Calihan Hall · at Detroit Mercy · Conference game
Closing line
NKU -5.5✓ DETM covered by 18.5
NKU -5.5✓ DETM covered by 18.5Closing total161.5Over by 5.5
| NKU | This season | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| 11-8 | Record | 6-12 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 13-6 | O/U | 11-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NKU 82–78 DETM · ✗ NKU (66%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 38 | 39 | 77 |
| DETM | 44 | 46 | 90 |
1st half: NKU 38, DETM 44 (DETM by 6). The model had NKU by 2.9 and a total of 74.7 (actual 82).
Team stats
| NKU | DETM | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-63 40% | Field goals | 30-54 56% |
| 10-37 27% | 3-pointers | 12-20 60% |
| 17-27 63% | Free throws | 18-28 64% |
| 32 14 off | Rebounds | 41 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 25 | Fouls | 24 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Oday G | 39 | 33 | 5 | 2 | 11-19 | 5-11 |
| Tae Dozier G | 36 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Dan Gherezgher G | 34 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 7-14 | 5-10 |
| Kael Robinson F | 26 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0-14 | 0-8 |
| LJ Wells F | 25 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shawn Nelson G | 25 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Tolliver F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Darbyshire G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JJ Apathjang, Juanma Ruiz, Addison Archer, Ethan Elliott, Mitchel Minor
| DETM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Spratt G | 36 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Orlando Lovejoy G | 32 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 8-14 | 0-1 |
| Legend Geeter F | 30 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Kalambay F | 18 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| TJ Nadeau G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lance Stone G | 31 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 6-10 | 4-6 |
| Je'kel Cotton G | 22 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| London Maiden F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jared Lary G | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zak Abdalla, Ayden Carter, Xavier Istomin-Monroe, Keshawn Fisher, Nate Johnson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNKU -5.5
no move
CloseNKU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open162.5
▼ 1
Close161.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NKU -270 · DETM +220
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NKU -5.5 · unchangedmodel NKU -4.5
model NKU -4.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 1 downmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NKU -5.5 | NKU -4.6 | DETM +0.9 | W DETM covered |
| Total | 161.5 | 159.7 | Under 1.8 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | NKU 82.2 · DETM 77.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NKU -2.9 | DETM -6.0 |
| 1H total | 74.7 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | NKU 38.8 · DETM 35.9 | NKU 38 · DETM 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| DETM | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
NKU 8–3 DETMNKU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · NKU has won the last 2 meetings · NKU 4-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | DETM 71 @ NKU 96 | NKU -10.5 | NKU W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | DETM 75 @ NKU 99 | NKU -14.5 | NKU W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | NKU 57 @ DETM 68 | DETM +7.5 | DETM W |
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | DETM 60 @ NKU 73 | NKU -13.5 | DETM W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | DETM 67 @ NKU 79 | NKU -13.5 | DETM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Kentucky
19 games played
Straight up
11-8
58% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-6
68% overs · avg +6.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TENN | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ ETSU | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ CMU | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs EKU | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vs WOF | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs BU | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLE | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @ PFW | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ BELL | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vs OAK | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 21 | vs COFC | L 74-85 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 29 | @ RMU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | vs IUIN | W 81-72 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 176.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 4 | vs YSU | W 94-79 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 9 | @ MILW | W 85-67 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | @ GB | L 78-80 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vsDETM | W 96-71 | -10.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsRMU | L 89-92 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 24 | @ WRST | L 80-88 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+0.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
−0.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
−0.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−8.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
−16.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+0.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−4.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+10.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
+19.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
−6.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+14.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
−10.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
−6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+16.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
+2.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
+9.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−4.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
+5.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+6.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−23.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+26.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
−5.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
+13.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+7.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
+27.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
+12.5
over 13under 6avg +6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Detroit Mercy
18 games played
Straight up
6-12
33% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UIC | L 71-91 | +9.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | @ ND | L 70-102 | +21.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 15 | @ TOL | L 83-90 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 18 | vs EMU | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | @ MSU | L 56-84 | +30.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | @ DEP | L 75-95 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 29 | @ NIA | W 70-66 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 3 | vsIUIN | W 92-78 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 180.5 | U 170 |
| Dec 6 | @CLE | W 71-59 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 158.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 14 | @PFW | L 77-81 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 29 | @YSU | W 73-68 | +9.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vsRMU | L 77-85 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 9 | vsWRST | L 82-84 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 11 | vsCLE | W 94-84 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | @NKU | L 71-96 | +10.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @IUIN | W 80-77 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 21 | vsPFW | L 76-83 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsOAK | L 87-95 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UIC
UICL 71-91
−10.5
7
@ND
NDL 70-102
−10.5
15
@TOL
TOLL 83-90
+3.5
18
vsEMU
EMUL 62-72
−11.5
21
@MSU
MSUL 56-84
+2.5
23
@DEP
DEPL 75-95
−0.5
29
@NIA
NIAW 70-66
+2.5
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 92-78
+10.5
6
@CLE
CLEW 71-59
+13.5
14
@PFW
PFWL 77-81
+5.5
29
@YSU
YSUW 73-68
+14.5
2
vsRMU
RMUL 77-85
−4.5
9
vsWRST
WRSTL 82-84
+3.5
11
vsCLE
CLEW 94-84
+3.5
15
@NKU
NKUL 71-96
−14.5
17
@IUIN
IUINW 80-77
+4.5
21
vsPFW
PFWL 76-83
−4.5
24
vsOAK
OAKL 87-95
−1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UIC
UICL 71-91
+19.5
7
@ND
NDL 70-102
+24.5
15
@TOL
TOLL 83-90
+13.5
18
vsEMU
EMUL 62-72
−23.5
21
@MSU
MSUL 56-84
−9.5
23
@DEP
DEPL 75-95
+18.5
29
@NIA
NIAW 70-66
−6.5
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 92-78
−10.5
6
@CLE
CLEW 71-59
−28.5
14
@PFW
PFWL 77-81
+4.5
29
@YSU
YSUW 73-68
−5.5
2
vsRMU
RMUL 77-85
+13.5
9
vsWRST
WRSTL 82-84
+17.5
11
vsCLE
CLEW 94-84
+15.5
15
@NKU
NKUL 71-96
+7.5
17
@IUIN
IUINW 80-77
−12.5
21
vsPFW
PFWL 76-83
+3.5
24
vsOAK
OAKL 87-95
+14.5
over 11under 7avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Kentucky
11-8 overall · 6-5 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wright St80–88
- Lvs Robert Morris89–92
- Wvs Detroit Mercy96–71
- L@ Green Bay78–80
- W@ Milwaukee85–67
6 days since their last game.
Detroit Mercy
6-12 overall · 5-6 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oakland87–95
- Lvs Purdue FW76–83
- W@ IU Indy80–77
- L@ N Kentucky71–96
- Wvs Cleveland St94–84
6 days since their last game.