓
FinalConference
Loyola Chicago
7-22 · #113
65
Saint Louis
25-3 · #69 AP #25
79
Spread
SLU -21.5
✓ LUC W ATS
Total
155.5
▼ Under 144
Projected
67–87
✓ SLU won
Model: LUC by 0.7 ✓ Model: Under 1.7 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Kansas City
1-26 · #335
62
Oral Roberts
6-22 · #305
84
Spread
ORU -8.5
✓ ORU W ATS
Total
149.5 ▲2
▼ Under 146
Projected
71–77
✓ ORU won
Model: KC by 2.2 ✗ Model: Under 1.7 ✓
FinalConference
Rice
10-17 · #177
58
North Texas
15-13 · #112
62
Spread
UNT -6.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
137.5 ▼3
▼ Under 120
Projected
65–73
✓ UNT won
Model: UNT by 1.9 ✗ Model: Over 0.1 ✗
FinalConference
Maryland
11-18 · #50
45
Wisconsin
20-9 · #41
78
Spread
WIS -14.5
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
153.5 ▼2
▼ Under 123
Projected
71–84
✓ WIS won
Model: MD by 2.0 ✗ Model: Over 1.7 ✗
FinalConference
Villanova
22-7 · #32
76
DePaul
16-13 · #66
57
Spread
VILL -1.5
✓ VILL W ATS
Total
135.5 ▲2
▼ Under 133
Projected
70–67
✓ VILL won
Model: VILL by 2.0 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗
FinalConference
Purdue
22-7 · #23 AP #15
70
Northwestern
13-16 · #59
66
Spread
PUR -12.5
✓ NU W ATS
Total
145.5
▼ Under 136
Projected
79–68
✓ PUR won
Model: NU by 2.2 ✓ Model: Over 1.7 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Old Dominion
11-20 · #234
84
GA Southern
14-15 · #296
88
Spread
GASO -2.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
157.5 ▼3
▲ Over 172
Projected
82–81
✗ ODU lost
Model: ODU by 3.0 ✗ Model: Over 5.4 ✓
FinalConference
Baylor
14-14 · #29
64
Houston
24-5 · #2 AP #7
77
Spread
HOU -12.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
143.5 ▼1
▼ Under 141
Projected
66–80
✓ HOU won
Model: HOU by 0.8 ✓ Model: Over 2.2 ✗
FinalConference
Florida St
15-14 · #81
75
Pitt
11-18 · #74
74
Spread
FSU -1.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
144.5 ▼3
▲ Over 149
Projected
74–74
✗ PITT lost
Model: PITT by 1.7 ✓ Model: Over 4.1 ✓
FinalConference
Stanford
18-11 · #85
86
Notre Dame
13-16 · #71
78
Spread
STAN -1.5
✓ STAN W ATS
Total
147.5 ▲3
▲ Over 164
Projected
74–74
✗ ND lost
Model: ND by 2.4 ✗ Model: Over 0.4 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Little Rock
10-19 · #222
62
Lindenwood Lions
14-14 · #258
72
Spread
LIN -5.5
✓ LIN W ATS
Total
148.5 ▼1
▼ Under 134
Projected
73–76
✓ LIN won
Model: LR by 2.9 ✗ Model: Over 0.9 ✗
FinalConference
Colorado St
18-10 · #87
82
New Mexico
21-7 · #82
74
Spread
UNM -8.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
150.5 ▲2
▲ Over 156
Projected
70–77
✗ UNM lost
Model: CSU by 1.8 ✓ Model: Under 3.0 ✗
