Wolstein Center · at Cleveland St · Conference game
Closing line
NKU -8.5✓ NKU covered by 2.5
NKU -8.5✓ NKU covered by 2.5Closing total166.5Under by 15.5
| NKU | This season | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| 14-12 | Record | 7-19 |
| 10-16 | ATS | 11-15 |
| 17-9 | O/U | 18-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NKU 85–79 CLE · ✓ NKU (72%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 42 | 39 | 81 |
| CLE | 24 | 46 | 70 |
1st half: NKU 42, CLE 24 (NKU by 18). The model had NKU by 4.0 and a total of 76.4 (actual 66).
Team stats
| NKU | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-51 51% | Field goals | 24-60 40% |
| 10-28 36% | 3-pointers | 5-24 21% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 38 7 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 17 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 2 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 24 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Elliott G | 36 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Tae Dozier G | 33 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| LJ Wells F | 33 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Donovan Oday G | 28 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 8-8 | 2-2 |
| Kael Robinson F | 26 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dan Gherezgher G | 16 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Darbyshire G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Addison Archer F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JJ Apathjang, Juanma Ruiz, Shawn Nelson, Ryan Tolliver, Mitchel Minor
| CLE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Harris F | 38 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Tre Beard G | 37 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-7 |
| Jaidon Lipscomb G | 35 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-7 |
| Kamari Jones G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Holden Pierre-Louis F | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Preist Ryan F | 32 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 8-13 | 0-0 |
| Chevalier Emery G | 29 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| David Giddens G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Manny Hill G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kevo St. Hilaire, Ivan Spirov, Lucas Burton, Waqo Tessema, Foster Wonders, Dayan Nessah
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNKU -7.5
1 → NKU
CloseNKU -8.5
1 pt toward NKU
Total
Open162.5
▲ 4
Close166.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
NKU -410 · CLE +320
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NKU -7.5 · closed NKU -8.5 · moved 1 toward NKUmodel NKU -6.5
model NKU -6.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 4 upmodel 163.5
model 163.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NKU -8.5 | NKU -6.5 | CLE +2.0 | L NKU covered |
| Total | 166.5 | 163.5 | Under 3.0 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | NKU 85 · CLE 78.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NKU -4.0 | NKU -18.0 |
| 1H total | 76.4 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | NKU 40.2 · CLE 36.2 | NKU 42 · CLE 24 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
| CLE | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
NKU 6–5 CLENKU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · NKU 5-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025-26 | CLE 80 @ NKU 95 | NKU -14.5 | NKU W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | NKU 63 @ CLE 68 | CLE -4.5 | CLE W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | CLE 75 @ NKU 85 | NKU -1.5 | NKU W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | NKU 58 @ CLE 76 | CLE -4.5 | CLE W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | CLE 73 @ NKU 75 | NKU -2.5 | CLE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Kentucky
26 games played
Straight up
14-12
54% wins
Against the spread
10-16
38% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-9
65% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TENN | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ ETSU | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ CMU | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs EKU | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vs WOF | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs BU | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vsCLE | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @ PFW | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ BELL | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vs OAK | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 21 | vs COFC | L 74-85 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 29 | @ RMU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | vs IUIN | W 81-72 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 176.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 4 | vs YSU | W 94-79 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 9 | @ MILW | W 85-67 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | @ GB | L 78-80 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs DETM | W 96-71 | -10.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsRMU | L 89-92 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 24 | @ WRST | L 80-88 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @DETM | L 77-90 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 1 | @OAK | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | vsGB | L 84-87 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | vsMILW | W 67-62 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 12 | @IUIN | W 84-81 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 18 | vsPFW | W 87-71 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 22 | @YSU | L 58-64 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+0.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
−0.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
