Alaska Airlines Arena · at Washington · Conference game
Closing line
WASH -5.5✓ WASH covered by 13.5
WASH -5.5✓ WASH covered by 13.5Closing total150.5Over by 12.5
 USC | This season | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| 17-11 | Record | 14-15 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 17-12 |
| 14-14 | O/U | 11-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USC 75–80 WASH · ✓ WASH (67%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 43 | 29 | 72 |
| WASH | 40 | 51 | 91 |
1st half: USC 43, WASH 40 (USC by 3). The model had WASH by 2.9 and a total of 72.8 (actual 83).
Team stats
| USC | WASH | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-64 38% | Field goals | 37-77 48% |
| 4-19 21% | 3-pointers | 7-30 23% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 37 12 off | Rebounds | 46 19 off |
| 6 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| USC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra Ausar F | 38 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Kam Woods G | 37 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Alijah Arenas G | 33 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 5-16 | 0-2 |
| Jacob Cofie F | 20 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-2 |
| Jerry Easter II G | 20 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Marsh G | 29 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-8 |
| Gabe Dynes C | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Brownell F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Terrance Williams II F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| EJ Neal Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rodney Rice, Ryan Cornish, Patrick O'Brien, Brit Burden, Amarion Dickerson, Jonah Goorin
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannes Steinbach F | 39 | 22 | 24 | 2 | 9-12 | 0-0 |
| Quimari Peterson G | 38 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 3-9 |
| Wesley Yates III G | 36 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-18 | 0-9 |
| Zoom Diallo G | 32 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 11-19 | 2-4 |
| Lathan Sommerville C | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nikola Dzepina F | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Courtland Muldrew G | 17 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| BJ Roy G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Christian Nitu, Jacob Ognacevic, Franck Kepnang, Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Bryson Tucker, Desmond Claude, JJ Mandaquit
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWASH -5.5
no move
CloseWASH -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▲ 1
Close150.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
USC +185 · WASH -225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WASH -5.5 · unchangedmodel WASH -5
model WASH -5
Opened 149.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 1 upmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WASH -5.5 | WASH -5.0 | USC +0.5 | L WASH covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 155.8 | Over 5.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | USC 75.4 · WASH 80.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WASH -2.9 | USC -3.0 |
| 1H total | 72.8 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | USC 35 · WASH 37.8 | USC 43 · WASH 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| WASH | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
USC 8–1 WASHUSC leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · USC 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025-26 | WASH 84 @ USC 76 | USC -4.5 | WASH W |
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | WASH 61 @ USC 92 | USC -6.5 | USC W |
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | USC 85 @ WASH 61 | WASH -4.5 | USC W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | USC 80 vs WASH 74 | WASH +3.5 | USC W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | USC 82 @ WASH 75 | WASH -4.5 | USC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
USC
28 games played
Straight up
17-11
61% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CP | W 94-64 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 9 | vs MAN | W 114-83 | -28.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 14 | vs ILST | W 87-67 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 20 | vs TROY | W 107-106 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs BOIS | W 70-67 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs HALL | W 83-81 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs ASU | W 88-75 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ ORE | W 82-77 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vsWASH | L 76-84 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 9 | @ USD | W 94-81 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 14 | vs WSU | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTSA | W 97-70 | -25.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 2 | @ MICH | L 66-96 | +22.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 5 | @ MSU | L 51-80 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 9 | @ MINN | W 70-69 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vs MD | W 88-71 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | vs PUR | L 64-69 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 21 | vs NU | L 68-74 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | @ WIS | W 73-71 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ IOWA | L 72-73 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 31 | vs RUTG | W 78-75 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 3 | vs IU | W 81-75 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 8 | @ PSU | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 11 | @ OSU | L 82-89 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 18 | vs ILL | L 65-101 | +8.5 | L −27.5 | 151.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 21 | vsORE | L 70-71 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 24 | @ UCLA | L 62-81 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 28 | vs NEB | L 67-82 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
+5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+2.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
+4.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
−17.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−0.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
−4.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+8.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+2.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
−12.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
−1.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−5.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+1.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−7.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−17.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
+4.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+7.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
+4.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−12.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
