UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · at Milwaukee · Conference game
Closing line
OAK -2.5✓ OAK covered by 10.5
OAK -2.5✓ OAK covered by 10.5Closing total166.5Under by 33.5
| OAK | This season | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| 8-9 | Record | 7-10 |
| 10-7 | ATS | 6-11 |
| 13-4 | O/U | 8-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OAK 85–83 MILW · ✓ OAK (56%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 41 | 32 | 73 |
| MILW | 30 | 30 | 60 |
1st half: OAK 41, MILW 30 (OAK by 11). The model had OAK by 1.2 and a total of 78.5 (actual 71).
Team stats
| OAK | MILW | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-59 42% | Field goals | 24-70 34% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 2-20 10% |
| 19-24 79% | Free throws | 10-18 56% |
| 43 11 off | Rebounds | 43 18 off |
| 13 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| OAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson G | 38 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Michael Houge F | 37 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 9-15 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Garrett F | 32 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Tuburu Naivalurua F | 23 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-0 |
| Ziare Wells G | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brett White II G | 30 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Khoi Thurmon G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Warren Marshall IV G | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nassim Mashhour, Nate Deer, Hamoudy Mashhour, Donny Yeager, William Kassi, MJ Yeager
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Franklin G | 38 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 26 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Tate Mackenzie F | 18 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Amar Augillard G | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Chandler Jackson F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Dixon G | 29 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-4 |
| Stevie Elam G | 27 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 2-10 | 1-7 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 26 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Simeon Murchison F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Villarreal, Ned Renfree, Seth Hubbard, John Lovelace Jr., Faizon Fields, Danilo Jovanovich
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOAK -2.5
no move
CloseOAK -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open165.5
▲ 1
Close166.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
OAK -148 · MILW +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OAK -2.5 · unchangedmodel OAK -2
model OAK -2
Opened 165.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 1 upmodel 167.5
model 167.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | OAK -2.5 | OAK -1.8 | MILW +0.7 | L OAK covered |
| Total | 166.5 | 167.6 | Over 1.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | OAK 84.7 · MILW 82.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OAK -1.2 | OAK -11.0 |
| 1H total | 78.5 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | OAK 39.8 · MILW 38.6 | OAK 41 · MILW 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| MILW | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
OAK 7–3 MILWOAK leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · OAK 9-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | OAK 72 @ MILW 64 | MILW -7.5 | OAK W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | OAK 66 @ MILW 71 | MILW -5.5 | OAK W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | MILW 49 @ OAK 65 | OAK -0.5 | OAK W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | MILW 76 vs OAK 83 | OAK -3.5 | OAK W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | OAK 91 @ MILW 87 | MILW -0.5 | OAK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oakland
17 games played
Straight up
8-9
47% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-4
76% overs · avg +10 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MICH | L 78-121 | +24.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 7 | @ PUR | L 77-87 | +31.5 | W +21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ HOU | L 45-78 | +30.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 17 | @ UCF | L 83-87 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ EMU | L 91-97 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | vs LAM | W 83-68 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 25 | @ MONT | W 95-87 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 3 | vs PFW | W 101-92 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vs TOL | W 98-97 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNI | L 63-75 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @ NKU | W 82-77 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs MSU | L 70-79 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | @ WRST | L 73-88 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @ YSU | W 85-83 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 4 | vs RMU | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 161.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 9 | vs CLE | W 97-74 | -15.5 | W +7.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 11 | vsWRST | L 84-94 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MICH
MICHL 78-121
−18.5
7
@PUR
PURL 77-87
+21.5
12
@HOU
HOUL 45-78
−2.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 83-87
+9.5
21
@EMU
EMUL 91-97
−7.5
24
vsLAM
LAMW 83-68
+11.5
25
@MONT
MONTW 95-87
+12.5
3
vsPFW
PFWW 101-92
+4.5
6
vsTOL
TOLW 98-97
−3.5
13
@UNI
UNIL 63-75
−3.5
17
@NKU
NKUW 82-77
+8.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 70-79
+10.5
29
@WRST
WRSTL 73-88
−11.5
1
@YSU
YSUW 85-83
+3.5
4
vsRMU
RMUW 96-73
+21.5
9
vsCLE
CLEW 97-74
+7.5
11
vsWRST
WRSTL 84-94
−14.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MICH
MICHL 78-121
+42.5
7
@PUR
PURL 77-87
+5.5
12
@HOU
HOUL 45-78
−15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 83-87
+6.5
21
@EMU
EMUL 91-97
+34.5
24
vsLAM
LAMW 83-68
+2.5
25
@MONT
MONTW 95-87
+19.5
3
vsPFW
PFWW 101-92
+30.5
6
vsTOL
TOLW 98-97
+28.5
13
@UNI
UNIL 63-75
−11.5
17
@NKU
NKUW 82-77
−4.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 70-79
−6.5
29
@WRST
WRSTL 73-88
+1.5
1
@YSU
YSUW 85-83
+10.5
4
vsRMU
RMUW 96-73
+7.5
9
vsCLE
CLEW 97-74
+1.5
11
vsWRST
WRSTL 84-94
+16.5
over 13under 4avg +10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Milwaukee
17 games played
Straight up
7-10
41% wins
Against the spread
6-11
35% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HAMP | W 90-86 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 8 | @ WOF | L 76-86 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs LR | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ IU | L 70-101 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | @ TTU | L 63-80 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AKR | L 81-105 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vsRMU | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 14 | vs INST | L 68-70 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs SDST | W 88-87 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 21 | @CLE | W 81-71 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vsPFW | W 77-55 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 30 | @ WIS | L 60-80 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @WRST | L 70-76 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 5 | @ GB | L 76-79 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 9 | vsNKU | L 67-85 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | vs IUIN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
−11.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−2.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−4.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+2.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
+3.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
+18.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−0.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−2.5
5
@GB
GBL 76-79
−6.5
9
vsNKU
NKUL 67-85
−19.5
11
vsIUIN
IUINW 95-83
+3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 11avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
+19.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−7.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−21.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+23.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
−8.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
−24.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−17.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−1.5
5
@GB
GBL 76-79
+10.5
9
vsNKU
NKUL 67-85
−5.5
11
vsIUIN
IUINW 95-83
+12.5
over 8under 9avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oakland
8-9 overall · 5-2 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wright St84–94
- Wvs Cleveland St97–74
- Wvs Robert Morris96–73
- W@ Youngstown St85–83
- L@ Wright St73–88
4 days since their last game.
Milwaukee
7-10 overall · 4-3 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs IU Indy95–83
- Lvs N Kentucky67–85
- L@ Green Bay76–79
- L@ Wright St70–76
- L@ Wisconsin60–80
4 days since their last game.