Welsh-Ryan Arena · at Northwestern · Conference game
Closing line
PUR -12.5✓ NU covered by 8.5
PUR -12.5✓ NU covered by 8.5Closing total145.5Under by 9.5
| PUR | This season | NU |
|---|---|---|
| 22-7 | Record | 13-16 |
| 13-16 | ATS | 13-16 |
| 14-15 | O/U | 14-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PUR 79–68 NU · ✓ PUR (82%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 25 | 45 | 70 |
| NU | 34 | 32 | 66 |
1st half: PUR 25, NU 34 (NU by 9). The model had PUR by 6.3 and a total of 68.9 (actual 59).
Team stats
| PUR | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-49 53% | Field goals | 24-47 51% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 7-16 44% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 11-12 92% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 15 4 off |
| 22 | Assists | 14 |
| 2 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 40 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 31 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 30 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 29 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| C.J. Cox G | 28 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 10-13 | 5-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Benter G | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Gicarri Harris G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Omer Mayer G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Antione West Jr, Liam Murphy, Jace Rayl, Raleigh Burgess, Sam King, Aaron Fine, Jack Lusk
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 38 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 9-19 | 2-5 |
| Jayden Reid G | 34 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 6-10 | 2-3 |
| Justin Mullins G | 26 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Arrinten Page F | 26 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Tre Singleton F | 25 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Clayton G | 24 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: K.J. Windham, Cade Bennerman, Jake West, Gus Hurlburt, Max Green, Phoenix Gill, Blake Smith
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -8.5
4 → PUR
ClosePUR -12.5
4 pts toward PUR
Total
Open145.5
no move
Close145.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
PUR -520 · NU +390
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -8.5 · closed PUR -12.5 · moved 4 toward PURmodel PUR -10.5
model PUR -10.5
Opened 145.5 · unchangedmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PUR -12.5 | PUR -10.3 | NU +2.2 | W NU covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 147.2 | Over 1.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PUR 78.8 · NU 68.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PUR -6.3 | NU -9.0 |
| 1H total | 68.9 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | PUR 37.6 · NU 31.3 | PUR 25 · NU 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| NU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
PUR 4–2 NUPUR leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · PUR has won the last 2 meetings · PUR 2-3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | NU 61 @ PUR 79 | PUR -6.5 | PUR W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | NU 96 @ PUR 105 | PUR -14.5 | NU W |
| Dec 1, 2023-24 | PUR 88 @ NU 92 | NU +5.5 | NU W |
| Feb 12, 2022-23 | PUR 58 @ NU 64 | NU +5.5 | NU W |
| Feb 16, 2021-22 | PUR 70 @ NU 64 | NU +6 | P |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue
29 games played
Straight up
22-7
76% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs MINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs MARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs AUB | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs KENT | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @ WIS | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 7 | vs WASH | W 81-73 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs PSU | W 93-85 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs IOWA | W 79-72 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ USC | W 69-64 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | @ UCLA | L 67-69 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs ILL | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 27 | @ IU | L 67-72 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | @ MD | W 93-63 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vs ORE | W 68-64 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 10 | @ NEB | W 80-77 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @IOWA | W 78-57 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 17 | vs MICH | L 80-91 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 20 | vsIU | W 93-64 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 26 | vs MSU | L 74-76 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 1 | @ OSU | L 74-82 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
+20.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+16.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+10.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−8.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
−14.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
−3.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−4.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−7.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
−11.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−9.5
1
@MD
MDW 93-63
+14.5
7
vsORE
OREW 68-64
−15.5
10
@NEB
NEBW 80-77
+5.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAW 78-57
+18.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 80-91
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 93-64
+17.5
26
vsMSU
MSUL 74-76
−7.5
1
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
−14.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
−4.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+5.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+8.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−0.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
+25.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
+5.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−22.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−11.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
+17.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−11.5
1
@MD
MDW 93-63
+7.5
7
vsORE
OREW 68-64
−12.5
10
@NEB
NEBW 80-77
+10.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAW 78-57
−7.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 80-91
+14.5
20
vsIU
IUW 93-64
+6.5
26
vsMSU
MSUL 74-76
+6.5
1
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
+6.5
over 14under 15avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northwestern
29 games played
Straight up
13-16
45% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MERC | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 7 | vs BU | W 76-52 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 10 | vs CLE | W 110-63 | -23.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ DEP | W 81-79 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UVA | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs SC | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 27 | vs OKST | L 81-86 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @WIS | L 73-85 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vsOSU | L 82-86 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs JKST | W 93-53 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs VAL | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs BTLR | L 58-61 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 30 | vs HOW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vsMINN | L 78-84 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 8 | @MSU | L 66-76 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 11 | @RUTG | L 75-77 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 14 | vsILL | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vsNEB | L 58-77 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | @USC | W 74-68 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @UCLA | L 64-71 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vsPSU | W 94-73 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | vsWASH | L 62-76 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | @ILL | L 44-84 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 8 | @IOWA | L 70-76 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 11 | vsMICH | L 75-87 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | @NEB | L 49-68 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 18 | vsMD | W 78-74 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 24 | @IU | W 72-68 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 28 | vsORE | W 63-62 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
+6.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+23.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
−3.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
−0.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
−2.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
−7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
−1.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
−2.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
+9.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+1.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
+0.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
−10.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
+3.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
−6.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−1.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
+12.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 64-71
+0.5
29
vsPSU
PSUW 94-73
+13.5
31
vsWASH
WASHL 62-76
−15.5
4
@ILL
ILLL 44-84
−23.5
8
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-76
+4.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 75-87
+3.5
14
@NEB
NEBL 49-68
−5.5
18
vsMD
MDW 78-74
−3.5
24
@IU
IUW 72-68
+13.5
28
vsORE
OREW 63-62
−2.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
−8.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+21.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
+14.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
+11.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
+9.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
+7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
+2.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
+12.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
−0.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+10.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
−35.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
−8.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
+23.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
−1.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
+7.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−4.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
−7.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 64-71
−8.5
29
vsPSU
PSUW 94-73
+18.5
31
vsWASH
WASHL 62-76
−8.5
4
@ILL
ILLL 44-84
−21.5
8
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-76
+6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 75-87
+8.5
14
@NEB
NEBL 49-68
−29.5
18
vsMD
MDW 78-74
+9.5
24
@IU
IUW 72-68
−5.5
28
vsORE
OREW 63-62
−16.5
over 14under 15avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue
22-7 overall · 12-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ohio State74–82
- Lvs Michigan St74–76
- Wvs Indiana93–64
- Lvs Michigan80–91
- W@ Iowa78–57
3 days since their last game.
Northwestern
13-16 overall · 5-13 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oregon63–62
- W@ Indiana72–68
- Wvs Maryland78–74
- L@ Nebraska49–68
- Lvs Michigan75–87
4 days since their last game.