Mackey Arena · at Purdue · Conference game
Closing line
PUR -19.5✓ ORE covered by 15.5
PUR -19.5✓ ORE covered by 15.5Closing total144.5Under by 12.5
 ORE | This season | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 8-14 | Record | 18-4 |
| 6-16 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 10-12 | O/U | 9-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ORE 65–83 PUR · ✓ PUR (94%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 34 | 30 | 64 |
| PUR | 36 | 32 | 68 |
1st half: ORE 34, PUR 36 (PUR by 2). The model had PUR by 10.7 and a total of 69.0 (actual 70).
Team stats
| ORE | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-54 44% | Field goals | 22-47 47% |
| 5-25 20% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 11-16 69% | Free throws | 19-25 76% |
| 28 7 off | Rebounds | 32 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 12 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takai Simpkins G | 36 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 6-13 | 2-7 |
| Nate Bittle C | 34 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 6-14 | 1-8 |
| Sean Stewart F | 33 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 29 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Drew Carter G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Wei Lin G | 18 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Dez Lindsay F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Luke Johnson F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jackson Shelstad, Ege Demir, Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Efe Vatan, Miles Stewart, Devon Pryor
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 38 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 32 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 28 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| C.J. Cox G | 21 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 20 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Gicarri Harris G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Omer Mayer G | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Jack Benter G | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jack Lusk, Liam Murphy, Antione West Jr, Aaron Fine, Raleigh Burgess, Sam King, Jace Rayl
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -19.5
no move
ClosePUR -19.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
no move
Close144.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ORE +1700 · PUR -4500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -19.5 · unchangedmodel PUR -18
model PUR -18
Opened 144.5 · unchangedmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PUR -19.5 | PUR -18.1 | ORE +1.4 | W ORE covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 147.4 | Over 2.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ORE 64.6 · PUR 82.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PUR -10.7 | PUR -2.0 |
| 1H total | 69.0 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | ORE 29.2 · PUR 39.8 | ORE 34 · PUR 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
| PUR | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ORE 0–1 PURPUR leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ORE 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | PUR 65 @ ORE 58 | ORE -2.5 | PUR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oregon
22 games played
Straight up
8-14
36% wins
Against the spread
6-16
27% covers · avg −3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs USC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs GONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs OMA | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @ MD | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 5 | @ RUTG | L 85-88 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | vs OSU | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @ NEB | L 55-90 | +10.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs MICH | L 71-81 | +18.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs MSU | L 52-68 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 25 | @ WASH | L 57-72 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | vsUCLA | L 57-73 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | vs IOWA | L 66-84 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
+1.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
+8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
−7.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−11.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−24.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
+8.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−5.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−7.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAL 57-73
−11.5
1
vsIOWA
IOWAL 66-84
−8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 16avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
−14.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
−28.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
+33.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−18.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−1.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
−5.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−19.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−14.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAL 57-73
−6.5
1
vsIOWA
IOWAL 66-84
+16.5
over 10under 12avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue
22 games played
Straight up
18-4
82% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs MINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs MARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vsAUB | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs KENT | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @ WIS | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 7 | vsWASH | W 81-73 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs PSU | W 93-85 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vsIOWA | W 79-72 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @USC | W 69-64 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | @UCLA | L 67-69 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs ILL | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 27 | @ IU | L 67-72 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | @MD | W 93-63 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
+20.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+16.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+10.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−8.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
−14.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
−3.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−4.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−7.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
−11.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−9.5
1
@MD
MDW 93-63
+14.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
−4.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+5.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+8.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−0.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
+25.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
+5.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−22.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−11.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
+17.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−11.5
1
@MD
MDW 93-63
+7.5
over 9under 13avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oregon
8-14 overall · 1-10 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Iowa66–84
- Lvs UCLA57–73
- L@ Washington57–72
- Lvs Michigan St52–68
- Lvs Michigan71–81
6 days since their last game.
Purdue
18-4 overall · 8-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Maryland93–63
- L@ Indiana67–72
- Lvs Illinois82–88
- L@ UCLA67–69
- W@ USC69–64
6 days since their last game.