UPMC Events Center · at Robert Morris · Conference game
Closing line
RMU -4.5✓ PFW covered by 9.5
RMU -4.5✓ PFW covered by 9.5Closing total146.5Over by 6.5
 PFW | This season | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-8 | Record | 9-6 |
| 6-9 | ATS | 9-6 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PFW 74–78 RMU · ✗ RMU (62%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFW | 43 | 36 | 79 |
| RMU | 37 | 37 | 74 |
1st half: PFW 43, RMU 37 (PFW by 6). The model had RMU by 2.0 and a total of 70.9 (actual 80).
Team stats
| PFW | RMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-51 55% | Field goals | 28-63 44% |
| 11-24 46% | 3-pointers | 11-30 37% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 7-10 70% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 33 14 off |
| 12 | Assists | 20 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| PFW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hadnot II G | 35 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 8-12 | 1-3 |
| Maximus Nelson F | 31 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Mikale Stevenson G | 30 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| DeAndre Craig Jr. G | 28 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Deangelo Elisee F | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darius Duffy F | 22 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Chris Morgan G | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| EJ Mosley G | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Yuval Levin F | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Quentin Morgan, Solomon Richard, Danny Kelly, Ja'Corey Lipkins, Mason Shrout, Ebrahim Kaba
| RMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Prather Jr. G | 38 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 7-19 | 3-12 |
| Albert Vargas G | 32 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| DeSean Goode F | 28 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Nikos Chitikoudis F | 27 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Kaleb Brown G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darius Livingston G | 24 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 3-8 | 3-6 |
| Ta'Zir Smith G | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Samuel Obenjo F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Cam Wilds G | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Josh Hill F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eddie Cooke III G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeremiah Littlejohn, Ubong Okon, Vasilije Serafimoski, Cyril Arvanitis, Tanner O'Grady
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRMU -5.5
1 → PFW
CloseRMU -4.5
1 pt toward PFW
Total
Open145.5
▲ 1
Close146.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
PFW +160 · RMU -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RMU -5.5 · closed RMU -4.5 · moved 1 toward PFWmodel RMU -3.5
model RMU -3.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | RMU -4.5 | RMU -3.6 | PFW +0.9 | W PFW covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 151.4 | Over 4.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PFW 73.9 · RMU 77.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | RMU -2.0 | PFW -6.0 |
| 1H total | 70.9 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | PFW 34.4 · RMU 36.5 | PFW 43 · RMU 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFW | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| RMU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PFW 5–4 RMUPFW leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · PFW 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | PFW 69 @ RMU 76 | RMU -2.5 | RMU W |
| Dec 8, 2024-25 | RMU 77 @ PFW 82 | PFW -9.5 | RMU W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | RMU 63 @ PFW 78 | PFW -11.5 | PFW W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | RMU 65 @ PFW 83 | PFW -10.5 | PFW W |
| Jan 12, 2023-24 | PFW 88 @ RMU 91 | RMU +3.5 | RMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue FW
15 games played
Straight up
7-8
47% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GCU | L 71-90 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ OSU | L 68-94 | +24.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ WMU | L 71-83 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ UTAH | L 77-85 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | @ SLU | L 60-91 | +19.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 25 | vs CHST | W 90-77 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ OAK | L 92-101 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vs NKU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs EMU | W 80-65 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs DETM | W 81-77 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 21 | @ ND | W 72-69 | +11.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 29 | @ MILW | L 55-77 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vs GB | L 54-72 | -8.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 4 | vs CLE | W 74-71 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | @ YSU | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
−4.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
−1.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−15.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+5.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−11.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+0.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
−4.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+0.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
+11.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
−5.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
+14.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−18.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−26.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 74-71
−8.5
7
@YSU
YSUW 71-69
+6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
+5.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
+2.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−7.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+0.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−15.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+17.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
+30.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
−2.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
+4.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
−8.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−24.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−19.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 74-71
−14.5
7
@YSU
YSUW 71-69
−5.5
over 7under 8avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Robert Morris
15 games played
Straight up
9-6
60% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ IOWA | L 69-101 | +22.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 6 | @ DRKE | W 81-79 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 20 | @ SBU | L 61-75 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 23 | @ MONM | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UIC | W 88-74 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 28 | vs SUU | W 61-54 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 30 | vs STET | W 80-62 | -11.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 4 | @GB | W 80-78 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | @MILW | L 72-74 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs TOL | W 75-70 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vsYSU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | @ SFPA | W 79-70 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 29 | vsNKU | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 2 | @DETM | W 85-77 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | @OAK | L 73-96 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 161.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@IOWA
IOWAL 69-101
−9.5
6
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-79
+9.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 61-75
−2.5
23
@MONM
MONML 70-71
+1.5
26
vsUIC
UICW 88-74
+15.5
28
vsSUU
SUUW 61-54
−1.5
30
vsSTET
STETW 80-62
+6.5
4
@GB
GBW 80-78
+0.5
6
@MILW
MILWL 72-74
+2.5
13
vsTOL
TOLW 75-70
+6.5
17
vsYSU
YSUW 80-77
+0.5
20
@SFPA
SFPAW 79-70
−4.5
29
vsNKU
NKUL 77-79
−0.5
2
@DETM
DETMW 85-77
+4.5
4
@OAK
OAKL 73-96
−21.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@IOWA
IOWAL 69-101
+33.5
6
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-79
+8.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 61-75
−10.5
23
@MONM
MONML 70-71
−7.5
26
vsUIC
UICW 88-74
+10.5
28
vsSUU
SUUW 61-54
−37.5
30
vsSTET
STETW 80-62
−0.5
4
@GB
GBW 80-78
+17.5
6
@MILW
MILWL 72-74
−7.5
13
vsTOL
TOLW 75-70
−9.5
17
vsYSU
YSUW 80-77
+16.5
20
@SFPA
SFPAW 79-70
+3.5
29
vsNKU
NKUL 77-79
+6.5
2
@DETM
DETMW 85-77
+13.5
4
@OAK
OAKL 73-96
+7.5
over 9under 6avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue FW
7-8 overall · 4-3 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Youngstown St71–69
- Wvs Cleveland St74–71
- Lvs Green Bay54–72
- L@ Milwaukee55–77
- W@ Notre Dame72–69
4 days since their last game.
Robert Morris
9-6 overall · 3-3 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oakland73–96
- W@ Detroit Mercy85–77
- Lvs N Kentucky77–79
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves79–70
- Wvs Youngstown St80–77
A week or more of rest.