Truist Arena · at N Kentucky · Conference game
Closing line
NKU -10.5✓ NKU covered by 14.5
NKU -10.5✓ NKU covered by 14.5Closing total159.5Over by 7.5
 DETM | This season | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-9 | Record | 10-6 |
| 9-5 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 10-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DETM 74–83 NKU · ✓ NKU (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETM | 37 | 34 | 71 |
| NKU | 52 | 44 | 96 |
1st half: DETM 37, NKU 52 (NKU by 15). The model had NKU by 4.8 and a total of 73.5 (actual 89).
Team stats
| DETM | NKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-78 38% | Field goals | 32-59 54% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 3-9 33% | Free throws | 23-31 74% |
| 38 15 off | Rebounds | 40 7 off |
| 8 | Assists | 19 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| DETM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Lovejoy G | 31 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4-17 | 1-3 |
| TJ Nadeau G | 26 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-12 | 4-10 |
| London Maiden F | 20 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Spratt G | 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Ryan Kalambay F | 16 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lance Stone G | 21 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Legend Geeter F | 21 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Jared Lary G | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Je'kel Cotton G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Keshawn Fisher G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Nate Johnson G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Xavier Istomin-Monroe C | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ayden Carter, Zak Abdalla
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tae Dozier G | 32 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| LJ Wells F | 31 | 35 | 7 | 3 | 11-15 | 2-3 |
| Ethan Elliott G | 30 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Kael Robinson F | 23 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Dan Gherezgher G | 23 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 4-6 | 4-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donovan Oday G | 23 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 18 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Darbyshire G | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Tolliver F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Addison Archer F | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Mitchel Minor, Juanma Ruiz, JJ Apathjang
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNKU -10.5
no move
CloseNKU -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open158.5
▲ 1
Close159.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
DETM +455 · NKU -625
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NKU -10.5 · unchangedmodel NKU -8.5
model NKU -8.5
Opened 158.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 1 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NKU -10.5 | NKU -8.3 | DETM +2.2 | L NKU covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 156.9 | Under 2.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | DETM 74.3 · NKU 82.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NKU -4.8 | NKU -15.0 |
| 1H total | 73.5 | 89 |
| 1H projected score | DETM 34.3 · NKU 39.2 | DETM 37 · NKU 52 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETM | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
| NKU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
DETM 3–7 NKUNKU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · DETM 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | DETM 75 @ NKU 99 | NKU -14.5 | NKU W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | NKU 57 @ DETM 68 | DETM +7.5 | DETM W |
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | DETM 60 @ NKU 73 | NKU -13.5 | DETM W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | DETM 67 @ NKU 79 | NKU -13.5 | DETM W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | NKU 81 @ DETM 76 | DETM +9.5 | DETM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Detroit Mercy
14 games played
Straight up
5-9
36% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UIC | L 71-91 | +9.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | @ ND | L 70-102 | +21.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 15 | @ TOL | L 83-90 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 18 | vs EMU | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | @ MSU | L 56-84 | +30.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | @ DEP | L 75-95 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 29 | @ NIA | W 70-66 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 3 | vs IUIN | W 92-78 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 180.5 | U 170 |
| Dec 6 | @ CLE | W 71-59 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 158.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 14 | @ PFW | L 77-81 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 29 | @ YSU | W 73-68 | +9.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vs RMU | L 77-85 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 9 | vs WRST | L 82-84 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 11 | vsCLE | W 94-84 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UIC
UICL 71-91
−10.5
7
@ND
NDL 70-102
−10.5
15
@TOL
TOLL 83-90
+3.5
18
vsEMU
EMUL 62-72
−11.5
21
@MSU
MSUL 56-84
+2.5
23
@DEP
DEPL 75-95
−0.5
29
@NIA
NIAW 70-66
+2.5
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 92-78
+10.5
6
@CLE
CLEW 71-59
+13.5
14
@PFW
PFWL 77-81
+5.5
29
@YSU
YSUW 73-68
+14.5
2
vsRMU
RMUL 77-85
−4.5
9
vsWRST
WRSTL 82-84
+3.5
11
vsCLE
CLEW 94-84
+3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UIC
UICL 71-91
+19.5
7
@ND
NDL 70-102
+24.5
15
@TOL
TOLL 83-90
+13.5
18
vsEMU
EMUL 62-72
−23.5
21
@MSU
MSUL 56-84
−9.5
23
@DEP
DEPL 75-95
+18.5
29
@NIA
NIAW 70-66
−6.5
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 92-78
−10.5
6
@CLE
CLEW 71-59
−28.5
14
@PFW
PFWL 77-81
+4.5
29
@YSU
YSUW 73-68
−5.5
2
vsRMU
RMUL 77-85
+13.5
9
vsWRST
WRSTL 82-84
+17.5
11
vsCLE
CLEW 94-84
+15.5
over 8under 6avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Kentucky
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg +5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TENN | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ ETSU | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ CMU | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs EKU | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vs WOF | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs BU | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vsCLE | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @PFW | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ BELL | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vs OAK | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 21 | vs COFC | L 74-85 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 29 | @RMU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | vsIUIN | W 81-72 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 176.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 4 | vsYSU | W 94-79 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 9 | @ MILW | W 85-67 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | @ GB | L 78-80 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+0.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
−0.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
−0.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−8.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
−16.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+0.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−4.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+10.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
+19.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
−6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+16.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
+2.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
+9.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−4.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
+5.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+6.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−23.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+26.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
−5.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
+13.5
over 10under 6avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Detroit Mercy
5-9 overall · 4-3 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cleveland St94–84
- Lvs Wright St82–84
- Lvs Robert Morris77–85
- W@ Youngstown St73–68
- L@ Purdue FW77–81
4 days since their last game.
N Kentucky
10-6 overall · 5-3 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Green Bay78–80
- W@ Milwaukee85–67
- Wvs Youngstown St94–79
- Wvs IU Indy81–72
- W@ Robert Morris79–77
4 days since their last game.