OU Credit Union O'rena · at Oakland · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
OAK -1.5✓ NKU covered by 2.5
OAK -1.5✓ NKU covered by 2.5Closing total161.5Over by 7.5
 NKU | This season | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| 15-13 | Record | 15-15 |
| 11-17 | ATS | 17-13 |
| 18-10 | O/U | 18-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NKU 81–84 OAK · ✗ OAK (60%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 37 | 48 | 85 |
| OAK | 31 | 53 | 84 |
1st half: NKU 37, OAK 31 (NKU by 6). The model had OAK by 1.7 and a total of 76.6 (actual 68).
Team stats
| NKU | OAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-61 48% | Field goals | 31-74 42% |
| 9-28 32% | 3-pointers | 13-34 38% |
| 18-30 60% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 40 11 off | Rebounds | 43 15 off |
| 19 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 26 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ Wells F | 35 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Ethan Elliott G | 32 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Donovan Oday G | 31 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 7-11 | 2-4 |
| Tae Dozier G | 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Kael Robinson F | 23 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dan Gherezgher G | 25 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 5-11 | 3-8 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Tolliver F | 9 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mitchel Minor, Bryce Darbyshire, JJ Apathjang, Juanma Ruiz, Addison Archer
| OAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson G | 38 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 12-26 | 10-20 |
| Tuburu Naivalurua F | 33 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Garrett F | 28 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Michael Houge F | 24 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Ziare Wells G | 23 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brett White II G | 29 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2-9 | 2-8 |
| Khoi Thurmon G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Warren Marshall IV G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Nate Deer, MJ Yeager, William Kassi, Donny Yeager, Hamoudy Mashhour, Nassim Mashhour
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOAK -1.5
ModelOAK -3.0
Model edgeOAK +1.5
L NKU covered
Total
Market161.5
Model164.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
NKU 80.5 · OAK 83.5
NKU 85 · OAK 84
Win probability
OAK 60%
1st half
Spread
OAK -1.7
NKU -6.0
Total
76.6
68 points
Projected score
NKU 37.5 · OAK 39.2
NKU 37 · OAK 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOAK -1.5
no move
CloseOAK -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open158.5
▲ 3
Close161.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
NKU +110 · OAK -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OAK -1.5 · unchangedmodel OAK -3
model OAK -3
Opened 158.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 3 upmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
| OAK | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
NKU 6–5 OAKNKU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · OAK has won the last 2 meetings · NKU 7-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025-26 | NKU 65 @ OAK 76 | OAK -3.5 | OAK W |
| Dec 17, 2025-26 | OAK 82 @ NKU 77 | NKU -3.5 | OAK W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | NKU 84 @ OAK 75 | OAK -6.5 | NKU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | OAK 68 @ NKU 53 | NKU -3.5 | OAK W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | OAK 89 @ NKU 99 | NKU -0.5 | NKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Kentucky
28 games played
Straight up
15-13
54% wins
Against the spread
11-17
39% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-10
64% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TENN | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ ETSU | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ CMU | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs EKU | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vs WOF | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs BU | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLE | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @ PFW | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ BELL | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vsOAK | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 21 | vs COFC | L 74-85 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 29 | @ RMU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | vs IUIN | W 81-72 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 176.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 4 | vs YSU | W 94-79 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 9 | @ MILW | W 85-67 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | @ GB | L 78-80 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs DETM | W 96-71 | -10.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsRMU | L 89-92 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 24 | @ WRST | L 80-88 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @DETM | L 77-90 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 1 | @OAK | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | vsGB | L 84-87 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | vsMILW | W 67-62 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 12 | @IUIN | W 84-81 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 18 | vsPFW | W 87-71 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 22 | @YSU | L 58-64 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 25 | @CLE | W 81-70 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | vsWRST | L 91-92 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+0.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
−0.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
−0.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−8.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
−16.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+0.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−4.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+10.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
+19.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
−6.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+14.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
