Welsh-Ryan Arena · at Northwestern · Conference game
Closing line
NU -1.5✓ WASH covered by 15.5
NU -1.5✓ WASH covered by 15.5Closing total146.5Under by 8.5
 WASH | This season | NU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-10 | Record | 10-11 |
| 13-8 | ATS | 10-11 |
| 7-14 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WASH 75–76 NU · ✗ NU (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 39 | 37 | 76 |
| NU | 27 | 35 | 62 |
1st half: WASH 39, NU 27 (WASH by 12). The model had NU by 0.2 and a total of 70.5 (actual 66).
Team stats
| WASH | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-65 46% | Field goals | 22-57 39% |
| 10-22 45% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 6-8 75% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 45 16 off | Rebounds | 31 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 7 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannes Steinbach F | 39 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 8-13 | 3-4 |
| Wesley Yates III G | 35 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 7-13 | 5-8 |
| Zoom Diallo G | 33 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10-19 | 1-2 |
| Bryson Tucker F | 28 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Franck Kepnang C | 23 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quimari Peterson G | 19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jacob Ognacevic F | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| JJ Mandaquit G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: BJ Roy, Christian Nitu, Nikola Dzepina, Courtland Muldrew, Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Desmond Claude, Lathan Sommerville
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 37 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 6-14 | 1-4 |
| Tre Singleton F | 31 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Jake West G | 30 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Max Green G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Arrinten Page F | 26 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Reid G | 24 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Clayton G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Phoenix Gill, Cade Bennerman, Justin Mullins, Gus Hurlburt, Blake Smith, K.J. Windham
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNU -1.5
no move
CloseNU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WASH +102 · NU -122
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NU -1.5 · unchangedmodel NU -0.5
model NU -0.5
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NU -1.5 | NU -0.6 | WASH +0.9 | W WASH covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 150.7 | Over 4.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | WASH 75 · NU 75.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NU -0.2 | WASH -12.0 |
| 1H total | 70.5 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | WASH 35.2 · NU 35.4 | WASH 39 · NU 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 1-9 10% |
| NU | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WASH 1–0 NUWASH leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WASH 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | NU 71 @ WASH 76 | WASH -2.5 | WASH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Washington
21 games played
Straight up
11-10
52% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-14
33% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UAPB | W 94-50 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | vs DEN | W 84-70 | -27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ BAY | L 69-78 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ WSU | W 81-69 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs SOU | W 99-93 | -23.5 | L −17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 27 | vs NEV | W 83-66 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLO | L 68-81 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 3 | vs UCLA | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ USC | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 13 | vs SUU | W 105-69 | -25.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 19 | @ SEA | L 66-70 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs USD | W 86-56 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTAH | W 74-65 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 4 | @ IU | L 80-90 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ PUR | L 73-81 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 11 | vs OSU | W 81-74 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 14 | vs MICH | L 72-82 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | vs MSU | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 21 | @ NEB | L 66-76 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | vs ORE | W 72-57 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 29 | @ ILL | L 66-75 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
+9.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
−13.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−2.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
+3.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
−17.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+13.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−15.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+0.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+12.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+10.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−11.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
+11.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−3.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
−0.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
+8.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
+5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
+2.5
17
vsMSU
MSUL 63-80
−13.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 66-76
+0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 72-57
+7.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 66-75
+3.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
−16.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
+0.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−9.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
−8.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
+34.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+3.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−2.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+20.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+5.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+20.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−15.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
−17.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−18.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
+17.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
−0.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
−0.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
−11.5
17
vsMSU
MSUL 63-80
−2.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 66-76
−10.5
25
vsORE
OREW 72-57
−14.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 66-75
−12.5
over 7under 14avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northwestern
21 games played
Straight up
10-11
48% wins
Against the spread
10-11
48% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MERC | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 7 | vs BU | W 76-52 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 10 | vs CLE | W 110-63 | -23.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ DEP | W 81-79 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UVA | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs SC | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 27 | vs OKST | L 81-86 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ WIS | L 73-85 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vsOSU | L 82-86 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs JKST | W 93-53 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs VAL | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs BTLR | L 58-61 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 30 | vs HOW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs MINN | L 78-84 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 8 | @MSU | L 66-76 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 11 | @ RUTG | L 75-77 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 14 | vsILL | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vsNEB | L 58-77 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | @USC | W 74-68 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @UCLA | L 64-71 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vs PSU | W 94-73 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
+6.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+23.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
−3.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
−0.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
−2.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
−7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
−1.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
−2.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
+9.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+1.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
+0.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
−10.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
+3.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
−6.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−1.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
+12.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 64-71
+0.5
29
vsPSU
PSUW 94-73
+13.5
covered 10didn’t cover 11avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
−8.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+21.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
+14.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
+11.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
+9.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
+7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
+2.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
+12.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
−0.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+10.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
−35.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
−8.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
+23.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
−1.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
+7.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−4.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
−7.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 64-71
−8.5
29
vsPSU
PSUW 94-73
+18.5
over 11under 10avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Washington
11-10 overall · 3-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Illinois66–75
- Wvs Oregon72–57
- L@ Nebraska66–76
- Lvs Michigan St63–80
- Lvs Michigan72–82
2 days since their last game.
Northwestern
10-11 overall · 2-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn State94–73
- L@ UCLA64–71
- W@ USC74–68
- Lvs Nebraska58–77
- Lvs Illinois68–79
2 days since their last game.