FinalConference
USC
17-11 · #36
72
Washington
14-15 · #56
91
Spread
WASH -5.5
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
150.5 ▲1
▲ Over 163
Projected
75–80
✓ WASH won
Model: USC by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.3 ✓
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
Jacksonville
10-19 · #223
79
Bellarmine
10-18 · #295
82
 BELL -1.5 144.5 BELL -0.7 JAX +0.8 147.7 Over 3.2 52% BELL L W ›
Final
North Alabama
7-20 · #292
58
FGCU
12-17 · #266
69
 FGCU -8.5 139.5 FGCU -5.5 UNA +3.0 147.6 Over 8.1 68% FGCU L L ›
Final
Stetson
9-20 · #303
92
E Kentucky
9-20 · #294
76
 EKU -5.5 155.5 EKU -4.7 STET +0.8 157.1 Over 1.6 66% EKU W W ›
Final
Louisiana
11-21 · #221
72
James Madison
16-14 · #158
87
 JMU -6.5 134.5 JMU -5.9 UL +0.6 134.5 — 70% JMU L ›
Final
Creighton
14-16 · #37
76
Butler
15-14 · #72
59
 BTLR -2.5 155.5 BTLR -1.9 CREI +0.6 158.0 Over 2.5 57% BTLR W L ›
Final
Fordham
13-13 · #100
84
La Salle
7-21 · #124
87
 FOR -3.5 131.5 FOR -1.0 LAS +2.5 131.1 Under 0.4 53% FOR W L ›
Final
Minnesota
14-15 · #70
47
Indiana
17-12 · #38
77
 IU -7.5 138.5 IU -6.7 MINN +0.8 141.8 Over 3.3 72% IU L L ›
Final
Texas
17-11 · #11
85
Arkansas
21-8 · #18
105
 ARK -6.5 163.5 ARK -5.3 TEX +1.2 168.6 Over 5.1 68% ARK L W ›
Final
Miami
23-6 · #25
77
SMU
19-10 · #55
69
 SMU -1.5 156.5 SMU -1.7 SMU +0.2 161.2 Over 4.7 56% SMU L L ›
Final
E Illinois
9-19 · #361
77
SIUE
16-12 · #256
71
 SIUE -3.5 128.5 SIUE -4.7 SIUE +1.2 127.3 Under 1.2 66% SIUE L L ›
Final
Stonehill
9-20 · #349
81
Le Moyne
14-16 · #332
71
 LEM -4.5 140.5 LEM -5.6 LEM +1.1 138.8 Under 1.7 69% LEM L L ›
Final
FDU
8-20 · #356
61
Mercyhurst
13-16 · #331
70
 MERC -3.5 131.5 MERC -5.7 MERC +2.2 136.1 Over 4.6 69% MERC W L ›
Final
Wagner
10-16 · #354
70
C Connecticut
16-11 · #337
60
 CCSU -3.5 139.5 CCSU -4.5 CCSU +1.0 141.5 Over 2.0 65% CCSU L L ›
Final
Chicago St
6-24 · #362
75
Long Island
21-10 · #324
79
 LIU -10.5 137.5 LIU -12.1 LIU +1.6 142.2 Over 4.7 86% LIU L W ›
Final
N Kentucky
15-13 · #230
85
Oakland
15-15 · #204
84
 OAK -1.5 161.5 OAK -3.0 OAK +1.5 164.1 Over 2.6 60% OAK L W ›
Final
Milwaukee
11-19 · #235
63
Detroit Mercy
13-14 · #277
84
 DETM -1.5 151.5 DETM -1.4 MILW +0.1 155.7 Over 4.2 55% DETM L L ›
Final
Youngstown St
12-16 · #265
53
Robert Morris
19-10 · #168
68
 RMU -3.5 143.5 RMU -3.7 RMU +0.2 146.1 Over 2.6 63% RMU W L ›
Final
Cleveland St
8-21 · #315
61
Wright St
18-11 · #180
90
 WRST -14.5 162.5 WRST -12.2 CLE +2.3 161.6 Under 0.9 86% WRST L W ›
Final
St Bonaventure
14-14 · #142
82
G Washington
15-13 · #101
91
 GW -7.5 157.5 GW -9.4 GW +1.9 158.4 Over 0.9 79% GW W W ›
Final
