Resch Center · at Green Bay · Conference game
Closing line
MILW -3.5✓ GB covered by 6.5
MILW -3.5✓ GB covered by 6.5Closing total144.5Over by 10.5
| MILW | This season | GB |
|---|---|---|
| 6-8 | Record | 5-8 |
| 5-9 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 6-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MILW 77–74 GB · ✗ MILW (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 32 | 44 | 76 |
| GB | 46 | 33 | 79 |
1st half: MILW 32, GB 46 (GB by 14). The model had MILW by 1.6 and a total of 70.5 (actual 78).
Team stats
| MILW | GB | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-54 50% | Field goals | 28-45 62% |
| 10-22 45% | 3-pointers | 3-9 33% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 20-29 69% |
| 27 9 off | Rebounds | 24 3 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 1 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 23 | Fouls | 18 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Jovanovich F | 40 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 8-10 | 2-2 |
| Aaron Franklin G | 31 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 30 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Chandler Jackson F | 27 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Josh Dixon G | 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 27 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Amar Augillard G | 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-3 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Simeon Murchison F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tate Mackenzie F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Villarreal, Seth Hubbard, John Lovelace Jr., Stevie Elam, Ned Renfree, Faizon Fields
| GB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Allen G | 36 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 9-15 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Hall F | 32 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Preston Ruedinger G | 28 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| C.J. O'Hara G | 27 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 8-8 | 0-0 |
| Caden Wilkins F | 27 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| LeBron Thomas G | 19 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Ramel Bethea F | 14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Keegan Van Kauwenberg G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Rob Stroud F | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Mac Wrecke G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brady Fitzgerald, Dontrell Hewlett, Vukasin Todorovic, Trey Schachter, Josh Hines, Maruan Cicic
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMILW -1.5
2 → MILW
CloseMILW -3.5
2 pts toward MILW
Total
Open148.5
▼ 4
Close144.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
MILW -170 · GB +142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MILW -1.5 · closed MILW -3.5 · moved 2 toward MILWmodel MILW -2.5
model MILW -2.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 4 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MILW -3.5 | MILW -2.5 | GB +1.0 | W GB covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 150.6 | Over 6.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MILW 76.5 · GB 74.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MILW -1.6 | GB -14.0 |
| 1H total | 70.5 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | MILW 36.1 · GB 34.5 | MILW 32 · GB 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
| GB | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MILW 7–2 GBMILW leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MILW has won the last 4 meetings · MILW 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | GB 59 @ MILW 70 | MILW -15.5 | GB W |
| Dec 11, 2024-25 | MILW 88 @ GB 67 | GB +6.5 | MILW W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | MILW 95 @ GB 84 | GB -1.5 | MILW W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | GB 69 @ MILW 90 | MILW -6.5 | MILW W |
| Dec 2, 2023-24 | MILW 58 @ GB 70 | GB +2.5 | GB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Milwaukee
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
5-9
36% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HAMP | W 90-86 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 8 | @ WOF | L 76-86 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs LR | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ IU | L 70-101 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | @ TTU | L 63-80 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AKR | L 81-105 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vs RMU | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 14 | vs INST | L 68-70 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs SDST | W 88-87 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 21 | @ CLE | W 81-71 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs PFW | W 77-55 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 30 | @ WIS | L 60-80 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @ WRST | L 70-76 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
−11.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−2.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−4.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+2.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
+3.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
+18.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−0.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 9avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
+19.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−7.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−21.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+23.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
−8.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
−24.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−17.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−1.5
over 6under 8avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Green Bay
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KU | L 51-94 | +30.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ BUF | L 76-83 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ STMN | L 61-80 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ MINN | L 65-72 | +25.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | vs YALE | L 67-73 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 22 | vs MASS | W 79-75 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs IONA | W 80-75 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 4 | vsRMU | L 78-80 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 7 | @WRST | L 58-86 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 11 | @ IUIN | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs UCSB | W 67-64 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 23 | @ CAM | L 79-102 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 1 | @PFW | W 72-54 | +8.5 | W +26.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KU
KUL 51-94
−12.5
7
@BUF
BUFL 76-83
−3.5
13
@STMN
STMNL 61-80
−5.5
15
@MINN
MINNL 65-72
+18.5
21
vsYALE
YALEL 67-73
+11.5
22
vsMASS
MASSW 79-75
+9.5
24
vsIONA
IONAW 80-75
+10.5
4
vsRMU
RMUL 78-80
−0.5
7
@WRST
WRSTL 58-86
−21.5
11
@IUIN
IUINW 85-75
+13.5
17
vsUCSB
UCSBW 67-64
+10.5
23
@CAM
CAML 79-102
−17.5
1
@PFW
PFWW 72-54
+26.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KU
KUL 51-94
−7.5
7
@BUF
BUFL 76-83
+11.5
13
@STMN
STMNL 61-80
−9.5
15
@MINN
MINNL 65-72
−9.5
21
vsYALE
YALEL 67-73
−8.5
22
vsMASS
MASSW 79-75
+7.5
24
vsIONA
IONAW 80-75
+4.5
4
vsRMU
RMUL 78-80
+17.5
7
@WRST
WRSTL 58-86
+1.5
11
@IUIN
IUINW 85-75
−5.5
17
vsUCSB
UCSBW 67-64
−9.5
23
@CAM
CAML 79-102
+35.5
1
@PFW
PFWW 72-54
−19.5
over 6under 7avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Milwaukee
6-8 overall · 3-1 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wright St70–76
- L@ Wisconsin60–80
- Wvs Purdue FW77–55
- W@ Cleveland St81–71
- Wvs S Dakota St88–87
4 days since their last game.
Green Bay
5-8 overall · 2-2 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Purdue FW72–54
- L@ Campbell79–102
- Wvs Santa Barbara67–64
- W@ IU Indy85–75
- L@ Wright St58–86
4 days since their last game.