−10.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
−6.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
−18.5
1
@OAK
OAKL 65-76
−7.5
4
vsGB
GBL 84-87
−10.5
7
vsMILW
MILWW 67-62
−1.5
12
@IUIN
IUINW 84-81
−2.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 87-71
+10.5
22
@YSU
YSUL 58-64
−3.5
25
@CLE
CLEW 81-70
+2.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTL 91-92
−4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 17avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+16.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
+2.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
+9.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−4.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
+5.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+6.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−23.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+26.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
−5.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
+13.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+7.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
+27.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
+12.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
+5.5
1
@OAK
OAKL 65-76
−25.5
4
vsGB
GBL 84-87
+21.5
7
vsMILW
MILWW 67-62
−27.5
12
@IUIN
IUINW 84-81
+0.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 87-71
+4.5
22
@YSU
YSUL 58-64
−30.5
25
@CLE
CLEW 81-70
−15.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTL 91-92
+29.5
over 18under 10avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oakland
30 games played
Straight up
15-15
50% wins
Against the spread
17-13
57% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-12
60% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MICH | L 78-121 | +24.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 7 | @ PUR | L 77-87 | +31.5 | W +21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ HOU | L 45-78 | +30.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 17 | @ UCF | L 83-87 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ EMU | L 91-97 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | vs LAM | W 83-68 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 25 | @ MONT | W 95-87 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 3 | vsPFW | W 101-92 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vs TOL | W 98-97 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNI | L 63-75 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @NKU | W 82-77 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs MSU | L 70-79 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | @WRST | L 73-88 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @YSU | W 85-83 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 4 | vsRMU | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 161.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 9 | vsCLE | W 97-74 | -15.5 | W +7.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 11 | vsWRST | L 84-94 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | @MILW | W 73-60 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 18 | @GB | W 88-63 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 21 | vsIUIN | L 85-103 | -14.5 | L −32.5 | 176.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 24 | @DETM | W 95-87 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 28 | @PFW | W 74-65 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | vsNKU | W 76-65 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 166.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | @CLE | L 78-91 | -7.5 | L −20.5 | 170.5 | U 169 |
| Feb 12 | vsYSU | L 82-86 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 15 | @RMU | L 69-93 | +1.5 | L −22.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 20 | vsGB | L 68-73 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 22 | vsMILW | W 81-70 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 25 | @IUIN | W 86-74 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 169.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 28 | vsDETM | L 89-95 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MICH
MICHL 78-121
−18.5
7
@PUR
PURL 77-87
+21.5
12
@HOU
HOUL 45-78
−2.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 83-87
+9.5
21
@EMU
EMUL 91-97
−7.5
24
vsLAM
LAMW 83-68
+11.5
25
@MONT
MONTW 95-87
+12.5
3
vsPFW
PFWW 101-92
+4.5
6
vsTOL
TOLW 98-97
−3.5
13
@UNI
UNIL 63-75
−3.5
17
@NKU
NKUW 82-77
+8.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 70-79
+10.5
29
@WRST
WRSTL 73-88
−11.5
1
@YSU
YSUW 85-83
+3.5
4
vsRMU
RMUW 96-73
+21.5
9
vsCLE
CLEW 97-74
+7.5
11
vsWRST
WRSTL 84-94
−14.5
15
@MILW
MILWW 73-60
+10.5
18
@GB
GBW 88-63
+20.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINL 85-103
−32.5
24
@DETM
DETMW 95-87
+1.5
28
@PFW
PFWW 74-65
+7.5
1
vsNKU
NKUW 76-65
+7.5
4
@CLE
CLEL 78-91
−20.5
12
vsYSU
YSUL 82-86
−7.5
15
@RMU
RMUL 69-93
−22.5
20
vsGB
GBL 68-73
−11.5
22
vsMILW
MILWW 81-70
+5.5
25
@IUIN
IUINW 86-74
+6.5
28
vsDETM
DETML 89-95
−14.5
covered 17didn’t cover 13avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MICH
MICHL 78-121
+42.5
7
@PUR
PURL 77-87
+5.5
12
@HOU
HOUL 45-78
−15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 83-87
+6.5
21
@EMU
EMUL 91-97
+34.5
24
vsLAM
LAMW 83-68
+2.5
25
@MONT
MONTW 95-87
+19.5
3
vsPFW
PFWW 101-92
+30.5
6
vsTOL
TOLW 98-97
+28.5
13
@UNI
UNIL 63-75
−11.5
17
@NKU
NKUW 82-77
−4.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 70-79
−6.5
29
@WRST
WRSTL 73-88
+1.5
1
@YSU
YSUW 85-83
+10.5
4
vsRMU
RMUW 96-73
+7.5
9
vsCLE
CLEW 97-74
+1.5
11
vsWRST
WRSTL 84-94
+16.5
15
@MILW
MILWW 73-60
−33.5
18
@GB
GBW 88-63
−2.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINL 85-103
+11.5
24
@DETM
DETMW 95-87
+14.5
28
@PFW
PFWW 74-65
−23.5
1
vsNKU
NKUW 76-65
−25.5
4
@CLE
CLEL 78-91
−1.5
12
vsYSU
YSUL 82-86
+12.5
15
@RMU
RMUL 69-93
+5.5
20
vsGB
GBL 68-73
−12.5
22
vsMILW
MILWW 81-70
−8.5
25
@IUIN
IUINW 86-74
−9.5
28
vsDETM
DETML 89-95
+23.5
over 18under 12avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Kentucky
15-13 overall · 10-10 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wright St91–92
- W@ Cleveland St81–70
- L@ Youngstown St58–64
- Wvs Purdue FW87–71
- W@ IU Indy84–81
4 days since their last game.
Oakland
15-15 overall · 12-8 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Detroit Mercy89–95
- W@ IU Indy86–74
- Wvs Milwaukee81–70
- Lvs Green Bay68–73
- L@ Robert Morris69–93
4 days since their last game.