Alumni Gymnasium (Rider) · at Rider · Conference game
Closing line
MRST -10.5✓ MRST covered by 11.5
MRST -10.5✓ MRST covered by 11.5Closing total131.5Under by 11.5
| MRST | This season | RID |
|---|---|---|
| 9-5 | Record | 0-13 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 5-8 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 4-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRST 70–60 RID · ✓ MRST (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 30 | 41 | 71 |
| RID | 21 | 28 | 49 |
1st half: MRST 30, RID 21 (MRST by 9). The model had MRST by 6.1 and a total of 60.8 (actual 51).
Team stats
| MRST | RID | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-63 46% | Field goals | 18-47 38% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 1-6 17% |
| 5-6 83% | Free throws | 12-21 57% |
| 40 8 off | Rebounds | 30 3 off |
| 15 | Assists | 7 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Lewis G | 29 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Jadin Collins-Roberts G | 29 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 24 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Justin Menard G | 22 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Jason Schofield C | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rhyjon Blackwell G | 27 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-4 |
| Myles Parker F | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Parby Kabamba F | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Gabriel C | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Martin Kawa G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Antoni Vlogianitis G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ricky McKenzie G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tarik Watson C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trace Salton
| RID | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Cruz G | 30 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Shemani Fuller F | 25 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Flash Burton G | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-0 |
| Antwan Wilson G | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Cole McCabe F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davis Bynum F | 24 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Smith G | 23 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Jamir McNeil G | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| AB Coulibaly G | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Kristupas Kepežinskas G | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mohamad Diallo F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Helterhoff F | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Maurizio D'Alessandro, Xaviel Rodriguez, Devean Williams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRST -10.5
ModelMRST -9.9
Model edgeRID +0.6
L MRST covered
Total
Market131.5
Model129.7
Model edgeUnder 1.8
W Under
Projected score
MRST 69.8 · RID 59.9
MRST 71 · RID 49
Win probability
MRST 81%
1st half
Spread
MRST -6.1
MRST -9.0
Total
60.8
51 points
Projected score
MRST 33.4 · RID 27.4
MRST 30 · RID 21
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRST -11.5
1 → RID
CloseMRST -10.5
1 pt toward RID
Total
Open128.5
▲ 3
Close131.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MRST -650 · RID +470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRST -11.5 · closed MRST -10.5 · moved 1 toward RIDmodel MRST -10
model MRST -10
Opened 128.5 · closed 131.5 · moved 3 upmodel 129.5
model 129.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| RID | 0-10 0% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MRST 3–4 RIDRID leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MRST 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | RID 64 @ MRST 57 | MRST -8.5 | RID W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | MRST 77 @ RID 62 | RID -1.5 | MRST W |
| Jan 14, 2023-24 | RID 60 @ MRST 83 | MRST -3.5 | MRST W |
| Jan 27, 2022-23 | RID 68 @ MRST 52 | MRST +2.5 | RID W |
| Dec 22, 2022-23 | MRST 71 @ RID 77 | RID -6.5 | MRST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marist
14 games played
Straight up
9-5
64% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ XAV | L 62-66 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 9 | @ DART | W 75-56 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs HARV | L 54-56 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARMY | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs LEH | W 78-55 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 5 | vs MSM | W 64-56 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 7 | vs MAN | W 80-68 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ BRY | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 16 | @ GT | L 76-87 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs STBK | W 70-51 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | @ QUIN | L 58-64 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 2 | @ SPU | L 59-69 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 4 | vs IONA | W 83-38 | -4.5 | W +40.5 | 148.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 9 | @ SHU | W 76-72 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
+8.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
+20.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−8.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
−1.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+15.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−0.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+4.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+6.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
−4.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
+12.5
29
@QUIN
QUINL 58-64
−3.5
2
@SPU
SPUL 59-69
−12.5
4
vsIONA
IONAW 83-38
+40.5
9
@SHU
SHUW 76-72
−1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
−11.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
−7.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−20.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
+8.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+0.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−16.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+7.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+24.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
+21.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
−16.5
29
@QUIN
QUINL 58-64
−23.5
2
@SPU
SPUL 59-69
−5.5
4
vsIONA
IONAW 83-38
−27.5
9
@SHU
SHUW 76-72
+4.5
over 6under 8avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Rider
13 games played
Straight up
0-13
0% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-9
31% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UVA | L 53-87 | +26.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 5 | @ RUTG | L 53-81 | +18.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | @ TEX | L 65-99 | +30.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 20 | @ HOU | L 45-91 | +40.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs COPP | L 65-68 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @ MRMK | L 66-68 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | @QUIN | L 58-72 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUCK | L 38-51 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | U 89 |
| Dec 16 | @ DEL | L 57-65 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 129.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | @ VCU | L 79-100 | +30.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vsMAN | L 71-74 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vs SIE | L 65-74 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | @ FAIR | L 62-68 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UVA
UVAL 53-87
−7.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 53-81
−9.5
18
@TEX
TEXL 65-99
−3.5
20
@HOU
HOUL 45-91
−5.5
25
vsCOPP
COPPL 65-68
−11.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-68
+7.5
7
@QUIN
QUINL 58-72
+0.5
9
vsBUCK
BUCKL 38-51
−10.5
16
@DEL
DELL 57-65
+0.5
22
@VCU
VCUL 79-100
+9.5
29
vsMAN
MANL 71-74
−0.5
4
vsSIE
SIEL 65-74
−0.5
9
@FAIR
FAIRL 62-68
+2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UVA
UVAL 53-87
−8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 53-81
−5.5
18
@TEX
TEXL 65-99
+20.5
20
@HOU
HOUL 45-91
+1.5
25
vsCOPP
COPPL 65-68
−6.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-68
−4.5
7
@QUIN
QUINL 58-72
−17.5
9
vsBUCK
BUCKL 38-51
−46.5
16
@DEL
DELL 57-65
−7.5
22
@VCU
VCUL 79-100
+33.5
29
vsMAN
MANL 71-74
−2.5
4
vsSIE
SIEL 65-74
+3.5
9
@FAIR
FAIRL 62-68
−15.5
over 4under 9avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marist
9-5 overall · 4-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Sacred Heart76–72
- Wvs Iona83–38
- L@ Saint Peter's59–69
- L@ Quinnipiac58–64
- Wvs Stony Brook70–51
2 days since their last game.
Rider
0-13 overall · 0-5 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Fairfield62–68
- Lvs Siena65–74
- Lvs Manhattan71–74
- L@ VCU79–100
- L@ Delaware57–65
2 days since their last game.