Siegel Center · at VCU
Closing line
VCU -30.5✓ RID covered by 9.5
VCU -30.5✓ RID covered by 9.5Closing total145.5Over by 33.5
 RID | This season | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-9 | Record | 8-4 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 2-7 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RID 57–85 VCU · ✓ VCU (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RID | 36 | 43 | 79 |
| VCU | 45 | 55 | 100 |
1st half: RID 36, VCU 45 (VCU by 9). The model had VCU by 16.4 and a total of 66.4 (actual 81).
Team stats
| RID | VCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-64 45% | Field goals | 36-62 58% |
| 3-12 25% | 3-pointers | 11-23 48% |
| 18-25 72% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 33 14 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 20 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| RID | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Cruz G | 34 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 6-16 | 1-3 |
| Flash Burton G | 33 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Caleb Smith G | 32 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Davis Bynum F | 27 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Shemani Fuller F | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Helterhoff F | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cole McCabe F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jamir McNeil G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kristupas Kepežinskas G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| AB Coulibaly G | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Antwan Wilson G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Maurizio D'Alessandro G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Devean Williams, Mohamad Diallo, Xaviel Rodriguez
| VCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadrian Tracey G | 24 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Brandon Jennings G | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Barry Evans F | 22 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Nyk Lewis G | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Lazar Djokovic F | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keyshawn Mitchell F | 23 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Michael Belle F | 23 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. G | 20 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-5 |
| Ahmad Nowell G | 15 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 7-8 | 5-5 |
| Jordan Tillery G | 8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Tyrell Ward G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordann Dumont F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Christian Fermin, Obinnaya Okafor
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVCU -30.5
ModelVCU -27.5
Model edgeRID +3.0
W RID covered
Total
Market145.5
Model141.7
Model edgeUnder 3.8
L Over
Projected score
RID 57.1 · VCU 84.6
RID 79 · VCU 100
Win probability
VCU 99%
1st half
Spread
VCU -16.4
VCU -9.0
Total
66.4
81 points
Projected score
RID 25 · VCU 41.4
RID 36 · VCU 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVCU -31.5
1 → RID
CloseVCU -30.5
1 pt toward RID
Total
Open141.5
▲ 4
Close145.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
RID +4000 · VCU -50000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VCU -31.5 · closed VCU -30.5 · moved 1 toward RIDmodel VCU -27.5
model VCU -27.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 4 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RIDlast 9 | 0-9 0% | 3-6 33% | 2-7 22% |
| VCU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rider
9 games played
Straight up
0-9
0% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-7
22% overs · avg −8.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UVA | L 53-87 | +26.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 5 | @ RUTG | L 53-81 | +18.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | @ TEX | L 65-99 | +30.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 20 | @ HOU | L 45-91 | +40.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs COPP | L 65-68 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @ MRMK | L 66-68 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | @ QUIN | L 58-72 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUCK | L 38-51 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | U 89 |
| Dec 16 | @ DEL | L 57-65 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 129.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UVA
UVAL 53-87
−7.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 53-81
−9.5
18
@TEX
TEXL 65-99
−3.5
20
@HOU
HOUL 45-91
−5.5
25
vsCOPP
COPPL 65-68
−11.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-68
+7.5
7
@QUIN
QUINL 58-72
+0.5
9
vsBUCK
BUCKL 38-51
−10.5
16
@DEL
DELL 57-65
+0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UVA
UVAL 53-87
−8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 53-81
−5.5
18
@TEX
TEXL 65-99
+20.5
20
@HOU
HOUL 45-91
+1.5
25
vsCOPP
COPPL 65-68
−6.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-68
−4.5
7
@QUIN
QUINL 58-72
−17.5
9
vsBUCK
BUCKL 38-51
−46.5
16
@DEL
DELL 57-65
−7.5
over 2under 7avg −8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
VCU
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WAG | W 103-74 | -25.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | vs USU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs SPU | W 78-61 | -20.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 17 | @ NCSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 22 | vsCOPP | W 101-58 | -32.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 26 | vs USF | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs VAN | L 74-89 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs VT | W 86-68 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 5 | vs SAM | W 83-57 | -19.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs UNM | L 78-81 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 15 | vs NIA | W 84-58 | -30.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 18 | vs AMER | W 105-83 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+3.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−0.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−3.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
+5.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+10.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
+10.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
−8.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+15.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
+6.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
−11.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−4.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 105-83
+2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+43.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−6.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−8.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
−0.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+7.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
−28.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
+1.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+0.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
+1.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−1.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 105-83
+33.5
over 6under 6avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rider
0-9 overall · 0-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Delaware57–65
- Lvs Bucknell38–51
- L@ Quinnipiac58–72
- L@ Merrimack66–68
- Lvs Coppin St65–68
6 days since their last game.
VCU
8-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs American105–83
- Wvs Niagara84–58
- Lvs New Mexico78–81
- Wvs Samford83–57
- Wvs Virginia Tech86–68
4 days since their last game.