Duquesne
14-13 · #107
52
Rhode Island
15-14 · #105
64
 URI -2.5 143.5 URI -2.1 DUQ +0.4 148.3 Over 4.8 57% URI L L ›
Final
Saint Joseph's
17-10 · #114
70
Davidson
16-11 · #115
67
 DAV -1.5 136.5 DAV -2.1 DAV +0.6 137.6 Over 1.1 57% DAV L W ›
Final
UAB
17-11 · #102
80
Charlotte
14-14 · #141
74
 UAB -2.5 146.5 UAB -2.7 UAB +0.2 151.0 Over 4.5 59% UAB W W ›
Final
Marquette
10-19 · #42
78
Providence
14-15 · #52
56
 PROV -3.5 161.5 PROV -4.8 PROV +1.3 168.8 Over 7.3 66% PROV L L ›
Final
California
19-9 · #92
76
Georgia Tech
11-18 · #94
65
 CAL -2.5 154.5 CAL -3.3 CAL +0.8 152.5 Under 2.0 61% CAL W W ›
Final
Gardner-Webb
1-27 · #348
65
SC Upstate
10-18 · #325
64
 UPST -10.5 143.5 UPST -10.4 GWEB +0.1 151.0 Over 7.5 82% UPST W L ›
Final
North Florida
5-24 · #333
85
West Georgia
12-16 · #298
93
 WGA -3.5 160.5 WGA -4.2 WGA +0.7 165.9 Over 5.4 64% WGA W W ›
Final
Ohio State
18-11 · #33
94
Penn State
12-17 · #78
62
 OSU -7.5 152.5 OSU -7.2 PSU +0.3 157.8 Over 5.3 73% OSU L W ›
Final
Loyola Chicago
7-22 · #113
65
Saint Louis
25-3 · #69
79
 SLU -21.5 155.5 SLU -20.8 LUC +0.7 153.8 Under 1.7 97% SLU W W ›
Final
Kansas City
1-26 · #335
62
Oral Roberts
6-22 · #305
84
 ORU -8.5 149.5 ORU -6.3 KC +2.2 147.8 Under 1.7 71% ORU L W ›
Final
Rice
10-17 · #177
58
North Texas
15-13 · #112
62
 UNT -6.5 137.5 UNT -8.4 UNT +1.9 137.6 Over 0.1 77% UNT L L ›
Final
Maryland
11-18 · #50
45
Wisconsin
20-9 · #41
78
 WIS -14.5 153.5 WIS -12.5 MD +2.0 155.2 Over 1.7 86% WIS L L ›
Final
Villanova
22-7 · #32
76
DePaul
16-13 · #66
57
 VILL -1.5 135.5 VILL -3.5 VILL +2.0 137.0 Over 1.5 62% VILL W L ›
Final
Purdue
22-7 · #23
70
Northwestern
13-16 · #59
66
 PUR -12.5 145.5 PUR -10.3 NU +2.2 147.2 Over 1.7 82% PUR W L ›
Final
Old Dominion
11-20 · #234
84
GA Southern
14-15 · #296
88
 GASO -2.5 157.5 ODU -0.5 ODU +3.0 162.9 Over 5.4 52% ODU L W ›
Final
Baylor
14-14 · #29
64
Houston
24-5 · #2
77
 HOU -12.5 143.5 HOU -13.3 HOU +0.8 145.7 Over 2.2 88% HOU W L ›
Final
Florida St
15-14 · #81
75
Pitt
11-18 · #74
74
 FSU -1.5 144.5 PITT -0.2 PITT +1.7 148.6 Over 4.1 51% PITT W W ›
Final
Stanford
18-11 · #85
86
Notre Dame
13-16 · #71
78
 STAN -1.5 147.5 ND -0.9 ND +2.4 147.9 Over 0.4 53% ND L W ›
Final
Little Rock
10-19 · #222
62
Lindenwood Lions
14-14 · #258
72
 LIN -5.5 148.5 LIN -2.6 LR +2.9 149.4 Over 0.9 59% LIN L L ›
Final
Colorado St
18-10 · #87
82
New Mexico
21-7 · #82
74
 UNM -8.5 150.5 UNM -6.7 CSU +1.8 147.5 Under 3.0 72% UNM W L ›
Final
USC
17-11 · #36
72
Washington
14-15 · #56
91
 WASH -5.5 150.5 WASH -5.0 USC +0.5 155.8 Over 5.3 67% WASH L W ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record