Matthew Knight Arena · at Oregon · Conference game
Closing line
WIS -5.5✓ ORE covered by 19.5
WIS -5.5✓ ORE covered by 19.5Closing total152.5Over by 3.5
| WIS | This season | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| 19-8 | Record | 10-17 |
| 16-11 | ATS | 9-18 |
| 16-11 | O/U | 12-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIS 80–74 ORE · ✗ WIS (68%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 33 | 38 | 71 |
| ORE | 30 | 55 | 85 |
1st half: WIS 33, ORE 30 (WIS by 3). The model had WIS by 3.3 and a total of 72.0 (actual 63).
Team stats
| WIS | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-66 33% | Field goals | 28-54 52% |
| 14-45 31% | 3-pointers | 9-19 47% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 20-25 80% |
| 39 16 off | Rebounds | 35 5 off |
| 17 | Assists | 19 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 8 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 37 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 6-18 | 6-14 |
| Nick Boyd G | 32 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 4-12 | 1-4 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Nolan Winter F | 29 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 23 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Rapp F | 22 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Braeden Carrington G | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Hayden Jones G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Zach Kinziger G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Riccardo Greppi, Will Garlock, Jack Janicki, Jack Robison, Elijah Gray, Isaac Gard
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Bittle C | 37 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 7-16 | 3-7 |
| Takai Simpkins G | 35 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-3 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Sean Stewart F | 22 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Drew Carter G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dez Lindsay F | 26 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Wei Lin G | 20 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luke Johnson F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Shelstad, Miles Stewart, Ege Demir, Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Efe Vatan, Oleksandr Kobzystyi, Devon Pryor
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -6.5
1 → ORE
CloseWIS -5.5
1 pt toward ORE
Total
Open151.5
▲ 1
Close152.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
WIS -270 · ORE +220
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -6.5 · closed WIS -5.5 · moved 1 toward OREmodel WIS -5.5 matches the line
model WIS -5.5 = line ✓
Opened 151.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WIS -5.5 | WIS -5.4 | ORE +0.1 | W ORE covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 153.9 | Over 1.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WIS 79.7 · ORE 74.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WIS -3.3 | WIS -3.0 |
| 1H total | 72.0 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | WIS 37.7 · ORE 34.3 | WIS 33 · ORE 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| ORE | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WIS 1–1 ORESeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · WIS 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | ORE 77 @ WIS 73 | WIS -8.5 | ORE W |
| Mar 21, 2022-23 | WIS 61 @ ORE 58 | ORE -2.5 | WIS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wisconsin
27 games played
Straight up
19-8
70% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs PUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ MICH | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @ MINN | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs RUTG | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 22 | @ PSU | W 98-71 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 25 | vs USC | L 71-73 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | vsMINN | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs OSU | W 92-82 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | @ IU | L 77-78 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 10 | @ ILL | W 92-90 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 13 | vs MSU | W 92-71 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | @OSU | L 69-86 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 22 | vs IOWA | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+4.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+22.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+1.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
−6.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+21.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−9.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−5.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+5.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
+2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+11.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+22.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−15.5
22
vsIOWA
IOWAW 84-71
+10.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
−0.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+9.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+6.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
+33.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+11.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−14.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−16.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+18.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
−2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+28.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+13.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−2.5
22
vsIOWA
IOWAW 84-71
+7.5
over 16under 11avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon
27 games played
Straight up
10-17
37% wins
Against the spread
9-18
33% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vsUSC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs GONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs OMA | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @ MD | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 5 | @RUTG | L 85-88 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | vsOSU | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @NEB | L 55-90 | +10.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsMICH | L 71-81 | +18.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsMSU | L 52-68 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 25 | @ WASH | L 57-72 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | vsUCLA | L 57-73 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | vsIOWA | L 66-84 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @PUR | L 64-68 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 9 | @IU | L 74-92 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 14 | vsPSU | W 83-72 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 17 | vsMINN | L 44-61 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 136.5 | U 105 |
| Feb 21 | @USC | W 71-70 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
+1.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
+8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
−7.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−11.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−24.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
+8.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−5.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−7.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAL 57-73
−11.5
1
vsIOWA
IOWAL 66-84
−8.5
7
@PUR
PURL 64-68
+15.5
9
@IU
IUL 74-92
−7.5
14
vsPSU
PSUW 83-72
+4.5
17
vsMINN
MINNL 44-61
−20.5
21
@USC
USCW 71-70
+6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 18avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
−14.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
−28.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
+33.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−18.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−1.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
−5.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−19.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−14.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAL 57-73
−6.5
1
vsIOWA
IOWAL 66-84
+16.5
7
@PUR
PURL 64-68
−12.5
9
@IU
IUL 74-92
+22.5
14
vsPSU
PSUW 83-72
+9.5
17
vsMINN
MINNL 44-61
−31.5
21
@USC
USCW 71-70
−8.5
over 12under 15avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin
19-8 overall · 11-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Iowa84–71
- L@ Ohio State69–86
- Wvs Michigan St92–71
- W@ Illinois92–90
- L@ Indiana77–78
3 days since their last game.
Oregon
10-17 overall · 3-13 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ USC71–70
- Lvs Minnesota44–61
- Wvs Penn State83–72
- L@ Indiana74–92
- L@ Purdue64–68
4 days since their last game.