Knott Arena · at Mount St Marys · Conference game
Closing line
SIE -2.5✓ SIE covered by 14.5
SIE -2.5✓ SIE covered by 14.5Closing total139.5Under by 22.5
| SIE | This season | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| 10-6 | Record | 5-11 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 5-11 | O/U | 6-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIE 72–68 MSM · ✓ SIE (64%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| MSM | 25 | 25 | 50 |
1st half: SIE 29, MSM 25 (SIE by 4). The model had SIE by 2.5 and a total of 65.9 (actual 54).
Team stats
| SIE | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 42% | Field goals | 15-51 29% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 6-27 22% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 38 14 off |
| 10 | Assists | 6 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Shoats G | 40 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Gavin Doty G | 38 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 3-13 | 2-8 |
| Francis Folefac F | 25 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Antonio Chandler F | 16 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Riley Mulvey C | 25 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Christian Jones G | 23 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-10 | 3-5 |
| Isaiah Henderson G | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Danny Murray, Owen Schlager, Cooper Nadler, Tajae Jones, Chris Torres, Tasman Goodrick, Mosi Clayton, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 31 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-6 |
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 29 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Arlandus Keyes G | 28 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1-14 | 1-8 |
| Trey Deveaux F | 25 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Luke McEldon F | 25 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Amadi F | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Arrington Jr. G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Mason So G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: John Miller IV, Justin May, Noah Rogers, Elijah Espinosa, Jaxon Hartman, Anastasios Rozakeas, Patrick Haigh
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -3.5
1 → MSM
CloseSIE -2.5
1 pt toward MSM
Total
Open139.5
no move
Close139.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SIE -148 · MSM +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -3.5 · closed SIE -2.5 · moved 1 toward MSMmodel SIE -4
model SIE -4
Opened 139.5 · unchangedmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SIE -2.5 | SIE -4.0 | SIE +1.5 | W SIE covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 140.7 | Over 1.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | SIE 72.3 · MSM 68.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SIE -2.5 | SIE -4.0 |
| 1H total | 65.9 | 54 |
| 1H projected score | SIE 34.2 · MSM 31.7 | SIE 29 · MSM 25 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| MSM | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
SIE 3–3 MSMSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · SIE 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | SIE 79 @ MSM 85 | MSM -1.5 | MSM W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | MSM 68 @ SIE 82 | SIE -3.5 | SIE W |
| Feb 4, 2023-24 | MSM 68 @ SIE 61 | SIE +7.5 | SIE W |
| Dec 3, 2023-24 | SIE 48 @ MSM 80 | MSM -8.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 10, 2022-23 | SIE 72 @ MSM 65 | MSM +4.5 | SIE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Siena
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-11
31% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vs NIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs CAN | W 74-52 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ UVM | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ IU | L 60-81 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | @ IONA | L 72-75 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @ RID | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | vs MRMK | L 59-63 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
+4.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
−11.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−4.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+0.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−9.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
−5.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
+17.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
−4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−2.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+3.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−10.5
over 5under 11avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mount St Marys
16 games played
Straight up
5-11
31% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vs SHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 5 | @ MRST | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 13 | @ L-MD | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ DREX | L 67-75 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | vsIONA | W 66-59 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | @MRMK | L 65-75 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | @ QUIN | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 9 | vs SPU | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
+0.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+5.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
−3.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
+9.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−6.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−3.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
+6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
−16.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+2.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
+4.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
−28.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−1.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−1.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
−6.5
over 6under 10avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Siena
10-6 overall · 3-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Merrimack59–63
- W@ Rider74–65
- L@ Iona72–75
- L@ Indiana60–81
- L@ Vermont69–83
2 days since their last game.
Mount St Marys
5-11 overall · 2-4 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Peter's70–65
- L@ Quinnipiac69–80
- L@ Merrimack65–75
- Wvs Iona66–59
- L@ Drexel67–75
2 days since their last game.