Truist Arena · at N Kentucky · Conference game
Closing line
NKU -5.5✓ NKU covered by 10.5
NKU -5.5✓ NKU covered by 10.5Closing total153.5Over by 4.5
 PFW | This season | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-12 | Record | 13-11 |
| 11-13 | ATS | 9-15 |
| 13-11 | O/U | 16-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PFW 74–80 NKU · ✓ NKU (69%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFW | 33 | 38 | 71 |
| NKU | 42 | 45 | 87 |
1st half: PFW 33, NKU 42 (NKU by 9). The model had NKU by 3.3 and a total of 71.8 (actual 75).
Team stats
| PFW | NKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-53 42% | Field goals | 32-62 52% |
| 10-27 37% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 17-22 77% | Free throws | 13-19 68% |
| 29 5 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 18 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| PFW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hadnot II G | 38 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 7-15 | 3-7 |
| Maximus Nelson F | 33 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Mikale Stevenson G | 33 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| DeAndre Craig Jr. G | 30 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 7-14 | 2-4 |
| Deangelo Elisee F | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Yuval Levin F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Darius Duffy F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chris Morgan G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| EJ Mosley G | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Mason Shrout, Ja'Corey Lipkins, Ebrahim Kaba, Danny Kelly, Solomon Richard, Quentin Morgan
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tae Dozier G | 36 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| LJ Wells F | 35 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 10-16 | 1-2 |
| Ethan Elliott G | 35 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Dan Gherezgher G | 31 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5-14 | 2-9 |
| Donovan Oday G | 31 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kael Robinson F | 17 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Addison Archer F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Darbyshire G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryan Tolliver, Mitchel Minor, Juanma Ruiz, JJ Apathjang, Donovan Rakotonanahary
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNKU -6.5
1 → PFW
CloseNKU -5.5
1 pt toward PFW
Total
Open149.5
▲ 4
Close153.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
PFW +205 · NKU -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NKU -6.5 · closed NKU -5.5 · moved 1 toward PFWmodel NKU -6
model NKU -6
Opened 149.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 4 upmodel 153.5 matches the line
model 153.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NKU -5.5 | NKU -5.8 | NKU +0.3 | W NKU covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 153.6 | Over 0.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PFW 73.9 · NKU 79.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NKU -3.3 | NKU -9.0 |
| 1H total | 71.8 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | PFW 34.2 · NKU 37.6 | PFW 33 · NKU 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFW | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| NKU | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
PFW 4–6 NKUNKU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · PFW 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025-26 | NKU 77 @ PFW 79 | PFW -1.5 | PFW W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | NKU 79 @ PFW 74 | PFW -6.5 | NKU W |
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | PFW 68 @ NKU 69 | NKU -2.5 | PFW W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | PFW 63 @ NKU 58 | NKU -3.5 | PFW W |
| Dec 29, 2023-24 | NKU 60 @ PFW 73 | PFW -4.5 | PFW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue FW
24 games played
Straight up
12-12
50% wins
Against the spread
11-13
46% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GCU | L 71-90 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ OSU | L 68-94 | +24.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ WMU | L 71-83 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ UTAH | L 77-85 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | @ SLU | L 60-91 | +19.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 25 | vs CHST | W 90-77 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ OAK | L 92-101 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vsNKU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs EMU | W 80-65 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs DETM | W 81-77 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 21 | @ ND | W 72-69 | +11.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 29 | @ MILW | L 55-77 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vs GB | L 54-72 | -8.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 4 | vs CLE | W 74-71 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | @ YSU | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 11 | @ RMU | W 79-74 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 18 | vsMILW | W 100-82 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 21 | @DETM | W 83-76 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsOAK | L 65-74 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | vsRMU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | vsYSU | L 61-90 | -2.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @ WRST | L 68-73 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 12 | @GB | L 59-76 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 15 | vs IUIN | W 83-78 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
−4.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
−1.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−15.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+5.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−11.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+0.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
−4.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+0.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
+11.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
−5.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
+14.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−18.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−26.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 74-71
−8.5
7
@YSU
YSUW 71-69
+6.5
11
@RMU
RMUW 79-74
+9.5
18
vsMILW
MILWW 100-82
+14.5
21
@DETM
DETMW 83-76
+4.5
28
vsOAK
OAKL 65-74
−7.5
31
vsRMU
RMUW 83-71
+9.5
4
vsYSU
YSUL 61-90
−31.5
7
@WRST
WRSTL 68-73
+1.5
12
@GB
GBL 59-76
−18.5
15
vsIUIN
IUINW 83-78
−2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 13avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
+5.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
+2.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−7.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+0.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−15.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+17.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
+30.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
−2.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
+4.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
−8.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−24.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−19.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 74-71
−14.5
7
@YSU
YSUW 71-69
−5.5
11
@RMU
RMUW 79-74
+6.5
18
vsMILW
MILWW 100-82
+33.5
21
@DETM
DETMW 83-76
+3.5
28
vsOAK
OAKL 65-74
−23.5
31
vsRMU
RMUW 83-71
+8.5
4
vsYSU
YSUL 61-90
+3.5
7
@WRST
WRSTL 68-73
−9.5
12
@GB
GBL 59-76
−9.5
15
vsIUIN
IUINW 83-78
+1.5
over 13under 11avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Kentucky
24 games played
Straight up
13-11
54% wins
Against the spread
9-15
38% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-8
67% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TENN | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ ETSU | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ CMU | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs EKU | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vs WOF | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs BU | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vsCLE | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @PFW | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ BELL | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vsOAK | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 21 | vs COFC | L 74-85 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 29 | @RMU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | vsIUIN | W 81-72 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 176.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 4 | vsYSU | W 94-79 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 9 | @MILW | W 85-67 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | @GB | L 78-80 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vsDETM | W 96-71 | -10.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsRMU | L 89-92 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 24 | @WRST | L 80-88 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @DETM | L 77-90 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 1 | @OAK | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | vsGB | L 84-87 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | vsMILW | W 67-62 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 12 | @IUIN | W 84-81 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+0.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
−0.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
−0.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−8.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
−16.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+0.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−4.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+10.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
+19.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
−6.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+14.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
−10.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
−6.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
−18.5
1
@OAK
OAKL 65-76
−7.5
4
vsGB
GBL 84-87
−10.5
7
vsMILW
MILWW 67-62
−1.5
12
@IUIN
IUINW 84-81
−2.5
covered 9didn’t cover 15avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+16.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
+2.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
+9.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−4.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
+5.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+6.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−23.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+26.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
−5.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
+13.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+7.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
+27.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
+12.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
+5.5
1
@OAK
OAKL 65-76
−25.5
4
vsGB
GBL 84-87
+21.5
7
vsMILW
MILWW 67-62
−27.5
12
@IUIN
IUINW 84-81
+0.5
over 16under 8avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue FW
12-12 overall · 9-7 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs IU Indy83–78
- L@ Green Bay59–76
- L@ Wright St68–73
- Lvs Youngstown St61–90
- Wvs Robert Morris83–71
3 days since their last game.
N Kentucky
13-11 overall · 8-8 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ IU Indy84–81
- Wvs Milwaukee67–62
- Lvs Green Bay84–87
- L@ Oakland65–76
- L@ Detroit Mercy77–90
6 days since their last game.