+9.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+8.5
31
vsRUTG
RUTGW 78-75
−8.5
3
vsIU
IUW 81-75
+7.5
8
@PSU
PSUW 77-75
−1.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 82-89
+0.5
18
vsILL
ILLL 65-101
−27.5
21
vsORE
OREL 70-71
−6.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-81
−12.5
28
vsNEB
NEBL 67-82
−9.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
−5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+41.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
−1.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
+53.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−18.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
+18.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+1.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+4.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
+5.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
+16.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−27.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+9.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−11.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−20.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
−8.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+8.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
−22.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−7.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
−14.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+3.5
31
vsRUTG
RUTGW 78-75
+6.5
3
vsIU
IUW 81-75
+2.5
8
@PSU
PSUW 77-75
−5.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 82-89
+18.5
18
vsILL
ILLL 65-101
+14.5
21
vsORE
OREL 70-71
−8.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-81
−7.5
28
vsNEB
NEBL 67-82
−0.5
over 14under 14avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Washington
29 games played
Straight up
14-15
48% wins
Against the spread
17-12
59% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-18
38% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UAPB | W 94-50 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | vs DEN | W 84-70 | -27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ BAY | L 69-78 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @WSU | W 81-69 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs SOU | W 99-93 | -23.5 | L −17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 27 | vs NEV | W 83-66 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLO | L 68-81 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 3 | vsUCLA | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @USC | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 13 | vs SUU | W 105-69 | -25.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 19 | @ SEA | L 66-70 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vsUSD | W 86-56 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTAH | W 74-65 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 4 | @IU | L 80-90 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @PUR | L 73-81 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 11 | vsOSU | W 81-74 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 14 | vsMICH | L 72-82 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | vsMSU | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 21 | @NEB | L 66-76 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | vsORE | W 72-57 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 29 | @ILL | L 66-75 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | @NU | W 76-62 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | vsIOWA | L 74-84 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 7 | @UCLA | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 11 | vsPSU | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 14 | vsMINN | W 69-57 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 21 | @MD | L 60-64 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 24 | @RUTG | W 79-72 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 28 | vsWIS | L 73-90 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
+9.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
−13.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−2.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
+3.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
−17.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+13.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−15.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+0.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+12.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+10.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−11.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
+11.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−3.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
−0.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
+8.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
+5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
+2.5
17
vsMSU
MSUL 63-80
−13.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 66-76
+0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 72-57
+7.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 66-75
+3.5
31
@NU
NUW 76-62
+15.5
4
vsIOWA
IOWAL 74-84
−7.5
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 73-77
+0.5
11
vsPSU
PSUL 60-63
−15.5
14
vsMINN
MINNW 69-57
+5.5
21
@MD
MDL 60-64
−8.5
24
@RUTG
RUTGW 79-72
+2.5
28
vsWIS
WISL 73-90
−15.5
covered 17didn’t cover 12avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
−16.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
+0.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−9.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
−8.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
+34.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+3.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−2.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+20.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+5.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+20.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−15.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
−17.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−18.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
+17.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
−0.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
−0.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
−11.5
17
vsMSU
MSUL 63-80
−2.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 66-76
−10.5
25
vsORE
OREW 72-57
−14.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 66-75
−12.5
31
@NU
NUW 76-62
−8.5
4
vsIOWA
IOWAL 74-84
+16.5
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 73-77
+5.5
11
vsPSU
PSUL 60-63
−30.5
14
vsMINN
MINNW 69-57
−12.5
21
@MD
MDL 60-64
−19.5
24
@RUTG
RUTGW 79-72
+11.5
28
vsWIS
WISL 73-90
+9.5
over 11under 18avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
USC
17-11 overall · 7-11 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Nebraska67–82
- L@ UCLA62–81
- Lvs Oregon70–71
- Lvs Illinois65–101
- L@ Ohio State82–89
4 days since their last game.
Washington
14-15 overall · 6-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wisconsin73–90
- W@ Rutgers79–72
- L@ Maryland60–64
- Wvs Minnesota69–57
- Lvs Penn State60–63
4 days since their last game.