−0.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−8.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
−16.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+0.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−4.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+10.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
+19.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
−6.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+14.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
−10.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
−6.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
−18.5
1
@OAK
OAKL 65-76
−7.5
4
vsGB
GBL 84-87
−10.5
7
vsMILW
MILWW 67-62
−1.5
12
@IUIN
IUINW 84-81
−2.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 87-71
+10.5
22
@YSU
YSUL 58-64
−3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 16avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+16.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
+2.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
+9.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−4.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
+5.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+6.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−23.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+26.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
−5.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
+13.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+7.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
+27.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
+12.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
+5.5
1
@OAK
OAKL 65-76
−25.5
4
vsGB
GBL 84-87
+21.5
7
vsMILW
MILWW 67-62
−27.5
12
@IUIN
IUINW 84-81
+0.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 87-71
+4.5
22
@YSU
YSUL 58-64
−30.5
over 17under 9avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cleveland St
26 games played
Straight up
7-19
27% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-8
69% overs · avg +7.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ LUC | L 88-91 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 10 | @ NU | L 63-110 | +23.5 | L −23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs KENT | L 95-102 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 16 | vs RAD | W 87-82 | +8.5 | W +13.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | vs VAL | L 75-90 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 22 | @KENT | L 71-91 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 172.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 28 | @ MIZ | L 59-86 | +31.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 3 | @NKU | L 80-95 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | vsDETM | L 59-71 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 158.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 17 | @ UAB | L 77-101 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 21 | vsMILW | L 71-81 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vsIUIN | W 99-86 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 4 | @PFW | L 71-74 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 9 | @OAK | L 74-97 | +15.5 | L −7.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 11 | @DETM | L 84-94 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | vsGB | L 73-88 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vsYSU | W 80-78 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | @WRST | W 85-79 | +15.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 30 | @GB | W 89-82 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 1 | @MILW | W 90-88 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 4 | vsOAK | W 91-78 | +7.5 | W +20.5 | 170.5 | U 169 |
| Feb 7 | @IUIN | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 169.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 12 | vsRMU | L 68-85 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 15 | vsWRST | L 90-102 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Feb 18 | @YSU | L 82-106 | +11.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 22 | vsPFW | L 86-92 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+14.5
10
@NU
NUL 63-110
−23.5
15
vsKENT
KENTL 95-102
+4.5
16
vsRAD
RADW 87-82
+13.5
19
vsVAL
VALL 75-90
−17.5
22
@KENT
KENTL 71-91
−4.5
28
@MIZ
MIZL 59-86
+4.5
3
@NKU
NKUL 80-95
−0.5
6
vsDETM
DETML 59-71
−13.5
17
@UAB
UABL 77-101
−5.5
21
vsMILW
MILWL 71-81
−3.5
29
vsIUIN
IUINW 99-86
+11.5
4
@PFW
PFWL 71-74
+8.5
9
@OAK
OAKL 74-97
−7.5
11
@DETM
DETML 84-94
−3.5
15
vsGB
GBL 73-88
−11.5
17
vsYSU
YSUW 80-78
+10.5
21
@WRST
WRSTW 85-79
+21.5
30
@GB
GBW 89-82
+14.5
1
@MILW
MILWW 90-88
+11.5
4
vsOAK
OAKW 91-78
+20.5
7
@IUIN
IUINL 74-82
−5.5
12
vsRMU
RMUL 68-85
−13.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 90-102
−4.5
18
@YSU
YSUL 82-106
−12.5
22
vsPFW
PFWL 86-92
−2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+27.5
10
@NU
NUL 63-110
+21.5
15
vsKENT
KENTL 95-102
+31.5
16
vsRAD
RADW 87-82
+6.5
19
vsVAL
VALL 75-90
+6.5
22
@KENT
KENTL 71-91
−10.5
28
@MIZ
MIZL 59-86
−25.5
3
@NKU
NKUL 80-95
+16.5
6
vsDETM
DETML 59-71
−28.5
17
@UAB
UABL 77-101
+21.5
21
vsMILW
MILWL 71-81
−8.5
29
vsIUIN
IUINW 99-86
+12.5
4
@PFW
PFWL 71-74
−14.5
9
@OAK
OAKL 74-97
+1.5
11
@DETM
DETML 84-94
+15.5
15
vsGB
GBL 73-88
+10.5
17
vsYSU
YSUW 80-78
+5.5
21
@WRST
WRSTW 85-79
+7.5
30
@GB
GBW 89-82
+20.5
1
@MILW
MILWW 90-88
+17.5
4
vsOAK
OAKW 91-78
−1.5
7
@IUIN
IUINL 74-82
−13.5
12
vsRMU
RMUL 68-85
−1.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 90-102
+34.5
18
@YSU
YSUL 82-106
+30.5
22
vsPFW
PFWL 86-92
+14.5
over 18under 8avg +7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Kentucky
14-12 overall · 9-9 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Youngstown St58–64
- Wvs Purdue FW87–71
- W@ IU Indy84–81
- Wvs Milwaukee67–62
- Lvs Green Bay84–87
3 days since their last game.
Cleveland St
7-19 overall · 6-12 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue FW86–92
- L@ Youngstown St82–106
- Lvs Wright St90–102
- Lvs Robert Morris68–85
- L@ IU Indy74–82
3 days since their last game.