Welsh-Ryan Arena · at Northwestern · Conference game
Closing line
NU -3.5✓ ORE covered by 2.5
NU -3.5✓ ORE covered by 2.5Closing total141.5Under by 16.5
 ORE | This season | NU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-17 | Record | 12-16 |
| 10-18 | ATS | 13-15 |
| 13-15 | O/U | 14-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ORE 70–74 NU · ✓ NU (64%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 36 | 26 | 62 |
| NU | 29 | 34 | 63 |
1st half: ORE 36, NU 29 (ORE by 7). The model had NU by 2.4 and a total of 67.1 (actual 65).
Team stats
| ORE | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-59 39% | Field goals | 25-56 45% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 4-16 25% |
| 9-12 75% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 37 16 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 17 | Assists | 17 |
| 5 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Bittle C | 39 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 8-13 | 1-3 |
| Takai Simpkins G | 36 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 5-12 | 1-2 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 31 | 15 | 15 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-3 |
| Drew Carter G | 26 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Sean Stewart F | 24 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dez Lindsay F | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Wei Lin G | 14 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Luke Johnson F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Miles Stewart, Ege Demir, Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Efe Vatan, Oleksandr Kobzystyi, Jackson Shelstad, Devon Pryor
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 39 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 8-18 | 0-2 |
| Jake West G | 33 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Reid G | 33 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Arrinten Page F | 31 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Tre Singleton F | 23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 20 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jordan Clayton G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: K.J. Windham, Phoenix Gill, Max Green, Blake Smith, Cade Bennerman, Gus Hurlburt, Justin Mullins
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNU -3.5
no move
CloseNU -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▼ 1
Close141.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ORE +140 · NU -166
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NU -3.5 · unchangedmodel NU -4
model NU -4
Opened 142.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NU -3.5 | NU -4.2 | NU +0.7 | L ORE covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 143.3 | Over 1.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ORE 69.6 · NU 73.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NU -2.4 | ORE -7.0 |
| 1H total | 67.1 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | ORE 32.4 · NU 34.7 | ORE 36 · NU 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| NU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ORE 1–0 NUORE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ORE 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | NU 75 @ ORE 81 | ORE -9.5 | NU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oregon
28 games played
Straight up
11-17
39% wins
Against the spread
10-18
36% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-15
46% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs USC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs GONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs OMA | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @ MD | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 5 | @ RUTG | L 85-88 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | vs OSU | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @ NEB | L 55-90 | +10.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs MICH | L 71-81 | +18.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs MSU | L 52-68 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 25 | @ WASH | L 57-72 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | vsUCLA | L 57-73 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | vs IOWA | L 66-84 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ PUR | L 64-68 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 9 | @ IU | L 74-92 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 14 | vs PSU | W 83-72 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 17 | vs MINN | L 44-61 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 136.5 | U 105 |
| Feb 21 | @USC | W 71-70 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 25 | vs WIS | W 85-71 | +5.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
+1.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
+8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
−7.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−11.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−24.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
+8.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−5.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−7.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAL 57-73
−11.5
1
vsIOWA
IOWAL 66-84
−8.5
7
@PUR
PURL 64-68
+15.5
9
@IU
IUL 74-92
−7.5
14
vsPSU
PSUW 83-72
+4.5
17
vsMINN
MINNL 44-61
−20.5
21
@USC
USCW 71-70
+6.5
25
vsWIS
WISW 85-71
+19.5
covered 10didn’t cover 18avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
−14.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
−28.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
+33.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−18.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−1.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
−5.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−19.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−14.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAL 57-73
−6.5
1
vsIOWA
IOWAL 66-84
+16.5
7
@PUR
PURL 64-68
−12.5
9
@IU
IUL 74-92
+22.5
14
vsPSU
PSUW 83-72
+9.5
17
vsMINN
MINNL 44-61
−31.5
21
@USC
USCW 71-70
−8.5
25
vsWIS
WISW 85-71
+3.5
over 13under 15avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northwestern
28 games played
Straight up
12-16
43% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MERC | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 7 | vs BU | W 76-52 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 10 | vs CLE | W 110-63 | -23.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ DEP | W 81-79 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UVA | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs SC | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 27 | vs OKST | L 81-86 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @WIS | L 73-85 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vsOSU | L 82-86 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs JKST | W 93-53 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs VAL | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs BTLR | L 58-61 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 30 | vs HOW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vsMINN | L 78-84 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 8 | @MSU | L 66-76 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 11 | @RUTG | L 75-77 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 14 | vs ILL | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vsNEB | L 58-77 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | @USC | W 74-68 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @UCLA | L 64-71 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vsPSU | W 94-73 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | vsWASH | L 62-76 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | @ILL | L 44-84 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 8 | @IOWA | L 70-76 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 11 | vsMICH | L 75-87 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | @NEB | L 49-68 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 18 | vsMD | W 78-74 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 24 | @IU | W 72-68 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
+6.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+23.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
−3.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
−0.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
−2.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
−7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
−1.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
−2.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
+9.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+1.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
+0.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
−10.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
+3.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
−6.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−1.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
+12.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 64-71
+0.5
29
vsPSU
PSUW 94-73
+13.5
31
vsWASH
WASHL 62-76
−15.5
4
@ILL
ILLL 44-84
−23.5
8
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-76
+4.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 75-87
+3.5
14
@NEB
NEBL 49-68
−5.5
18
vsMD
MDW 78-74
−3.5
24
@IU
IUW 72-68
+13.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
−8.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+21.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
+14.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
+11.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
+9.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
+7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
+2.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
+12.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
−0.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+10.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
−35.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
−8.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
+23.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
−1.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
+7.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−4.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
−7.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 64-71
−8.5
29
vsPSU
PSUW 94-73
+18.5
31
vsWASH
WASHL 62-76
−8.5
4
@ILL
ILLL 44-84
−21.5
8
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-76
+6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 75-87
+8.5
14
@NEB
NEBL 49-68
−29.5
18
vsMD
MDW 78-74
+9.5
24
@IU
IUW 72-68
−5.5
over 14under 14avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oregon
11-17 overall · 4-13 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wisconsin85–71
- W@ USC71–70
- Lvs Minnesota44–61
- Wvs Penn State83–72
- L@ Indiana74–92
3 days since their last game.
Northwestern
12-16 overall · 4-13 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Indiana72–68
- Wvs Maryland78–74
- L@ Nebraska49–68
- Lvs Michigan75–87
- L@ Iowa70–76
4 days since their last game.